College Football Thread 2019/2020

[Synopsis]

Emu playing good, up 7 at half. I'll take those 3 points on them for the Second half. Would make for a easy money line buy out later if it gets tied up because the line would go towards what it was pretty game if it's in the third quarter, late it would most likely be a pickem juiced on northern illinois. This is one of those low risk, almost free bets that I try to take advantage of.

 

[Synopsis]

2-0 tonight.
Always nice to hit a considerable underdog on the road. +190 on that. Game is still going, 2 minutes left, but they took that 7 point lead at half, and turned it into a 35 point lead so I think it's safe to tally it now.

 

[ribbybruno]

2-0 tonight.
Always nice to hit a considerable underdog on the road. +190 on that. Game is still going, 2 minutes left, but they took that 7 point lead at half, and turned it into a 35 point lead so I think it's safe to tally it now.

Eagles whooped that behind in the 2nd half. Spectacular one handed catch to top it off!

 

[ribbybruno]

First Impressions Week 14 -

Wednesday -

Miami(Ohio) (-31) @ Home vs Akron - RedHawks covered last 4 games ATS in a row. Zips have not covered a game yet

Friday -

Wyoming (-6.5) @ Home vs Colorado St. - Cowboys have covered last 7 out of 9 games ATS

Saturday -

Penn St (+17.5) @ Ohio St - Pretty big spread for such great athletes on both squads. Lions only lost by 1 last year.

Illinois (+16) @ Iowa - Illini 7 out of 10 covered games ATS

BYU (-40.5) @ UMass - Keep my word vs Minutemen - (ribby 8-2 vs spread)

Tulane (+6) @ Home vs UCF - Didn't play each other last year - Green Wave has covered all Home games so far - closer game then experts would expect

Notre Dame (-19) @ Home vs Boston College - so they whipped Midshipmen by 32 last week - maybe see 32 again this week

App. St (-29) @ Home vs Texas St. - Bobcats lost to Trojans last week 63-27 - doesn't get any easier - this could get ugly

Texas A & M (+13.5) @ Georgia - Fishy line - I may flop to Bulldogs - not sure if Jimbo can pull this one off yet

Indiana (+10) @ Home vs Michigan - Hoosiers 7 out of 10 ATS - underachiever of the year along with Illinois - Biggest game for them in a long time!

Texas (+5.5) @ Baylor - Like Longhorns in this spot - beat Bears last year 23-17

UCLA (+13.5) @ USC - Backyard rivalry - Bruins won last year - double digits too much imo

NAVY (-3.5) @ Home vs SMU - Mustangs won in OT last year - small payback + bad taste after Irish kicked their behinds

Virg. Tech (-4) @ Home vs Pitt - Payback! Lost by 30 last year - Hokies on a roll

Marshall (-6.5) @ Charlotte - After beating La. Tech by 21 this should be a snap right?

Tennessee (+4) @ Mizzou - Well rested Volunteers playing banged up Tigers

La. Tech (+4.5) @ UAB - Bulldogs will rebound with payback to Blazers - at least cover

S. Miss (-4) @ Home vs W. Kentucky - Hilltoppers been off 2 weeks while Golden Eagles rolling

Syracuse (+9) @ Louisville - Orangemen whipped up Blue Devils pretty handily - someone get hurt in the end? seems too large of a spread

UNLV (+6) @ Home vs San Jose - only lost by 3 to Aztecs - pretty tough opponent in Vegas

Arizona St (+15) @ Home vs Oregon - Call on Herm Edwards for this magic

Temple (+10.5) @ Cincy - Seems a little large for Owls to be a double digit dog

Wake Forest (-7) @ Home vs Duke - after last week - 59-7 Deamon Deacons

Utah St (+8) @ Home vs Boise St - Big game! 5-1 vs 6-0 - Aggies pretty tough at home

SDSU (+3) @ Hawaii - Aztecs have a luau then win

:bebored:

 

[ribbybruno]

Saturday (5-3) +$200 /+2.0 Units Overall (76-90-6) -$1400/ -14.00 Units

Wednesday -

Miami(Ohio) (-31.5) @ Home vs Akron - Zips have yet to cover a game

1 Unit - $100

 

[Synopsis]

I wasn't on anything last night except nba, but I just looked over the scores from last night. Wtf happened here? Miami Ohio has been playing well but only win by 3 to Akron at home? They lost the second half too it seems. There must have been some weird stuff going on here.

Saturday (5-3) +$200 /+2.0 Units Overall (76-90-6) -$1400/ -14.00 Units

Wednesday -

Miami(Ohio) (-31.5) @ Home vs Akron - Zips have yet to cover a game

1 Unit - $100

 

[PapesOnlyy]

Anything that has to do with College Football can be posted in this thread! Any questions or games you want to discuss? Put them in the thread! I will post week to week my progress betting on these games as well. Good luck all!

Oregon Ducks or Utah Utes for the pac-12 championship title game?

 

[TeUnit]

Think WSU will be fighting hard to win this one, they really want to be bowl elligible before they lose to the huskitties.

 

[ribbybruno]

I wasn't on anything last night except nba, but I just looked over the scores from last night. Wtf happened here? Miami Ohio has been playing well but only win by 3 to Akron at home? They lost the second half too it seems. There must have been some weird stuff going on here.

Zips had a chance to win in this game but failed in the end. I was, actually, rooting for them late.

 

[ribbybruno]

Oregon Ducks or Utah Utes for the pac-12 championship title game?

Good question. In my opinion, the game is close. Both offenses have the same amount of total yards up to this point. I would give the edge on defense to Utah because of lack of yards given up rushing. Special teams are pretty even. Who do you like?

 

[ribbybruno]

Think WSU will be fighting hard to win this one, they really want to be bowl elligible before they lose to the huskitties.

Beavers have been pretty tough this year. Much better than predicted. May be closer than 10.5 point spread. Fun game to watch.

 

[Synopsis]

Utah have been more consistent and are just a better all around team. I think it would be similar to the Oregon and auburn game from the beginning of the season. I'd take utah all day, as I would assume the line would be fairly low.

Oregon Ducks or Utah Utes for the pac-12 championship title game?

 

[Synopsis]

Out of all 7+ point underdogs this week, I think this spot has the best chance for a upset. Beavers are better all around, these teams have played 5 of the same teams this year. Wsu went 1-4, beavers went 3-2. The thing here is that wsu may have a slight offensive edge but the beavers have a more than slight edge on defence, a considerable one. Wsu could blow them out, but they haven't shown consistency to have faith on it from a betting standpoint. They would have room perform high, against a not great, but solid, defence. It's a good spot for someone wanting to take a big dog this week.

Think WSU will be fighting hard to win this one, they really want to be bowl elligible before they lose to the huskitties.

 

[ribbybruno]

Wednesday (0-1) -$100 /-1.0 Units Overall (76-91-6) -$1500/ -15.00 Units

Recap - Zips almost win on the field but finally cover (0-1)

Friday-

Wyoming (-6.5) @ Home vs Colorado St. - Cowboys have been perfect at home - need to stop passing game of Rams

1 Unit - $100

 

[Synopsis]

This line has dropped to 5.5. There is something about it that doesn't sit well with me. I'm about to dig into the stats now.

Wednesday (0-1) -$100 /-1.0 Units Overall (76-91-6) -$1500/ -15.00 Units

Recap - Zips almost win on the field but finally cover (0-1)

Friday-

Wyoming (-6.5) @ Home vs Colorado St. - Cowboys have been perfect at home - need to stop passing game of Rams

1 Unit - $100

 

[Synopsis]

It's down to 4 now. The issue I see here is that Wyoming doesn't have a great offense, and yeah they are going to get some yards on the ground, but how are they going to defend the 20th ranked passing team in the country, when they have given up 250 yards passing in every game the last month against way less potent passing teams? I'm avoiding get this game pre snap. I am going to be watching it for live lines though. If it's a slow gamemail I may take advantage of a live line that I see being favorable.

 

[Synopsis]

I'm going to stab at it now at +8.5. State are almost in the redzone, and wyoming has one of the best red zone defences in the country, so the line is saying there will be a fg here instead. Even if it is though, I like how state are playing, it's been very even so far.

 

[Synopsis]

I'm really tempted on that second half line of +3, it's @+106 right now. Hmm, yeah I'm going to do it because I'm in a really good position with the live line. I'd expect this to be easy to get out of also, because it's really low scoring.

 

[Synopsis]

0-1. That's a bummer. I got out of the full line after the missed fg, but I let the second half ride thinking it would push, but state threw a interception. Regret not just buying out of it when I had the chance, but I suppose that's part of gambling, can't always win, and can't always get out clean.

If Wyoming could get a offence, they could be really good. Remind me a bit of utah, on a lower level.

 

[Synopsis]

I'll likely play other games, but these are the ones that I like where they are now. Hoping for some lines to move a little while I sleep.

Minnesota -13
I feel this line should have been 17.5. They played Penn state hard, meanwhile nw have been terrible all year.

Minnesota -7 first half

Oregon -13 hook
If they can't get this, then they have no motivation. They are right on the door to getting into the playoffs, they should come out and destroy Arizona state.

Oregon -7 first half

Ucf -2.5
What's with this line? I noticed it was off the board earlier, and now it's 2.5? I looked around, I don't see any injurys/suspensions/personal issues. Pretty sure this line was 6.5 yesterday.

Michigan state -20
More of a Rutgers fade, even though they surprised me a little against osu.

Michigan state -13 first half.

Arkansas +45
Can't believe I'm betting this, but I have a gut feeling this line will get driven down by people who see the angle I'm seeing.... I'm taking a gamble here that lsu will pull their players earlier than normal. They have a important game next week, and the sec championship game directly after that one. They have 0 reason to run it up, and a million reasons to rest up and keep late injuries from happening. They very well could be blown out in the first half. If they can keep it to 35 or less in the first half, I like the chances.

Penn state/Osu over 56.5
Sure these teams have good defence, but they have good offence too. They just need to average a td per quarter each, and a extra fg somewhere for this to cover. I could see this game having a few quarters where 21 points are scored. It very well could be a grind game too, but I think they get 57 here together more often than not.

 

[ribbybruno]

Friday (1-0) +$100 /+1.0 Units Overall (77-91-6) -$1400/ -14.00 Units

Recap - Cowboys defense holds Rams to 7 (1-0)

Saturday-

Penn St (+19.5) @ Ohio St - from recent games in past years - just too big of spread in my opinion


Minnesota (-15.5) @ NW - Tanner to start - I agree - Gophers will play hard


Illinois (+15.5) @ Iowa - Illini much improved will make this a game


BYU (-41) @ UMass - Here we are again!

Tulane (+6.5) @ Home vs UCF - like the dog here - pretty big game

Notre Dame (-20.5) @ Home vs BC - Irish should double the out put of Eagles - hmm 42 - 21

App St (-29) @ Home vs Texas St - On paper this is a blow out

Georgia (-13) @ Home vs Texas A &M - Bulldogs must impress voters this week

Indiana (+10) @ Home vs Michigan - why not - Go Hoosiers - just cause I want to root for them

Texas (+5) @ Baylor - Like the Horns in this spot - another close game

UCLA (+14) @ USC - Rivalry! Kelly got Bruins playing much improved

V Tech (-3.5) @ Home vs Pitt - Hokies playing well

UNLV (+7) @ Home vs San Jose St - Rebels have played hard at home

Arizona St (+13.5) @ Home vs Oregon - Herm will pull out all the stops for this one

Tennessee (+3.5) @ Mizzou - Volunteers may win this game - much improved

Wake Forest (-6.5) @ Home vs Duke - Can't see Blue Devils keeping up with Deamon Deacons

Utah St (+9) @ Home vs Boise St - for all the marbles

San Diego St (+2.5) @ Hawaii - Aztecs grind out a victory


1 Unit - $100

 

[Synopsis]

When did you get this bet in? I'm still not sure of why this game was taken down, or why it was movement when it came back up last night.

Tulane (+6.5) @ Home vs UCF - like the dog here - pretty big game

1 Unit - $100

 

[Synopsis]

App state -10 second half. I missed it at 9.5, it went to 10 so fast. Anyway, they are underperforming at home in a close game, I like them to blow it open second half.

Michigan -2.5
Was waiting on this game to see if I could get a good line live. They went down 7 to 0 early and I'll take a shot at it.

 

[Synopsis]

ND -7 second half
This is a great line, Im a bit shocked by it, I was hoping for under 10, and here it is at a nice flat 7. That fg right before half probably had to do with that. I really like this line though, ND are kind of underperforming like app state. I expect them to control the second half.

 

[Synopsis]

Rice +3.5 second half.
They are controlling the game and this is a team with few wins, and no reason to hold back. That said, I don't think they will slow down because teams like this have no reason to sit on a lead, probably will be the last win they see this year. Hopefully the coaches don't do what the book thinks they will do and just clock trying to hold a lead.