Estonian Football Corner (betting tips)

[Risto234]

Today in Meistriliiga:
Kuressaare - Kalju
18:00 CET
5€ on under 4 goals @1.78
5€ on both teams NOT to score @2.43
5€ on Kuressaare under 0.5 goals @2.52
All odds are from Marathonbet.


Kuressaare have won 2 and lost 4 of the 7 games so far but 6 of their games saw just one team finding the net(if even that) while they didn't score in 5 matches and they have defended well enough so far this season as only their most recent leaguegame went over 4 when they lost 0:5 to Flora so i expect them to park the bus more effectively this time around. Kalju played 120 minutes on tuesday and now they're taking 4h trip to Saaremaa under new manager. Also for whatever reason this game starts 6h later so i assume it's thanks to Kalju who probably started to complain yet again that they don't want to wake up before 6AM on SAT to start their 4hour bustrip(so they'd save money from spending one night in local hotel) Anyway Kure scored twice in the last 2 h2h homegames but i hope that defending champions actually start to play now and therefore don't make stupid mistakes anymore(specially in defense)

 

[Risto234]

Today in Meistriliiga:
Kuressaare - Kalju
18:00 CET
5€ on under 4 goals @1.78
5€ on both teams NOT to score @2.43
5€ on Kuressaare under 0.5 goals @2.52
All odds are from Marathonbet.

Flora and Levadia say thank you very much cause defending champions dropped points yet again. Also with bets it's 3/3 as game ended goalless and current bankroll is 564.57€

 

[Risto234]

Today in Meistriliiga:

Levadia - Flora

14:00 CET

4.57€ on Jevgeni Budnik to score @2.65 in Betsafe

Both teams have won all 7 leaguegames so far this season so one thing is for sure - one of these teams(if not both) will drop first points of the season tonight. Levadia striker J. Budnik who is currently topscorer in league after scoring 9 in 7 games had day off on wednesday when his team played 120 minutes in estonian cup so he'd be well rested. Hower this ukrainian have scored just 3 goals from open play so it might be worrying point cause 6 of his goals came from penalty spot and i doubt that Levadia is going to get another penalty for the seventh consecutive leaguegame.. Anyway i guess it's now perfect time to see what he can(or can't) do against top teams cause Levadia next 3 games in all competions are against titlerivals Flora and Kalju.

 

[Risto234]

Today in Meistriliiga:

Levadia - Flora

14:00 CET

4.57€ on Jevgeni Budnik to score @2.65 in Betsafe

Typical right. Few moments after he goes to the bench Levadia draws the game and some minutes later they even get penalty which is obviously sent to the sky and i guess it clearly became crucial as they lost 1:2

 

[Risto234]

Tomorrow in Meistriliiga:
Kalju - Levadia
14:00 CET
5€ on Y. Tkachuk to get booked @2.35 in Betsafe
5€ on Levadia @2.20 in Coolbet

I guess it's safe to say that both teams have been quite average defensively so far this season as defending champions have conceded 9 goals in the first 8 matches while Levadia have conceded 7. If this means that both teams are actually focusing not to concede tomorrow and therefore we'll see lowscoring game then hopefully that isn't going to happen. Levadia won first 7 leaguegames of the season but then lost to Flora last week in a game where they even wasted some chances where it was harder to miss than to score ... So considering Flora won on friday then i guess they can't afford to drop even more points ... However recent h2h games haven't been that succesful for them as they've won just 1 of the last 7 competive h2h games and in the league they have gone 5 matches without a win since beating Kalju 2 years ago ... Hopefully they can get positive result this time wround and keep pressure on Flora ...

As for Yuri Tkachuk then this ukrainian is playing aggressively, perhaps even too aggressively but clearly he knows it very much as he has said that our league isn't probably ready for that kind of play which is true i guess. Anyway last season he collected 15 yellow cards and 1 red in 31 games. This season he have played in just 5 games but he has already received 2 yellows which were in the same game so obviously he was "unfortunate" enough to see red ... Considering he missed game vs Flora due to suspension then perhaps he can actually control himself now but i still predict that he's still going to play (very) aggressively.

 

[Risto234]

Tomorrow in Meistriliiga:
Kalju - Levadia
14:00 CET
5€ on Y. Tkachuk to get booked @2.35 in Betsafe
5€ on Levadia @2.20 in Coolbet

Well i'm not sure what's the (world) record in this category but Levadia received penalty for 8th consecutive leaguegame. And just like last week then they didn't use that golden chance yet again. So no surprise there as they eventually lost 1:2 ... Teams also go h2h on wednesday in estonian cup semifinal so that game should be intresting one aswell. Also Y. Tkachuk did his job so current bankroll 566.75€

 

[Risto234]

Today in estonian cup semifinal:
Narva - Elva
18:00 CET
6.75€ on under 4 goals @1.83 in Marathonbet

Both teams have won 3 of the last 5 games but lost their previous game on saturday 0:1 so they both are definitely trying to win today cause only positive result will send either one of these teams to cup final. Elva is definitely going to park the bus here so i guess it's pretty understandable from their point of view. Unfortunately for Trans they haven't been that effective in scoring so far this season as they've scored 4 goals just once so far this season and basically have been even worse at home cause during the 6 homegames so far this season they have won just 1 and even in that game they scored just 2 goals. So perhaps Elva can defend well enough to not give Trans their biggest homewin of the season.

 

[Risto234]

Today in estonian cup semifinal:
Narva - Elva
18:00 CET
6.75€ on under 4 goals @1.83 in Marathonbet

I absolutely like it when bet loses thanks to 90th min goal

 

[Risto234]

Today in estonian cup semifinal:
Kalju - Levadia
18:00 CET

5€ on both teams to score @1.79 - unibet
5€ on over 2.5 goals @1.91 - marathonbet

These teams could have easily met in the final but not this time as they are fortunate to go h2h for the second time in less than 5 days. Although it's cup semifinal and both teams will be trying to knock their direct rival out i still expect both sides to make at least some changes to their squads.. Also both teams played 120 minutes in QF so perhaps they want to get things done in 90 minutes(i dont have nothing against for potential ET though) - Kalju and Levadia have already met twice this season and these 2 games saw both sides to score aswell as over 2.5 goals so we might easily see opposite to that tonight but considering teams need to score goal(s) here then hopefully not.

 

[Risto234]

Today in estonian cup semifinal:
Kalju - Levadia
18:00 CET

5€ on both teams to score @1.79 - unibet
5€ on over 2.5 goals @1.91 - marathonbet

Well it truly was an intresting game as Kalju won 3:2 in ET. Also Levadia even managed to receive 4(!) red cards. Current bankroll is 568.50€

 

[cubons]

Well it truly was an intresting game as Kalju won 3:2 in ET. Also Levadia even managed to receive 4(!) red cards. Current bankroll is 568.50€

How big your bankroll was when you started this thread?

 

[Risto234]

How big your bankroll was when you started this thread?

When the season started 2 months ago in march it was 500.-

 

[Risto234]

Today in Esiliiga:
Vaprus - Welco
18:00 CET
5€ on under 4 goals @1.74 in Unibet

Vaprus have won 6 of the first 9 leaguegames while Welco did the opposite as they've lost 6 of the 9 matches so far.. Also far this season just 2 games for hosts and 3 for visitors have gone over 4 goals.. However Vaprus have won all 4 homegames this season and in most recent 3 they even scored 3 or more goals.. At the same time Welco may have scored in 3 of the 4 away leaguegames but they still lost all of them as they conceded 2+ goals in all of these matches on the road.. However first h2h game in april saw just 2 goals in it so who knows perhaps we'll see another lowscoring game.

 

[cubons]

When the season started 2 months ago in march it was 500.-

Well done! I'm actually from Latvia and used to play football for eleven years, but don't know anything about Estonian league

 

[Risto234]

Today in Meistriliiga:
Kalju - Kuressaare
18:00 CET
5€ on Kalju over 2.5 goals @1.74 in Unibet

Both teams have played quite well recently i'd say as Kalju have won 3 consecutive games while Kuressaare is unbeaten in 3. Kure may have conceded same amount of goals(10) as the defending champions but they've still been solid defense cause apart from that awaygame vs Flora which they lost 0:5 they haven't conceded more than 1 goal in other games(if even that) - it's no surprise that defending champions have struggled to score in most games this season and they've yet to score 3(or more) goals at home in the league so perhaps they can actually score twice for the fourth consecutive home leaguegame and dont stop there as they go for that third goal.. I'm pretty sure i'm (way) too optimistic about that specially as previous h2h game ended goalless but this should mean that we'll see goals this time around.

 

[Risto234]

Today in Meistriliiga:
Kalju - Kuressaare
18:00 CET
5€ on Kalju over 2.5 goals @1.74 in Unibet

Captain Fantastic saves the day with his 93rd min goal as Kalju won 3:2 so current bankroll is 572.20€

 

[RedGnom]

Captain Fantastic saves the day with his 93rd min goal as Kalju won 3:2 so current bankroll is 572.20€

Nice tip!Keep it up!

 

[Risto234]

Nice tip!Keep it up!

Let's see about that.. Next tip is probably coming on tuesday and for that i need help from 1 or 2 ukrainians

 

[RedGnom]

Let's see about that.. Next tip is probably coming on tuesday and for that i need help from 1 or 2 ukrainians

What about Flora-Narva this afternoon? Looks like lopsided game today?!

 

[Risto234]

What about Flora-Narva this afternoon? Looks like lopsided game today?!

Well i could like Flora winning streak/unbeaten run coming to an end but i still don't take Narva double chance or something like that(betting against Flora is more useful in european competions)... Flora have received some big wins already this season but Narva can (usually) defend well enough like they proved in first h2h game of the season where they lost 0:1 thanks to (questionable) handball on the line which gave Flora perfect chance to score from penalty.. Anyway if i'd bet on this match then i'd go with under 2.5 goals and/or Narva +1.75 AH

 

[Risto234]

Today in Meistriliiga:
Levadia - Kalju
18:30 CET
5€ on Yuri Tkachuk to get booked @2.25 in Betsafe

After Flora dropped first points of the season on friday then i guess it's perfect chance for either team to reduce gap with leaders.. Both teams have won last 2 and 4 games so it's quite clear that (atleast) for one team their winning streak will end tonight.. It's still quite clear that recent h2h games haven't been succesful for Levadia as they've won just 1 of the last 8 matches vs Kalju and (although i doubt it's because of him) Y. Tkachuk played in 7 of these games as he was fortunate to get his name into referee's notebook 4 times. He has also been booked in all 3 h2h games this season and in most recent h2h game he was one of these 4 lucky Levadia players who even saw red so i expect him to continue playing aggressively and probably getting another card.

 

[Risto234]

Second saturday in june
Estonia vs Northern ireland
18:00 CET
5€ on N. Ireland -1 AH @2.98 in Marathonbet

Yeah i know that there's more than week to go until the game but as N. Ireland odds started to drop today(even if it's just temporarily; i'm pretty sure it's because our squad list for games in june) then i guess it's better to make this bet now should these odds continue dropping even further ... Anyway N. Ireland won both their 2 homegames in march and now in june they visit Estonia and Belarus. I believe that they said that their target is to get 12p from the first 4 games so their (slim) chance of challenging for top2 finish would still sound realistic(even if it's not) Estonia meanwhile have played just 1 qualifier so far which was 0:2 defeat in Belfast so in our first homegame in 2019 we'd be able to make much better perfomance and maybe even getting something from this game. I can't say that i don't believe in my team but obviously if we'd play the same way like in homegame vs Hungary(3:3) then chances to get something from this game and/or scoring goals could be much bigger than with just parking the bus which is what we're probably going to do ... Anyway i'd like to be wrong and see visitors playing like amateurs but as long as they dont do it then #EstoniaSucks should work

 

[Risto234]

Second saturday in june
Estonia vs Northern Ireland
18:00 CET
5€ on N. Ireland -1 AH @2.98 in Marathonbet

Clearly I'd have waited like until 75th min to make livebet instead and put money on N. Ireland as odds were too good during that time as they were still behind but obv 5 mins later they're leading 2:1 and that's how it ended ...

 

[Risto234]

Tuesday ...
germany - Estonia
20:45 CET
5€ on under 4 goals @2 in Bet365

Both teams have played 2 qualifiers so far - Germany won both awaygames in Holland and in Belarus as they scored 2 or more goals in both of these matches while (not surprisingly) we lost both matches vs N. Ireland.. Anyway i guess it's safe to say that our first(and probably the only) target in Mainz is to concede as few goals as possible... I believe that even Gibraltar lost just 0:4 in Germany so if we'd concede less than them then it might be miracle(or job well done?) considering that Hungary, Bosnia(twice), Belgium scored 5+ goals against us recently ...

 

[Risto234]

Tuesday ...
Germany - Estonia
20:45 CET
5€ on under 4 goals @2 in Bet365

Whatever. Clearly it cant get any worse when you're 0:4 down after 26 minutes. Afterwards it's still easier to say that german -3, 3.5 handicaps would have been better optin but yeah looks like perfect time to go to sleep now ...

And now 5:0 lol