Still on a really good run I just don't post my NFL bets here anymore. Out of all the non soccer betting threads here, this one has the most people, yet there is next to no communication about the games, it's just simply people putting their picks with no knowledge as to why, or any information exchanged. Ribby gives his brief reasonings, and you give your information, more so lately, but otherwise it's a wasted hub of potential information and learning for people to be better cappers and bettors.
Also, multiple times I've tried to give information on games, or just general tips, in here and got snapped at, and I'm not with that. I still look in here though from time to time.
I don't mean wasted in the information that is here, I mean wasted as in the information that is not. There are multiple people here outside of us 3 that post 3+ plays every week but they don't give their angle or take on their reasoning. Perhaps I say something you overlooked, or chicken mentions a last minute player who is sitting out. If everyone who uses this thread did that, there could be a wealth of information to parse with your own. We have a week to discuss every game, it's not baseball or basketball where they play 4 or 5 times a week. A whole week to add just 3 or 4 insights. That would be extremely useful, especially for more casual bettors. And guess what, if everyone here was more successful, then more people would come in which would birth even more information, and more people in different markets. That's why it's sad how it's currently being used.
I just discovered this thread. I'm in if you let me
UNDER 47.5
Rams +1
Det +13
I get it and here's the reasoning for my bets:
Ten/Oak UNDER 47.5:
I keep track of every team +/- and Spread results since start of season. Tennessee has been on the OVER the last 6 games. There's gotta be a return of the balance someday. Plus, now that Tannehill has been proven superhero material, he'll be more studied by othewr teams. Oakland will not play their best football after their recent BIG loss against KC. They'll be careful if they take the lead.
LAR +1 vs Seattle:
Seattle has played a very emotional game, on monday. They will not have enough energy to overcome the battling for their life rival Rams.
Det +13 vs Minnesota
Minnesota also played on Monday. They will not take divisionnal rival seriously enough and will be out of energy to have a good start away from home. Furthermore, Detroit lost the spread in their last 6 games. I believe in the return of the balance, once again.
I don't mean wasted in the information that is here, I mean wasted as in the information that is not. There are multiple people here outside of us 3 that post 3+ plays every week but they don't give their angle or take on their reasoning. Perhaps I say something you overlooked, or chicken mentions a last minute player who is sitting out. If everyone who uses this thread did that, there could be a wealth of information to parse with your own. We have a week to discuss every game, it's not baseball or basketball where they play 4 or 5 times a week. A whole week to add just 3 or 4 insights. That would be extremely useful, especially for more casual bettors. And guess what, if everyone here was more successful, then more people would come in which would birth even more information, and more people in different markets. That's why it's sad how it's currently being used.
I get it and here's the reasoning for my bets:
Ten/Oak UNDER 47.5:
I keep track of every team +/- and Spread results since start of season. Tennessee has been on the OVER the last 6 games. There's gotta be a return of the balance someday. Plus, now that Tannehill has been proven superhero material, he'll be more studied by othewr teams. Oakland will not play their best football after their recent BIG loss against KC. They'll be careful if they take the lead.
LAR +1 vs Seattle:
Seattle has played a very emotional game, on monday. They will not have enough energy to overcome the battling for their life rival Rams.
Det +13 vs Minnesota
Minnesota also played on Monday. They will not take divisionnal rival seriously enough and will be out of energy to have a good start away from home. Furthermore, Detroit lost the spread in their last 6 games. I believe in the return of the balance, once again.
I kind of like the Rams and then again I don't. Wishy washy performances! I don't know which team will show up? I do know who will show up when Seahawks play - Russell Wilson
Sunday games ...
Browns vs Bengals; over 40.0 @1.91
Packers vs Redskins; over 41.5 @1.95
That's how I feel also. I always like the rams solely from the talent they have, but they don't show up the vast majority of the time. Rams and Dallas are 2 peas in a pod like that. Together these teams should have 3 or so losses, total.
You might just take Oakland to win instead of the Under. Raiders had 9 points last game. I am sure Coach Gruden is not happy with that output. The Raiders will try and improve their scoring I am sure of it. Titans give up about 20 points a game and Raiders 27 points on average. 47.5 is pretty darn close - I don't believe the Raiders can hold Titans under 20 in my opinion. Raiders have given up 3,000 yds passing already.
I kind of like the Rams and then again I don't. Wishy washy performances! I don't know which team will show up? I do know who will show up when Seahawks play - Russell Wilson
I don't like Lions in Minnesota. Vikings played well and lost. Cousins and company will regroup and play hard. 13 points is a bunch in NFL. Watch the line! Lions defense 4th ranked in NFL - special teams not bad either - backdoor cover is possible
Week 13 Sunday and Monday (3-2) +.80 Units/ +$80 Overall (41-49) -12.90 Units/-$1,290
Recap - Packers finish strong win by 18 (1-0) Steelers have big INT to close out Browns (1-0) TB scores but Jax sputters (0-1) SF/Bal have 34 in 1st half but 6 in second (0-1) and Seattle outlasted Minnesota on Monday night (1-0)
Week 14 Thursday-
Chicago(+3) Home vs Dallas - Both teams have identical team stats - should be a close game
1 Unit each - $100
Which stats are you looking at ribby? Dallas is 1st in the league in yards, Chicago is 29th. Dallas averages 2 yards more per play, 40 yards per drive compared or 25 for chicago and so on and so on.
Defensively they are similar, but on the other side it's not remotely close. I'm not questioning your play, I just curious if maybe you saw a past years results or something(I've done that before) because offensively the stats are extremely toward dallas. Dallas has 5200 yards on the season, Chicago has about 3300. Both have given up the same yards (within 30 for the season).