John A
Poker Zion Coach
Silver Level
Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 8 Players
SB: $15.88 (63.5 bb)
BB: $38.12 (152.5 bb)
UTG+2: $45.66 (182.6 bb)
MP1: $16.94 (67.8 bb)
Hero (MP2): $25 (100 bb)
MP3: $47.92 (191.7 bb)
CO: $25.80 (103.2 bb)VPIP: 16, PFR: 12, 3B: 3, AF: 0.6, Hands: 203
BTN: $48.05 (192.2 bb)
Preflop: Hero is MP2 with 44
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.75, MP3 folds, CO calls $0.75, 3 folds
Flop: ($1.85) 48A(2 players)
Hero bets $1.18, CO calls $1.18
Turn: ($4.21) J(2 players)
Hero bets $2.68, CO calls $2.68
River: ($9.57) Q(2 players)
Hero bets ?
Clearly hes likely to call with his Ace hands and raise with his flushes so it looks like a clear bet fold spot, but how much do we bet to avoid giving away too much information about our hand?
Hero bets $4, CO calls $4
Results: $17.57 pot ($0.79 rake)
Final Board: 48AJQ
Hero showed 44and won $16.78 ($8.17 net)
CO mucked QAand lost (-$8.61 net)....Now I wish I'd bet 6.50....
The problem in this hand isn't really the river, although there's a theme happening here that you should really pay attention to in all of your hands.
Bet sizing... you don't have enough hands on this guy to care about exploitable bet sizes, so take advantage of it.
On the flop, if this guy has Ax or a flush draw, they aren't folding. Bet more. Same on the turn. On the river, against someone this passive, they make it ubber easy. You can bet a larger amount that you might need to call against more aggressive opponents, because they are only raising the very top of their range. So even as played, bet fold $5. But I want to go street by street and count the BBs we missed... because this adds up at the end of the month correct? What is going to separate you from the other regs in your game, REALLY GOOD bet sizing... always.
1.85 on the flop... we bet 1.6... turn would then be...
5.05, and we bet 3.85.. then the river would be...
12.75, and we bet 6.8...
In the hand you played, you won: 8.61
In the hand I played, I won: 13
BB diff: ~17.5 bbs
And I'll tell you, when I'm betting, I'm thinking about what are my worst runouts, and how much of those bad runnouts hit my opponents range. The more passive my opponent is, the more aggressive I get w/ my big hands because I know on those bad runouts, I can get away from my hand much easier if they raise. I'm not getting myself into thresholds where I've committed vs. their range.
I hope that gives you something to think about this weekend... and keep up the good play! You're doing well, and winning, now let's crush.