Day 15 Game Selection- Really has nothing to do with Game Selection like picking tables and tourns but a review of concepts. Collin calls it a "midterm".
Pair of 6s example: small pairs is a fold with 2 raisers because you're not going to hit a set like 90% of the time and you're going to be against an over pair or big drawing
hands. You call and miss the set there are likely going to be overcards and most people will have no idea where they are in the hand unless you know your opponents. Like do they play Ace x and if an ace doesn't hit the board will you feel ok going forward to later streets? The 6s example is is another reason why you just can't use math as in implied odds in the example and as Collin says you could get reraised as well after putting in 290.
Scenario: Utg calls, Utg+1 calls you're next to act with the following hands
ATo in middle position is ok shorthanded. You have to be worried about about getting out kicked from the four folks that are next to act with another Ace. Some folks won't play it because of that. Some will raise which is ok if you can get away from an ace hitting the board and the action gets too nasty for you. Collin wants you to raise since its in the raising range or fold, not call.
pocket ducks - you can call and see how the action goes. A raise to isolate is ok but requires you to get the hand to almost heads up and see if a CBet will take it down. Against Ax and no Ace on the board then it usually does except against donks so you also need to know who you're playing against. When they're just calling like that they usually have small pairs but if they're better than average they're folding those utg because at a descent table they're going to facing a raise. Collin wants you to call, if you call then the SB and BB could come along and if you dont hit the set and that not going to happen like 90% of the time then the hand is basically dead but you only give up the 40 chips that is nothing to your 5566 and that's the main point, little risk and big reward if you can avoid a wet board.
K9o Not a strong hand that will get folks in trouble with kicker problems at best. Collin wants you to fold it.
JT example give emphasis on Betting sizing. Like the commentary on the JT, A3, 87 going through the example going over boards and betting sizes. 87 be aware of coordinated board.
ATo with a Utg call and Utg+1 3xBB bet is an easy fold preflop you're going to get out kicked.
Small pair is a fold since if you call you're putting 10% of your stack in the middle with only a 10% chance of hitting a set. and you still have someone to react after you that could be holding a monster and shove so you putting 10% of your stack in the middle without seeing a flop wouldn't be the best idea. Implied odds are what you get from the raisers stack divided by how much to call. So I guess its the raise of 780-150 call gets you to 630 then take that call amount and divide it into their stack of 4383+their raise of 780 so 5000 and that goes in about 5000/630 something like 8 times so 8:1. whatever. In an earlier lesson Collin
tells us we need 20:1 odds to call that pair for a set draw. I don't use that.
Not going into the KT and 65 examples but they're donk plays by hero. . UBER EXAMPLE THAT USING MATH ALONE WILL SET YOU UP FOR FAILURE. This is giving away chips when you don't need to regardless of the results. Don't need to go into details
The K3 example makes my tummy upset, really upset. You're putting about 1/3rd your stack at risk on a stupid K3. If you get called I would definitely put that it your notes and look forward to playing HERO again. As the hero if you lose that pot then a lot of folks would try to get back the loss and make more mistakes after mistakes and be out of the tourn or sng within a few hands or be down much lower than where they were at the beginning of this K3 hand. I cringe at this type of poker this is the "new poker" I guess. The A9 example makes zero sense just like the Q5 example. I'm not calling a big chunk of my chips with a stupid Q5. Sorry Collin, I could never play like this. I get you call folks with those hands to get them out of a tourn but it would be for a lot less chips to knock them out. No chart or math could ever convince me of that, its bad donkey poker with high variance. Going to have trouble paying the electricity bill on Q5 Collin. All I hear is Charlie Brown teacher "Waa Waaa Waaa" as Collin goes into the rest of the examples.
Crazy donkfest poker isn't for me. Not a favorite lesson. I like to know who I'm playing and their tendencies and go from there, that's the game. This type of poker ignores that and turns an opponent into a random number that you can plug into a chart or calculator and makes ZERO sense to me. If you're playing an SNG or a tourn you're going to know what they're doing even if you don't see the showdowns by how many hands they play and how they play them so this stuff has never appealed to me but hey, if you can win with it consistently with the Q5 and the K3 in tourns and SNGs then go for it. There are times to be going with those types of hands and those examples didn't seem like the right times for me.
I'll listen but I know how this stuff turns out for me. And if I start playing those types of hands and lose I'm going to be thinking either "I can't believe I sucked out on them" or "I can't believe I got away with that" which is definitely not the mindset I want to have playing hands.
