NFL Betting Thread 2019/2020

[CRStals]

Let's go week 10!!! Good luck everyone

Bears -6.5 v Detroit
Buffalo +3 v Cleveland

 

[CRStals]

Atlanta +14 v New Orleans
NY Giants -3 v NY Jets
KC -6.5 v Tennessee
Miami +10.5 v Indy

 

[ribbybruno]

NFL Betting Thread Results Week 10 Thursday

Thursday (1-0) +1.0 Units/ +$100 Overall (29-36) -10.6 Units/-$1060

Recap - Raiders late drive propels a win (1-0)

Week 10 Sunday

Chicago (-6.5) @ Home vs Detroit - QB Stafford out - not good for Lions

Tennessee (+6.5) @ Home vs KC - Mahomes not 100% - guaranteed Titans go after him

Arizona/Tampa Bay Over 52 - Shootout in my opinion - maybe 80

Miami/Indy Under 44 - Whole lots of injuries - both teams with scoring troubles


1 Unit each - $100

 

[imhighhommie]

The Bears have jumped up to -6.5
Looks like Stafford is a game time decision, but the line indicates he probably wont go

Oh baby, I liked the line with him playing lmao LETS GOOOOOO

 

[Risto234]

Also 2 bets from me for this weekend ...

Bears vs Lions; over 41.5 @1.91
Browns vs Bills; over 40.0 @1.91

Obviously from several bets which i made for the weekend these only 2 which i posted here lost (while my 4 football asian handicap bets which i didn't even post in betting tips thread all won ...)

 

[ribbybruno]

NFL Betting Thread Results Week 10 Sunday

Sunday (4-0) +4.0 Units/ +$400 Overall (33-36) -6.6 Units/-$660

Recap - Bears hold on and cover (1-0), Titans win str8 up (1-0), TB/AZ hit the Over (1-0) and Indy/Miami cruise to Under 44 (1-0)

Week 10 Monday -

Seattle (+6) @ San Francisco - May be one of those MNF games you will never forget - set your DVR's if you can't watch it live - Russell Wilson will show some heart! :fight:
1 Unit each - $100

 

[PokerSki]

Week 11


Cleveland
Cowboys
Colts
Vikings
Texans
Redskins
Carolina
Miami
Saints
San Francisco
Patriots
Bengals
Rams
Chargers

 

[ribbybruno]

At the risk of sounding like I flaunting, I'm over 66 percent in nfl, over 66 percent in ncaaf, and so far in basketball I'm 41-10. As you likely know, 66 percent on straight spread (-110) is like 1 percent of the best 1 percent professional bettors. 4.5 percent of bettors break even at 52.4 percent. 66 is considered next to impossible in volume, and I've done it with over 300 bets made in nfl/ncaaf, so I'd call that volume for sure. I've maintained that even though I stopped putting my bets in here. My unit in football is considerable compared to most, and I've never once been limited. Granted, I use multiple books, and my main book is the best on the planet, but I also use bovada, and acr. Bol here and there. None of these have ever limited a play for me, nor have I ever had any bet slip errors (I have on intertops, multiple times).

You would have to be betting so large, that it actually affected their lines for them to be concerned with a individual. We are talking 20k a game, or higher for the top tier books like 5 dimes. I could see intertops maybe doing something like that, because they are a terrible terrible book, and perhaps I could see a book that is mostly non-north American population limit sports that get limited play, but not for 100. 100 a unit is nothing to even a bad book. At any decent book, your money is just more juice coming in, 100 on top of it either side is meaningless, and if you go 10-0 every week, it's still just 100 on individual instances where your number is just pooled with the rest.

Edit.. just for evidence sake, I'm 33-10 on posted basketball plays, the other wins are on the system I talked about in that forum, where I didn't post the plays. I don't post system plays. Still 33-10 is well, well over 66 percent(77 percent)

My book goes $100 minimum to 10k maximum. I met this guy thru some big time lawyers at a country club one night after hours. We hit it off and talked sports for quite some time. On his way out, drunk and happy, he gave me a number. I have never looked back. Integrity and trust has built a solid friendship!

 

[ribbybruno]

Week 10 and overall

ribby (6-0)(34-36)
Risto (0-2)(11-13-1)
ChickenArise (0-3-1)(15-18--2)
imhighhommie (2-1-1)(14-13-1)
synopsis (0-0) (91-42)
TDTODDY (1-4)(16-15)
CRStals (3-2-1)(26-32-1)
Pokerski (3-9) (28-22)
wewillrockyou (0-0) (9-3)
mrrigel (1-2) (7-7-1)
Aremaz95 (0-0)(21-14)
odn(0-0)(1-0)
an9312 (0-0)(1-0)
LeeCallaghan (0-0) (1-0)
terryk (0-0) (2-0)
rmcmullen2003 (0-0) (1-1)
Jam V92 (0-0) (2-5)

Pretty tough week!

 

[Synopsis]

Nice. There is a tiny local book here at what was a dog track until that was made illegal. I'm not sure how they run it, or the poker tournaments. Ive never used them and I'd suspect they would have ultra low limits. I bet the highest bet there would be the lowest that your guy allows. I've never had any desire to check on it. It's weird how they have little spots like that in every major city, totally legal, yet gambling is illegal... makes no sense to me. Must be some loopholes with it.

My book goes $100 minimum to 10k maximum. I met this guy thru some big time lawyers at a country club one night after hours. We hit it off and talked sports for quite some time. On his way out, drunk and happy, he gave me a number. I have never looked back. Integrity and trust has built a solid friendship!

 

[ribbybruno]

NFL Week 11 At A Glance -

Thursday -

Pittsburgh (+3) @ Cleveland - Steelers have covered last 6 out of 7 ATS

Sunday -

Dtroit/Dallas - No line yet - Cowboys should have red ass after last week and Lions will not have Stafford

Dolphins (+5.5) @ Home vs Buffalo - Miami (5-0 ATS last 5) - good battle

Minnesota (-10.5) @ Home vs Denver - Like Vikings in this spot - Broncos coming off bye will start slow

Saints/Bucs - like the Over 50 here - especially after Saints only had 9 points last week

Hou/Bal - like this Over 49 as well - this will be a show - get your popcorn ready

Oakland (-10.5) @ Home vs Cincy - Gruden will grind out Bengals

NE (-3.5) @ Philly - Belichick has had 2 weeks to prepare for Eagles

Chicago/LA Rams - Fickle Bowl -which teams will show up?

KC @ LA Chargers (Monday Night) - on the fence on this one - toss up

 

[Risto234]

This weekend matches ...

Browns vs Steelers; over 40.5 @1.91
Dolphins vs Bills; over 40.5 @1.91
Vikings vs Broncos; over 40.0 @1.91
Redskins vs Jets; over 39.0 @1.91
Rams vs Bears; over 40.5 @1.95

 

[we will rock you]

like the steelers against the browns connor back pitt d going to lit up mayfield

 

[imhighhommie]

like the steelers against the browns connor back pitt d going to lit up mayfield

I'm not sure what I'm going to do with this game yet. I feel like this is the perfect spot for Pitt to blow Cleveland out and get Kitchens fired.
Also saw something on twitter where the last 6 Cleveland coaches were fired after a Pitt game lmao

 

[Synopsis]

That's true. How strange is that? Yeah they play roughly the same time every year, but 6 in a row? Kind of crazy.

I'm not sure what I'm going to do with this game yet. I feel like this is the perfect spot for Pitt to blow Cleveland out and get Kitchens fired.
Also saw something on twitter where the last 6 Cleveland coaches were fired after a Pitt game lmao

 

[ribbybruno]

NFL Betting Thread Results Week 10 Monday

Monday (1-0) +1.0 Units/ +$100 Overall (34-36) -5.6 Units/-$560

Recap - Seattle wins in a wild Overtime game (1-0)

Week 11 Thursday -

Pittsburgh (+3) @ Cleveland - too much pressure on Cleveland to win - Steelers covered last 6 out of 7 ATS - Connor returns
1 Unit each - $100

 

[Synopsis]

Maybe the pressure is a good thing, because their play calling has been terrible. Perhaps they will open it up in this game. As long as baker doesn't throw in minkahs direction, they should handle the steelers here. I expect chubb to have a big game. Fastest player in the NFL against slow linebackers. Then there is hunt behind him too... and he isn't slow... all comes down to if they can not turn it over so much, which I assume chubb wont, but baker is harder to have confidence in. They should do a lot of passes to the flats here and avoid minkah. He has played lights out since going to pitt. Short passes to the flats, and wheel routes with the outsides on deep posts to keep the safeties back and they would slaughter pitt. When you have speed like that, you have to take advantage of it.

NFL Betting Thread Results Week 10 Monday

Monday (1-0) +1.0 Units/ +$100 Overall (34-36) -5.6 Units/-$560

Recap - Seattle wins in a wild Overtime game (1-0)

Week 11 Thursday -

Pittsburgh (+3) @ Cleveland - too much pressure on Cleveland to win - Steelers covered last 6 out of 7 ATS - Connor returns
1 Unit each - $100

 

[imhighhommie]

AHHHHHHH

Got Pitt +2.5 at the last second.

Pitt outright wins this game right?? This should be a disaster.

 

[Synopsis]

Why bet a terrible line like +2.5 if you think they win straight up? You have to bet the money line there, or buy the hook man.

My thoughts are above your post. I think you would lose here even with the hook. You don't want to be betting bad lines like that though, that's a terrible line for football, it will hurt you over time.

AHHHHHHH

Got Pitt +2.5 at the last second.

Pitt outright wins this game right?? This should be a disaster.

 

[imhighhommie]

Why bet a terrible line like +2.5 if you think they win straight up? You have to bet the money line there, or buy the hook man.

My thoughts are above your post. I think you would lose here even with the hook. You don't want to be betting bad lines like that though, that's a terrible line for football, it will hurt you over time.

Relax man, I'm just a casual bettor who wants some Thursday action lol

 

[Synopsis]

I'm chill, was just some advice. I'll keep it to myself next time.

Relax man, I'm just a casual bettor who wants some Thursday action lol

 

[ribbybruno]

Maybe the pressure is a good thing, because their play calling has been terrible. Perhaps they will open it up in this game. As long as baker doesn't throw in minkahs direction, they should handle the steelers here. I expect chubb to have a big game. Fastest player in the NFL against slow linebackers. Then there is hunt behind him too... and he isn't slow... all comes down to if they can not turn it over so much, which I assume chubb wont, but baker is harder to have confidence in. They should do a lot of passes to the flats here and avoid minkah. He has played lights out since going to pitt. Short passes to the flats, and wheel routes with the outsides on deep posts to keep the safeties back and they would slaughter pitt. When you have speed like that, you have to take advantage of it.

Glad to see the Browns get the Steeler monkey off their back. The defense played well except for the debacle at the end. Myles will get suspended for the year is my guess. Marred a great performance with a stupid ending! :thumpdown

 

[Synopsis]

No doubt, but Rudolph needs to catch a few games as well. He instigated it when they were on the ground and he was trying to pull myles helmet off. Myles is usually a calm dude, something besides that must have also happened for him to flip like that. My feeling is he gets made an example of, the rest of the year, and maybe even some next year, like an full season worth of games. Rudolph should get 2 or 3, and I forget who it was, but the guy who came in with the kick should get a few.

Glad to see the Browns get the Steeler monkey off their back. The defense played well except for the debacle at the end. Myles will get suspended for the year is my guess. Marred a great performance with a stupid ending! :thumpdown

 

[ChickenArise]

Week 11 lines scoresandodds.com

Week 11 lines scoresandodds.com
check www.scoresandodds.com for last minute updates and good luck today!

 

[ChickenArise]

Official Plays:

Im in at 44 earlier in the week but this game should be fine down to 41.5 so we will go with
IND/JAX u 42.5

Tampa Bay +5 a very live dog

Arizona +10 vs a very beat up San Fransisco team without many weapons they have become accustomed to using.

Leans:

Under Chicago/LA Rams 40. The total went from 42 open to 40 crossing the 41 threshold which is a concern that it may be too low. These teams are struggling on offense.

Notes:

There are many analytics that favor the Jets, watch out for the Redskins trap.

The Minnesota line is a bit large if Denver shows up to play after their bi

Analytic models from Clear Data Sports state that if the Bills gain an early lead (first touchdown in the first quarter) one should look to take advantage of an in game live under just after this score happens and point total is adjusted to account for the early score.

The same hold true for an early Jacksonville touchdown favors an in game play on the under.

Best of luck!