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Jesus you are such a sucker. That tease is burning money.
He called you Jesus doesn't sound like a bad label to me =P
I tried to warn ya
Still lots of game left though
I've tried to tell you before, but you just don't listen. Maybe you need to hear the long explanation from someone else (although you'll probably consider it too long winded). But this is sports betting 101 kid.Lol thanks for the label....
It would benefit everyone who has posted here, including this sucker, for you to elaborate and educate rather than just result to name calling.
I've tried to tell you before,
but you just don't listen.
I always hear that phrase "Teasers and parlays are sucker bets" and I have come to some conclusions, I just don't know what the answer is.
1 - I'm maybe a sucker? With the regular season approaching, I feel teasing 7-10 points on a spread or over/under allows me to confidently pick a correct outcome. Yes, it's been a bit shaky so far, but I've been betting on preseason. I'll be the first to tell anyone betting on the preseason is silly, but I've got the itch and wont danger my BR before the season begins. Last year I stuck with these bets doing 3 leg sweetheart teasers and would wager a hundred or two on the games. I did fairly well. I'd like to replicate last year and if I do, I will be pretty excited on that.
2 - The suckers are those who say that phrase? Again - I don't know which one is the answer. Maybe they both are? What I do know is a decent amount of the NFL game and allowing that TD or more swing really makes me comfortable in those bets. Obviously there is never anything of a 'lock' in the sports betting world, but I do like my chances
does absolutely nothing for nobody here.Jesus you are such a sucker. That tease is burning money.
Here is everything I've got on the line today. Not too much, but hopefully making money instead of losing money.
Week 2
Carbon: -$79
Bovada: -$51.27
Overall: -130.27
Bovada:
3 Team Teaser
New Orleans Saints +3 Sep 14/14@01:00p
Competitor: Cleveland Browns
Seattle Seahawks +4 Sep 14/14@04:05p
Competitor: San Diego Chargers
Denver Broncos -3 Sep 14/14@04:25p
Competitor: Kansas City Chiefs
Risk US$ 100.00
To Win US$ 90.91
Dallas Cowboys +3.5
NO Saints -310
NE Pats -210
GB Packers -400
Risk US$2.00
To Win US$6.95
Carbon:
Bet $ 75.00 to win $ 62.50
Result: Pending
Dallas Cowboys vs Tennessee Titans 09/14/14 13:00 EDT
Dallas Cowboys +13.5
Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos 09/14/14 16:25 EDT
Denver Broncos -3
New York Jets vs Green Bay Packers 09/14/14 16:25 EDT
Green Bay Packers +1.5
Bet $5.00 to win $13.89
Denver Broncos -800
NE Pats -225
NO Saints -280
GB Packers -400
Seattle Seahawks -270
Because the price you pay for those additional points isn't worth it.What confuses me, and I hope this is the only thing if anything that gets addressed from this post, is that if these lines as is are set up by the masterminds of all that is holy to make them as 50/50 as possible, why wouldn't anyone want to get an extra 10/13 points in their favor???
Yep. The only reason to ever do a teaser is if you're doing a "Wong Teaser", or using a 6 point tease to cross the 3 and the 7 (only teasing spreads of +2 or -8).Sorry, but stupid terminology question: "crossing the zero" is adding points to go from, say, -3 to +3, right?
Because the price you pay for those additional points isn't worth it.
So the odds you laid on that teaser are 100:90.91. So in order for that bet to pay off, you'd have to win that bet 52.38% of the time. You take the cube root of 0.5238 to find the odds that you need to win each individual game, which is 0.806 for the math impaired.
So the question is this: if you get 10 points, does the spread go from a 50/50 proposition to an 80.6/19.4 proposition. (Spoiler alert: it doesn't) Below, I've included a screenshot from Wizard of odds showing the new odds of winning a game when you add points in your favor to the spread. As you can see, on average, when you get 10 points, your chance of winning against the spread then becomes 78.23%!
BUT WAIT! THERE'S MORE!
This assumes that crossing all numbers are created equal. In football, they're not. Crossing the 3 and 7 is super important, since many games end in those margins of victory. Crossing the zero doesn't ever matter since games rarely end in ties, and one of the Cardinal sins of teasing is that you are burning money if you cross the zero. YOU DID THAT TWICE!
So yeah, here's the deal. You are terrible at sports betting. You are the guy the casinos hope walk in the door, because you make them money. And furthermore, you are lucky, because I am spelling out for you why you're bad. Most people will not give you the 20 minutes to explain out why you're losing money, but for some reason tonight I'm feeling charitable. Please, for your child's sake, everytime you go to bet on sports in the future, stop. Do nothing. Put that money in a 529 plan. Because you are lighting dollar bills on fire by proceeding to bet sports in the manner you're betting them.
Crazy fun bet. $2 win $56 both steelers and panthers defenses score touchdowns.
Colin Cowherd has a football show that focuses on some sports betting. They discuss and will point out who the Sharps are on for some specific games. I wrote some of the picks they made, lets see how they would do this week. These are the lines they like:
Den +5.5
Pit +3
Buf -2
Dal -1
NYG -1.5
Cle +2.5
Oak +14
Min +10