Estonian Football Corner (betting tips)

[Risto234]

On wednesday in Meistriliiga

Flora - Levadia

Levadia AH0 @1.96

Levadia is trailing league leaders by 7p so basically it's just like must win game for them against other title contender with ~ 11 games still go.
Flora have found the net in all but one homegame this season while Levadia have also failed to score in just awaygame this season.
I take this bet just because Flora's h2h record this season against other top clubs in all competions have been extremely shocking - 6 games and still not a single win.

 

[Risto234]

Always expect the unexpected right as Flora won 3:0 lol ...

Tomorrow in Esiliiga:

Keila - Maardu

Under 5 goals @1.61

My recent under 4 bets have come through with ease if i remember correctly then hopefully luck continues here aswell cause it only takes 6 goals for this bet to lose.
But yeah story is still the same - whenever under 4(or in this rare case under 5) is available with great odds it's still worth a try while hoping that for once both teams are extremely wasteful in front of goal and keep the game as lowscoring one.

 

[Risto234]

That under 5 showed once again that you may easily get freak scores


On sunday in Meistriliiga
Kalju - Flora
Kalju @2.50 and let's reduce risk with Kalju AH0 @1.84

Kalju is still unbeaten in the league and they have been quite dominant at home aswell with winning 12 of the 13 homegames. Flora meanwhile have won 8 of the 11 away leaguegames and although they've lost 2 away leaguegames this season then they do know that win here could mean that they can move top of the league once they won their game in hand. And from neutral point of view visitors win could be acceptable aswell because then title challenge gets more intresting. Obviously. As i'm planning to go watch this game then i'd like to see highscoring game so perhaps we'll see plenty of goals here although i probably wouldn't be too surprised if we see opposite of that should neither team want to take too many risks ...
Kalju is unbeaten in 4 h2h games as they won 3 of them and in each of these matches they scored 2+ goals. So hopefully they can avoid first loss of the season in this match aswell.

 

[Risto234]

On sunday in Meistriliiga
Kalju - Flora
Kalju @2.50 and let's reduce risk with Kalju AH0 @1.84

Back from the game and let's thank hosts for not being able to hold on to lead.
as the game ended 1:1

 

[Risto234]

Keila - Kalju II

Under 4 goals @1.76 in Pinnacle.

Story is still the same. Whenever under 4 is available with ridiciously great odds it's always worth a try. Also it's weird that these odds have changed dramatically up and down in the last 10+ minutes.

Also sorry for lateness as the game starts basically in 15 minutes ...

 

[Risto234]

On saturday in Nations League

Estonia - Greece

Greece @2
Greece -1 AH@3.20

First of all i think that any under line in this match will have more value in it but i still decided to go with different approach. Well i can't say i don't belive in my team but i am still going to use logic of betting against your team here because if my team loses then i get money and if not then atleast it shows that opponents do suck

 

[Risto234]

On saturday in Nations League

Estonia - Greece

Greece @2
Greece -1 AH@3.20



Estonia - Greece 0:1

 

[Risto234]

Tomorrow in Nations League
Finland - Estonia
Finland -1 AH @2.14

Finland have been in much better form than us in 2018 cause they've won 4, drew and lost 1 of fhe 6 matches while we have won 1 and lost 4 of the 7 games so far in this calendar year. I'd like to pick Estonia goal(s) and/or AH's/DnB here but knowing that we are pretty much going to play for 0:0 like in every awaygame basically then it's probably more useful to look for any under line you can find whether is it first half under, Finland under or just under 2 or so on ...
Although there are obviously other great markets available for this match aswell i guess that once again i take this kind of bet to see how good or bad our opponents really are. So let's see.

 

[Risto234]

Tomorrow in Nations League
Finland - Estonia
Finland -1 AH @2.14

Group D for the next edition of Nations League - here we come

Like in every awaygame we go to play for 0:0 - then usually concede first while still playing like the score remains goalless.
finland 1:0

 

[ggf99]

Great thread from Estonia. As i know estonian clubs like to score millionias goals(like in Iceland or 2nd Holland league)
So i ll be follow your thread and GL with yer betting tips

 

[Risto234]

On friday in Meistriliiga

Tammeka - Kalju

Kalju -1 AH @1.75 in Marathonbet

Tammeka have lost just 1 of the last 6 homegames as they've won most recent 3 homegames aswell. Obviously they are dreaming about that 4th place which might secure 2 EL games next season but as they're 7 points behind on 5th place then they must continue collecting points - presumably even 3 ...
Kalju is still unbeaten in the league and they've scored in all leaguegames so far this season so i expect them to continue with these streaks as they can't afford to lose any more points considering Flora who is currently in 2nd, have game in hand. Kalju may have won all but 1 h2h game during the last 7 seasons but Tammeka can make it difficult for them - even this season they were really unfortunate to lose first game 0:1 thanks to last second goal but in the second game they held leagueleaders to 1:1 draw.
Usually in estonian leaguegames top teams AH's aren't that good against weaker teams so it's about time to use these odds right now should they drop dramatically in the next 24 hours ...

 

[Risto234]

On friday in Meistriliiga

Tammeka - Kalju

Kalju -1 AH @1.75 in Marathonbet

Considering these odds had dropped to 1.30 some 8h ago it definitely was right choice to pick it when they were too damn good.
And we have another refund as Kalju won 1:0(just like true champion)

 

[Risto234]

Tomorrow morning(12:00 CET) in Meistriliiga:

Kuressaare - Levadia

Under 5 goals @1.79
Levadia under 4.5 goals @1.75

Since last h2h game in june in which Kure were lucky to take 2p from Levadia as they hold them 1:1 draw it hasn't been that wonderful for hosts as they have lost 10 leaguegames in a row. Levadia meanwhile have won 7 of the 10 leaguegames since that disappointing draw.
Kure may have conceded 3-4 goals in most homegames and although they have conceded 5+ twice this season then the last similar game where everything went wrong was back in april.
Levadia have scored 5+ goals in 2 awaygames this season but haven't done that since april. So hopefully they don't humiliate their opponent and perhaps for the third time in 4 awaygames settle for 4:0 win.
All 3 h2h games so far this season have stayed under 5 so i hope for more of the same.

 

[Risto234]

Tomorrow morning(12:00 CET) in Meistriliiga:

Kuressaare - Levadia

Under 5 goals @1.79
Levadia under 4.5 goals @1.75

Oh well then if even the nature isn't helping at all as Levadia won 5:0 in (extremely) windy conditions

 

[jimbob12]

Estonia - Greece 0:1

i'd go 2-1 greece

 

[Risto234]

i'd go 2-1 greece

Greece is too good to even score 2 goals against us btw.

 

[Risto234]

Today in Esiliiga
Kalju II - Flora II
18:00 CET

Under 4 goals @1.97
Under 4.5 goals @1.60

After going 16 games without a win as they lost 15 matches during that time Kalju youngsters finally managed to win on thursday. After losing just 3 games between march and june Flora youngsters seem to be on vacation mode as they've now lost 5 of the 9 games since august. Kalju may have lost nearly half of their 15 homegames so far this season but just 2 of them had 5+ goals in it. Flora meanwhile have won 6 and lost 4 of their 14 away leaguegames. Also just 2 awaygames for them had 5+ goals in it. As both Kalju and Flora first teams have important cup games on tuesday & wednesday it's very unlikely that these teams get any extra help so hopefully we will see typical monday game tonight - lowscoring one.
Teams have met 3 times so far this season with these games having 4, 3 and 6 goals in it. So story is still the same - whenever under 4 is available with ridiciously great odds you just have to hope that for once teams have no idea how to score goals.

 

[Risto234]

Today in Esiliiga
Kalju II - Flora II
18:00 CET

Under 4 goals @1.97
Under 4.5 goals @1.60

It's always great when you pick under 4 in match which actually turns out as lowscoring one by finishing 1:1

 

[Risto234]

Today in estonian cup:

Levadia - Flora

BTTS @1.67
Over 2.5 goals @1.76


Both teams have scored 2+ goals in 4 of the last 5 games so now it seems that they have perfect chance to outscore their opponent while knocking them out of the cup competion. Obviously with this kind of games there's always risk that teams take it very cautiously as they don't want to score while searching for that 1 crucial goal which might decide the game(just like in cup final ..) Both teams have already met 5 times in 2018 and in 3 of these games both teams found the net net while 4 matches went over 2.5 goals. So i do hope that both teams will focus on attacking here because they both need goals here if they want to make it to the next round.

 

[Risto234]

Today in estonian cup:

Levadia - Flora

BTTS @1.67
Over 2.5 goals @1.76

Although i didn't bet against them this time Flora still showed why it's useful to bet against them in important matches as they lost 1:2 despite going 1:0 up

 

[Risto234]

Tomorrow in Meistriliiga:
Levadia - Kalju
18:30 CET
Levadia DnB @1.81

Both teams have won 5 games in a row so one thing is for sure: (atleast) for one team their winning streak will come to an end. Levadia is currently trailing Kalju by 7p and with 6 games to go they need to win here to have any chance of winning the league. However Kalju is still unbeaten in the league and they've scored in every leaguegame this season aswell but they probably need to wait much longer for their goal here than in last match where they managed to score within' 10 seconds basically. Also Kalju basically have the luxury to lose both this week's awaygames vs Levadia and Flora and still staying on course to become champions for the first time since 2012 considering that Levadia and Flora will have to go head-to-head in the final round ...
Levadia have yet to win h2h game this season so hopefully they can do it on 4th time. Or atleast avoid defeat here.

 

[Risto234]

Tomorrow in Meistriliiga:
Levadia - Kalju
18:30 CET
Levadia DnB @1.81

Levadia only has themselves to blame after drewing 0:0 in a game where they were gifted with penalty in 3rd min.

 

[Risto234]

Tomorrow in Meistriliiga:
Pärnu - Narva
12:00 CET
Under 4 goals @2.05

Pärnu have lost 4 in a row while Narva have won 5 in a row. Unlike their opponents who need points like thin air because they are currently rockbottom in the league Narva pretty much have nothing to play for anymore because they have already secured 4th place. Pärnu may have conceded 3 in previous game against Viljandi but in that game they risked way more while going to attack than they are going to do in this match. Narva have scored 2 or more goals in each of the last 6 matches but they have had 1 day less for rest than opponents and now their options in attack are pretty much limited as both of their 2 best strikers so far this season are unavailable for different reasons. Also local kickoff time 13:00 is also against them considering it takes nearly 3 and half hours to get there ... Pärnu lost first 2 h2h games this season 0:6 and 0:4 but in most recent one they were lucky to get 1:1 draw. Whether they get something from this game or not i still hope that they can defend properly once again and keep this match as lowscoring one.

 

[Risto234]

Tomorrow in Meistriliiga:
Pärnu - Narva
12:00 CET
Under 4 goals @2.05

it's always wonderful to pick under 4 in match which has 1 goal in it

 

[Risto234]

On friday in Nations League:

Estonia - Finland

Estonia +0.5 AH @1.75
Estonia over 1.0 goals @2.75

So far Finland have won both of their games 1:0 thanks to T. Pukki who scored twice in first 15 minutes last month. At the same time Estonia lost both of their games 0:1 while conceding inside 15 minutes in both matches ...
Honestly i don't mind our team to relegated to league D anymore but could this happen then hopefully it's not going to be with 0 points and most importantly with 0 goals.
Obviously scoring goals is still problem for our team but what can you do when first target is always to keep a clean sheet which usually backfires.. However i believe that in the last 2 qualifying campaigns Finland kept just 2 clean sheets on the road so hopefully their defense struggles once more if the weather conditions are really bad once again(even the previous h2h game in september was blessed by heavy rain ...) And now it's way colder outside + in october our pitch tends to be frozen like it was 2 years ago when Greece both CBs couldn't handle it for more than 10 minutes ...

I'm probably way too optimistic this time around about our chances and that's why i'm not going with Finland -1 AH @3.50 - I am probably going to regret not betting against Estonia this time but hopefully not.