Are 5-10% of players really winners or is it a myth?

F

fundiver199

Legend
Loyaler
Joined
Jun 3, 2019
Total posts
14,399
Awards
2
Chips
573
I made a Day2 in a micro WCOOP on Sunday. In the final 25 players, less than 20% were losing players...
Sounds pretty normal to me. And the reason is, that in such a large field MTT the bad players typically run out of luck, before they reach the final 25. Which just goes to show, that despite the enormous variance skills do actually matter in MTTs. Its also worth mentioning, that Radia Nasraddine, who made the final table in EPT Monte Carlo main event earlier this year just did the same in EPT Barcelona. Which is quite an achievement, since these are 2.000 player events.
I'm not sure why you suggest the rooms are 'illegal'?
This statement is nonsense, since plenty on countries now have laws in place to regulate online gambling. And in those, who dont, its a grey zone, because sites operate from countries, where their activities are legal. The only thing, that can reasonably be called illegal, are poker clubs run on play money software, where monetary transfers are handled by agents like this bluff shove thing and similar entities. This is similar to live home games or underground poker clubs, which are also illegal in most countries.
Do you also eat at McDonalds every single day but then go and complain about how much they are charging you for a burger that isn't even healthy for you to eat? But then you go there and eat another burger right after complaining about it and then go there again the next day and the next? There are alternatives. McDonalds doesn't force you to go there.
You forgot the part about making unfounded accusations in forums or on social media, that the burgers at McDonalds contain meat from cats and dogs rather than cows ;)
 
S

sandy358

Enthusiast
Silver Level
Joined
Aug 19, 2024
Total posts
32
ME
Chips
66
Who can pinpoint it and can track every player.maybe there are no winning players at all and in the long run we are all losers playing poker just paying 10% fees to online bosses and casino owners Those big famous people with their millions in poker winnings are not telling us the whole truth who may know how much everyone is losing in illegal gambling casinos
poker existential crisis
 
Pokerpoet2

Pokerpoet2

Legend
Loyaler
Joined
May 7, 2020
Total posts
2,730
Awards
2
GB
Chips
744
It's hard to put a correct figure on how many are profitable players, but from my own experience I would believe it is a small amount, Too many believe it is a Life of Luxury Hotels and Foreign Travel but from a Friend I have known for years, told me once, he wouldn't play if it wasn't for the rental properties he owns. Sure he has won some big money games, but he put those winnings into Property and started renting them out, and it is those that make him a living, Not Poker!
Poker only kicked off his business, but now it's his business that allows him to play, Many Professionals have other businesses that they make money from, How many big names in Poker have written books? Or opened Poker Schools On-line? Some are sleeping partners in other businesses like Pubs, Bars and Restaurants, They pay Managers to run them, but the idea is they make a living from other sources, not Poker.
Poker is a Game, and Games are meant to to be Fun! Lose that and there is no point in playing!
 
F

Fushicho

Visionary
Platinum Level
Joined
Oct 2, 2020
Total posts
561
Awards
1
Chips
327
10% seems reasonable. 50% is technically possible since half the people could be losing to the other half. Actually if all the losers are really big spenders then 10% could be losing and making 90% profitable. So 10% profitable is easily possible.
 
A

Amblo

Legend
Bronze Level
Joined
Oct 7, 2018
Total posts
3,253
Awards
5
Chips
471
I think this rate is very close to the tournament payout structure, when it comes to tournaments it is obvious, those who reach the ITM the most times are the winners, the winners change but the space of victory remains the same...😁
if tournaments paid 100% of the players, what would be the winning rate?😏
 
gustavofuentes2

gustavofuentes2

Visionary
Platinum Level
Joined
Jan 28, 2015
Total posts
727
Awards
1
Chips
73
Well, I guess it's up to the person who is winning or losing if he or she wishes to keep doing it. By the way that you wrote your question, it seems to me that your bitter for some reason with gambling on-line or just gambling in general. I got a suggestion that might help. Don't Gamble!!!
And please stop making negative statements about people who enjoy doing it just to try and make them feel that they are doing something bad. We might not be up to your righteous standards but we enjoy or lives just the way it is. Please go and preach your gospel to people how will not be offended by it!!!
 
A

Amblo

Legend
Bronze Level
Joined
Oct 7, 2018
Total posts
3,253
Awards
5
Chips
471
Who can pinpoint it and can track every player.maybe there are no winning players at all and in the long run we are all losers playing poker just paying 10% fees to online bosses and casino owners Those big famous people with their millions in poker winnings are not telling us the whole truth who may know how much everyone is losing in illegal gambling casinos
Do not look for the truth in the things of the world, look for the truth within yourself.
 
kdmeteor

kdmeteor

Rock Star
Silver Level
Joined
Mar 29, 2024
Total posts
115
DE
Chips
173
In my experience, whenever there's a widely cited number like the 5-10% one here, pretty often it has little basis in fact. So I wouldn't be surprised if the real number were different. Maybe it's <5%. Maybe it's >10%. Or maybe it just happens to be between 5 and 10% even though the person who came up with the number had no way of knowing that. Also depends on the context, of course.

But if your real question is whether the number is above 0% (i.e., there are any winning players), then the answer is an unequivocal yes.
 
NSX_Amfe2nat

NSX_Amfe2nat

Rock Star
Platinum Level
Joined
May 22, 2022
Total posts
247
Awards
1
UA
Chips
245
I think 15% close to the truth
 
Dimidrol2

Dimidrol2

Visionary
Platinum Level
Joined
Nov 22, 2022
Total posts
662
Awards
1
BY
Chips
346
I think that 10% of the players play at least 0, and the rest lose not because they play poorly, but because they have high expectations. Poker loves the patient!
 
D

dompoker

Visionary
Platinum Level
Joined
Jul 22, 2019
Total posts
844
Awards
2
Chips
313
I don't think it's such a low percentage, I think it should be higher.
 
MishkaZL

MishkaZL

Legend
Platinum Level
Joined
Dec 1, 2018
Total posts
2,378
Awards
2
UA
Chips
331
Who can pinpoint it and can track every player.maybe there are no winning players at all and in the long run we are all losers playing poker just paying 10% fees to online bosses and casino owners Those big famous people with their millions in poker winnings are not telling us the whole truth who may know how much everyone is losing in illegal gambling casinos
I don't know how things are going for others, but poker has been bringing me a monthly income for 4-5 years in a row. Sometimes it's 100 per month, sometimes 20. On average, I definitely have from $25 to $50 a month, if you look at my statistics for the last years.
 
oriole

oriole

Visionary
Platinum Level
Joined
Apr 20, 2017
Total posts
593
Awards
9
LV
Chips
44
I’m not sure, but I’d love to see the stats. A 10% win rate seems reasonable to me, but I do wonder what the numbers would look like without the rake involved
 
RALF_AK

RALF_AK

Rock Star
Silver Level
Joined
Nov 11, 2024
Total posts
145
BR
Chips
68
Who can pinpoint it and can track every player.maybe there are no winning players at all and in the long run we are all losers playing poker just paying 10% fees to online bosses and casino owners Those big famous people with their millions in poker winnings are not telling us the whole truth who may know how much everyone is losing in illegal gambling casinos

We cannot compare casino games with poker, as the first only luck defines the winner, and the house will always have a better chance of winning, while the second, luck in the long term will have no importance in the result... just the technique and skills will be relevant.
 
puzzlefish

puzzlefish

Legend
Loyaler
Joined
Feb 18, 2018
Total posts
4,769
Awards
3
CA
Chips
851
We cannot compare casino games with poker, as the first only luck defines the winner, and the house will always have a better chance of winning, while the second, luck in the long term will have no importance in the result... just the technique and skills will be relevant.
This is, of course, an illusion or mirage that poker players like to chase. With poker, the house is always winning through rake, taking a cut of the action. Also, luck absolutely does have importance, always. Yes, luck is more important in the short run, but if you look at simulations with models of variance in poker, luck is still going to determine where a particular player ends up in that envelope of variance after a year, two years, ten years, etc. Game selection, more than anything, is what's going to have the most impact on a player's experience.
 
RALF_AK

RALF_AK

Rock Star
Silver Level
Joined
Nov 11, 2024
Total posts
145
BR
Chips
68
This is, of course, an illusion or mirage that poker players like to chase. With poker, the house is always winning through rake, taking a cut of the action. Also, luck absolutely does have importance, always. Yes, luck is more important in the short run, but if you look at simulations with models of variance in poker, luck is still going to determine where a particular player ends up in that envelope of variance after a year, two years, ten years, etc. Game selection, more than anything, is what's going to have the most impact on a player's experience.
I agree, especially if the comparison is in cash games... I believe that in relation to MTTs, long-term luck will not be very relevant... thanks for the opinion...
 
Veralt

Veralt

Rock Star
Bronze Level
Joined
Dec 15, 2023
Total posts
187
Awards
1
AR
Chips
202
I think you mixed up a lot of topics here.
One thing is illegal casinos, where who knows what happens, and another are regulated casinos.
I can’t speak for other poker players, but you can definitely track your progress and see how to improve it, or even determine if poker is profitable for you.
From the moment there are professional players, I assume that for more than one person, this is a viable way to make a living.
 
Igor G

Igor G

Legend
Platinum Level
Joined
Dec 8, 2021
Total posts
1,147
Awards
1
UA
Chips
353
I think that professionals earn steadily. There are probably no more than 5% of professionals among online players. Therefore, I think we can assume that at least 5% are players who receive income from the game.
 
D

Dougana

Rock Star
Platinum Level
Joined
Oct 22, 2023
Total posts
170
Awards
1
VE
Chips
457
I believe like 10-20% are winners, you need to improve your game, study and have luck!
 
19aleks57

19aleks57

Legend
Platinum Level
Joined
May 22, 2019
Total posts
1,723
Awards
5
BY
Chips
1,221
In my opinion, 7-15% of players are winners, the rest goes to the house.
 
dori111

dori111

Rock Star
Bronze Level
Joined
Oct 23, 2024
Total posts
148
UA
Chips
71
I think it's true somewhere, 5% will definitely win a good amount of money, maybe even more...
 
Winner Poker
Top