Beanfacekilla
Legend
Silver Level
pretty easy fold, but is he shipping AK/AQ? if not easy fold, if so easy fold
Yeah he might ship flop with AK or AQ.
That particular spot maybe best line is float flop, ship turn.
pretty easy fold, but is he shipping AK/AQ? if not easy fold, if so easy fold
Tbf if we don't have a plan to make moves on turns then floating might not be that great in the first place since we only have two overs and a BDFD, but I guess we don't expect him to double barrel air a whole lot so it's probably fine.
Tbf if we don't have a plan to make moves on turns then floating might not be that great in the first place since we only have two overs and a BDFD, but I guess we don't expect him to double barrel air a whole lot so it's probably fine.
but this means that shoving turn is awful for us doesnt it?
Right, well with this sizing he's more weighted toward air or something he thinks has marginal showdown value prob. If he's barreling a more legitimate size I'm usually significantly more worried about overpairs.
But if he does double barrel more air on the turn it makes floating the flop worse, right?
ok well pre is neither here nor there, ill let the others chime in given they play live and full ring much more than me,
but if im opening to 11 preflop because its optimal in this game, im not opening 44 utg.
and if im opening 44 utg because its profitable, im not making it 11.
i dont mind limping it in a game like this to be honest. if you get raised to often occasionally limp/raise stronger hands.
flop, i know we have a stronger range, but this is the nut worst hand to cbet on this board (along with 22/33, assuming opening range of 22+ 89s+ ATs+ KQs AJo+) im x/f this flop all day long
turn, love the sizing we have turned him very dead.
river, this is my biggest beef, lots of his hands improved, but not enough to beat us, Q9dd and AQdd are the scariest candidates, but monster draws may rasie earlier in hand, the offsuit combos arent that heavy in this range. furthermore many single pair hands just improved that fall squarely in his range, some from 1 pair to 2 such as JT KJ, but many more combos picked up a pair, such as QJ AJ J9. so river is a choice between x/jam and bet/sigh folding. if you think we can get stacks from JT/KT/KJ often enough that x/jam outweighs the missed value from potential calls from QJ/AJ (which may fold to a river bet but i doubt it given the dynamic.
in short, not in love with pre, hate flop, love turn, think river you picked the worst option.
as a side note you must have an unbelievably crazy image if people are assuming you snap call with the nuts with money behind.
Pre is fine
flop is a x/f
turn is good
river can be a bet or a x/jam imo. In-game, I probably just bet looking to get value from Kx, Jx, 2 pairs, but depending on how your game plays big or small, he could pay us off for a x/jam. Certain games I'd bet, certain games i'd x/j. Either way, both are fine imo.
My thoughts were a couple of rivers where you should be betting for value with well disguised hands.
Re the flop cbet in the last hand be aware that with two broadway cards on the flop every other combo of 2 broadways has either a pair or at least a gutshot to the nut straight and are never going away to a single cbet. You have to be planning to fire multi barrel if you fire that flop. As we only have 2 outs to improve the flop cbet is spew most of the time.
Preflop: I prefer limping considerably more than raising. More so if your image causes even the nits to start tilt calling. As duggs mentioned, sizing is also unfavorable.
Flop: c/f. Hits villain's range and you have very little equity.
Turn: perfect.
River: easy value bet imo, especially given the image you described. People at this level just don't bet or raise rivers often enough and check behind way too often.
I think one key improvement you could make based on the few hands you posted here is making larger and thinner river value bets. It's crucial if you are going to be playing with a more LAG image, and players at this level aren't going to be raising rivers and/or putting you in tough spots.
Frustrating weekend so far. Had a -530 session at my normal Friday home game, and it ended quite early so I had no chance to get unstuck. Then I ran pretty trashy at the MSPT yesterday afternoon. Final hand of second bullet was AA < KK AIPF. Then 1/2/5 PLO. I basically never won a hand worth more than half a buyin, which is pretty unusual for a lengthy session of PLO. Closed out the session with -1.2k. Again, because the game broke really early. Still planning to probably put in some hours tomorrow, but not sure what I'll play because I've only got like a grand in cash left, after already having hit up the ATM.
Keep at it. Sorry about the bad session. Things will turn around.
Intesting hand to ponder.....
$2/$5 NLHE
I have about $1000, but effective stacks are $255 (short stack), and other dude has probably 700~800.
I have Q-10o OTB.
MP dude opens for $20, 1 or 2 calls, then I call. Others call. Multi-way to flop.
Flop K-J-4 rainbow.
MP opener bets $65. I think about raising, but I don't think he'll fold. He is a POW (played with him alot)
I call $65.
Dude in SB ships for $235. MP dude flats. He is pretty deep, 400-500 back still. All others fold, and I get to close the action.
So at least $100 dead from preflop, +65+235+235, $630++ dead, I have to call (or raise) another $170.
I figured at the time a smidge under 4 to 1 on a call.
Edit: forgot to add, and it probably goes without saying - we can stack villain if we hit (obviously)
Hero?
do we have any fold equity? i doubt he wants to put 500 more in with AK possibly drawing dead, but this is same guy you said never folds.
Easy fold pre. It's not close when stacks are this shallow. On the flop, does he not cbet any air? If not, then calling seems... okay. If we ever have FE we should raise. The problem with flatting here is that he very often has TP, and pretty frequently, with this sizing it will be AK or KQ. If an A comes, that will kill our action against KQ. We will stack AK or KJ but KQ or KT won't be excited.
Idk, I just feel like preflop mistake compounded here, forcing us to make tricky decisions where the EV is going to marginal in the best case, and negative in others.