
John A
Poker Zion Coach
Silver Level
First hand (vs unknown) i've seen a lot of these random flop all-in overbets and they tend to be weighted more towards air and draws from what i've seen, very rarely is it nutted hands. do you think my high variance call was still +EV vs his range with top pair ok kicker? If no, then what would you do with AK here?
PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: 110.4 BB
SB: 49.5 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 3)
Hero (BB): 100 BB
UTG: 100.7 BB (VPIP: 26.12, PFR: 23.13, 3Bet Preflop: 7.14, Hands: 136)
MP: 101.5 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 18.75, 3Bet Preflop: 6.67, Hands: 81)
CO: 114.6 BB (VPIP: 14.63, PFR: 14.63, 3Bet Preflop: 6.25, Hands: 43)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K ♣ T ♣
fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to 3.5 BB, fold, Hero calls 2.5 BB
Flop: (7.5 BB, 2 players) 5 ♣ 4 ♦ K ♦
Hero checks, BTN bets 106.9 BB and is all-in
Hero calls 96.5 BB and is all-in
Turn: (200.5 BB, 2 players) 3 ♣
River: (200.5 BB, 2 players) 8 ♦
Hero shows K ♣ T ♣ (One Pair, Kings)
(Pre 30%, Flop 20%, Turn 27%)
BTN shows J ♠ K ♠ (One Pair, Kings)
(Pre 70%, Flop 80%, Turn 73%)
BTN wins 191.5 BB
Isn't this one of the John theorems?
This next one's interesting, reg has high barreling frequencies on flop (7/10) and turn (2/2). when he barrels turn i think his range is wider than 7x, and also he probably has to fold most non 7x hands to a raise. when he called my turn raise, again i thought he didn't always have 7x and could be being stubborn with a worse hand, so i thought maybe if i followed through on the river i could get him off it? oh i was so wrong...
PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: 102 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 1)
SB: 137.6 BB (VPIP: 19.46, PFR: 16.78, 3Bet Preflop: 9.62, Hands: 153)
Hero (BB): 101.5 BB
UTG: 109.4 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 2)
MP: 102 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 12.50, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 17)
CO: 310.1 BB (VPIP: 14.29, PFR: 10.71, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 29)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has T ♠ J ♣
fold, fold, fold, fold, SB raises to 3 BB, Hero calls 2 BB
Flop: (6 BB, 2 players) 5 ♣ 8 ♥ 9 ♦
SB bets 4 BB[/color], Hero calls 4 BB
Turn: (14 BB, 2 players) 6 ♦
SB bets 9 BB[/color], Hero raises to 20 BB, SB calls 11 BB
River: (54 BB, 2 players) 5 ♦
SB checks, Hero bets 29 BB
SB calls 29 BB
Hero shows T ♠ J ♣ (One Pair, Fives)
(Pre 45%, Flop 50%, Turn 32%)
SB shows 8 ♠ A ♦ (Two Pair, Eights and Fives)
(Pre 55%, Flop 50%, Turn 68%)
SB wins 107 BB
You didn't raise enough on the turn. You can raise a little more w/o committing. Raising that much it's hard to fold out any hands even on a 4 straight board. I like the hand though other than that.
This final hand i made a somewhat loose open with A3s because it looked like there were a couple of fishy players and it didn't look like anyone was 3betting a lot. i checked flop (and turn) to balance my checking range vs a reg with fairly high aggression over this small sample, also because i knew my hand wasn't strong enough to go for 3 streets of value. When he bets so big on flop on turn he's basically only repping KQ, or possibly 89s that made a straight. i think he would bet all his Ax and sets on the flop. and my range is very capped so i thought he could be turning pairs into bluffs or have busted flush draw or something. do you think my call is +EV?
PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: 719.1 BB (VPIP: 26.56, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 4.76, Hands: 69)
SB: 307.2 BB (VPIP: 19.05, PFR: 14.29, 3Bet Preflop: 2.99, Hands: 150)
BB: 135.7 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 1)
Hero (UTG): 104 BB
MP: 214.3 BB (VPIP: 31.25, PFR: 18.75, 3Bet Preflop: 9.09, Hands: 35)
CO: 90.3 BB (VPIP: 40.00, PFR: 20.00, 3Bet Preflop: 33.33, Hands: 5)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A ♠ 3 ♠
Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, BTN calls 3 BB, fold, fold
Flop: (7.5 BB, 2 players) 2 ♠ A ♦ T ♣
Hero checks, BTN checks
Turn: (7.5 BB, 2 players) J ♠
Hero checks, BTN bets 6 BB, Hero calls 6 BB
River: (19.5 BB, 2 players) 7 ♦
Hero checks, BTN bets 18.6 BB, Hero calls 18.6 BB
BTN shows K ♠ Q ♠ (Straight, Ace High)
(Pre 41%, Flop 18%, Turn 84%)
Hero mucks A ♠ 3 ♠ (One Pair, Aces)
(Pre 59%, Flop 82%, Turn 16%)
BTN wins 54.1 BB
If he has high aggression, then checking the flop is fine. Otherwise you should just be betting. I think c/cing the turn is fine, and once you check all 3 streets you open up your opponents bluffing range so much you need to call down even though the sizing sucks.