John A
Poker Zion Coach
Silver Level
River value bet, what do we think, big enough?
Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
This was a full ring table that went shorter handed.
Hero (SB): $25 (100 bb)
BB: $25 (100 bb)
MP: $26.92 (107.7 bb)
CO: $25.87 (103.5 bb)
BTN: $25 (100 bb) 12/8/35 in 190 hands
Preflop: Hero is SB with AK
2 folds, BTN raises to $0.50, Hero raises to $2, BB folds, BTN calls $1.50
Flop: ($4.25) 364(2 players)
Hero bets $2.03, BTN raises to $5, Hero calls $2.97 (because I have the K of spades and I don't think i'm beat to be honest he could easily have a fairly wide range here)
Turn: ($14.25) A(2 players)
Hero checks, BTN checks
River: ($14.25) 4(2 players)
quick peek at his wtsd% shows 29% so hes a bit of a station
Hero bets $6.80, BTN calls $6.80
Results: $27.85 pot ($1.25 rake)
Final Board: 364A4
Hero showed AKand won $26.60 ($12.80 net)
BTN mucked TAand lost (-$13.80 net)
I'd make it more pre. If people want to min raise when I have big hands, that's great, but I'm not going to help them with their goal of having a small 3-bet pot.
On the flop I'd usually lean more towards c/c and lead turn. It really depends on opponents aggression. W/O a read or stats I'd tend to bet. He seems pretty tight though, so when he raises I might lean towards a fold even though it's a pretty weak raise. Someone not so tight and I'm likely calling.
Turn is fine, and river with the whiffed straight draw and flush draw, AND scare card on the turn I'm betting large. 3/4 of the pot+. Maybe even shove if he's stationy like you say. But definitely bet more. Those are spots you want to capitalize on since they don't happen often.