In this 2nd hand with TPTK I can't justify a call with so much action on the flop. It seem all I do is limit the damage in this game.
PokerStars - $0.02 NL FAST - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: $2.54 (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 1)
SB: $7.08 (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 2)
BB: $2.03 (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 50.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 2)
UTG: $0.89
UTG+1: $1.82 (VPIP: 37.50, PFR: 12.50, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 8)
Hero (MP): $1.86
MP+1: $1.89 (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 1)
MP+2: $2.87 (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 1)
CO: $2.00 (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 1)
SB posts SB $0.01, BB posts BB $0.02
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.03) Hero has Q♦ A♦
fold, UTG+1 raises to $0.06, Hero calls $0.06, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, BB calls $0.04
Flop: ($0.19, 3 players) 4♣ Q♣ T♥
BB checks, UTG+1 bets $0.09, Hero raises to $0.24, BB raises to $0.72, UTG+1 raises to $1.76 and is all-in, fold, BB calls $1.04
Turn: ($3.95, 2 players) 9♠
River: ($3.95, 2 players) K♣
BB shows 4♥ 4♦ (Three of a Kind, Fours)
(Pre 51%, Flop 66%, Turn 70%)
UTG+1 shows J♣ A♣ (Flush, Ace High)
(Pre 49%, Flop 34%, Turn 30%)
UTG+1 wins $3.81
Here's the remainder of the hand. I'm definitely calling the post flop 3bet more in position than when out of position, but how many times should I make this call if I'm presented this situation 100 times?
Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
SB: $71.73 (286.9 bb)
BB: $24.75 (99 bb)
MP: $25.60 (102.4 bb)
CO: $24.75 (99 bb)
Hero (BTN): $24.20 (96.8 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BTN with 67
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.75, SB folds, BB calls $0.50
Flop: ($1.60) 5A9(2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $1, BB raises to $2.30, Hero calls $1.30
Turn: ($6.20) 8(2 players)
BB bets $0.25, Hero raises to $3.45, BB raises to $6.65, Hero raises to $13.25, BB raises to $21.70 and is all-in, Hero calls $7.90
River: ($48.50) 6(2 players, 1 is all-in)
Results: $48.50 pot ($2.00 rake)
Final Board: 5A986
BB showed AAand lost (-$24.20 net)
Hero showed 67and won $46.50 ($22.30 net)
Thanks.
to range him on a set and expect to hit your 8 is massive odds, you only have 3 clean outs to a non spade 8 about 7% and then you need him to have a set you arent getting nowhere near the odds to call based on what you said
to range him on a set and expect to hit your 8 is massive odds, you only have 3 clean outs to a non spade 8 about 7% and then you need him to have a set you arent getting nowhere near the odds to call based on what you said
although if you put him on a flush draw you could float and possibly bluff the river if the spade didnt come
Either one...Well... the fact is that if you're trying to bust him, you need him to have a strong hand, so a set works in your favor. I'm not going to go into the specific math, but against his range, calling there isn't profitable. The only way it's profitable is if you're thinking in these terms:
You're against a player who can fold, because you'll need someone capable of folding Ax. At these stakes, that's not too easy to find. Your plan is to rep the flush draw if it comes in, so if it comes in on the turn, and he leads into you, you're shoving.
You need to know your opponent, and have a secondary and sometimes third plan in place if you're going to make moves like this profitably. Or of course you can always just plan on hitting the gutter every time and stacking your opponent.
