After 7 years of poker coaching on and off, I've seen the same common mistakes and issues players have, whether they are slight losing players, slight winning players, or even people who are winning at a high winrate. I'm going to list those out in here one by one. This is basically a blueprint for becoming a good player. I'll post a graph or two from players who have followed this formula and turned their games around, or increased their winrate. So, let's begin with the easiest things first.
1) Not continuation betting enough in position in single raised pots. This would seem pretty basic and common sense. However, this is an extremely common trend. Either the continuation betting is higher OOP somewhere else on the table, or the percentage is just super low. A good continuation bet % on the button is somewhere between 70-84%.
Now, a couple of important things about this though.
1) So c-bet success goes up the further you get in position. So if you're normal c-bet success in your games is say 40%, then your c-bet success rate in position, on average, will be 6-8% higher. And it will be roughly that same drop (slightly less) OOP.
2) Generally speaking in most games, if you c-bet more, your c-bet success will not diminish. Why? People aren't really exploiting this enough still. There are more people floating, and not folding, but it's those same % of people, and in general as you c-bet more this will not change. It might go down by 1-2% tops, but generally it will not move at all.
3) The more you c-bet, the more it will change your turn dynamics. So this is something you need to keep in mind about your overall game strategy. Checking with a strong A high on rag boards, planning to call a turn bet is fine in some spots, as long as you're picking your opponents and boards well. Otherwise it is just better to c-bet with these hands.
4) C-betting more in position sets up more profitable double barrels. Turn c-bet success generally drops to about 33-37% on average. So keep this in mind with sizing, and what kind of
equity you turn.
Stake level Adjustments
Now with micro stakes, maybe I should even call it nano stakes, you're going to have those people who will never fold. So you might be thinking, why the hell should I c-bet more and turn barrel more? First off, don't go crazy, you also want to make sure you're turn barreling the correct boards. But in general a lot of these guys will be Look-up artists. If you remember from the Polished Poker chapter on making notes and reads, there's a lot more of these guys then you're probably noticing if you aren't c-betting and barreling enough. A ton of these guys will call with A-Q high hands, but fold to second barrels on the right boards. So what do I mean by right boards?
You open QcJc in MP, and get a call in the CO and see the flop heads up. The flop is 2c6s5h. You bet, and get called. You're pretty much always going to be called in this spot with a really wide range of hands. But with your backdoor draw and overs, you're going to be looking at a lot of bad turn cards for your opponents on a 6 high board. Unless the board pairs, you should fire just about any turn card and expect a fold a good % of the time. Even if it does pair, but it brings something like the 6c or 5c, then you should still barrel for obvious reasons. You have some FE and equity in your hand.
C-bet % by position (from my last ~140k hands)
A couple of things to note. Your c-bet % might be slightly higher from the BB. That's ok, simply because your PFR is likely going to be low from there so your range of strong hands will be a lot higher. However the success rate is high on the button even though I'm playing and raising the most hands from there. It's common sense, but a lot of people aren't doing this enough, and it's just leaving money on the table.
Even if c-betting isn't a major part of your strategy, make sure your positional numbers make sense. Something like the above. You don't have to c-bet a ton (I keep a good balance), but you want your positional numbers to increase and like I said, at least 70%+ on the button. I open 53% of buttons and c-bet the highest from there. I play a slightly different game then some regs do because I cold call a little more in the games I'm in now. That's not something I'd typically do at 400nl+.
Student Graph from the other day. This is someone on that other board (2+2), and they sent me this a couple of days ago. We worked on about 8 of the things I'm going to talk about in this thread. I think he went from ~ 2bb/100 to over 12bb/100 winner. Not a huge sample yet, but you can see his redline and his game, and understanding of the situations is, and I quote, "extremely clear. I'm comfortable and know exactly what I'm doing in each situation now."
Before
After
Is he all the way there yet? No. But a huge improvement in his redline and profits.
So this is part 1 of this strategy. Use the Polished Poker section on notes and reads to brush up on player typing too. This is important in c-betting and barreling.