Admittedly, I think the river play is pure spew - literally me trying to find air in his range with all the missed draws, where I don't think there is any. More looking for thoughts on flop and turn play. I think I'm getting the right price to call the turn, but it kind of depends on how many clean outs we think we have...
CO: 179.5 BB (VPIP: 45.70, PFR: 18.22, 3Bet Preflop: 6.91, Hands: 1,727)
BTN: 11.5 BB (VPIP: 39.88, PFR: 17.14, 3Bet Preflop: 5.68, Hands: 2,715)
SB: 216 BB (VPIP: 28.44, PFR: 12.85, 3Bet Preflop: 3.22, Hands: 3,194)
Hero (BB): 446 BB
UTG: 112 BB (VPIP: 32.07, PFR: 19.10, 3Bet Preflop: 7.38, Hands: 3,221)
UTG+1: 80 BB (VPIP: 21.83, PFR: 6.34, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 145)
MP: 102 BB (VPIP: 36.57, PFR: 19.94, 3Bet Preflop: 5.58, Hands: 7,611)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has T:diamond: 7:diamond:
fold, fold, MP raises to 3 BB, CO calls 3 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 2 BB
Flop: (9.5 BB, 3 players) A:diamond: 8:diamond: T:heart:
Hero checks, MP checks, CO bets 3 BB, Hero raises to 10 BB, fold, CO calls 7 BB
Turn: (29.5 BB, 2 players) 9:heart:
Hero bets 16 BB, CO raises to 41 BB, Hero calls 25 BB
River: (111.5 BB, 2 players) 4:spade:
Hero checks, CO bets 25 BB, Hero calls 25 BB
I snapped it off, but I'm not convinced it's +EV, given price. Thoughts on pre and flop play?
SB: 118 BB (VPIP: 45.72, PFR: 18.36, 3Bet Preflop: 6.67, Hands: 1,652)
BB: 50 BB (VPIP: 40.01, PFR: 17.03, 3Bet Preflop: 5.61, Hands: 2,642)
UTG: 168.5 BB (VPIP: 28.57, PFR: 13.01, 3Bet Preflop: 3.13, Hands: 3,133)
MP: 368 BB (VPIP: 36.72, PFR: 20.00, 3Bet Preflop: 5.62, Hands: 7,536)
Hero (CO): 208.5 BB
BTN: 132 BB (VPIP: 32.25, PFR: 19.38, 3Bet Preflop: 7.57, Hands: 3,076)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q:diamond: Q:heart:
fold, fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, BTN calls 3 BB, SB raises to 12 BB, fold, Hero raises to 34 BB, fold, SB calls 22 BB
Flop: (72 BB, 2 players) 5:club: T:heart: J:club:
SB bets 84 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 84 BB
Turn: (240 BB, 2 players) 6:diamond:
River: (240 BB, 2 players) K:diamond:
Read is that he has reggy stats, seems half-decent, but tends to spazz vs. me. He has cold-called my open raise in the blinds with J2s and floated on a 9-high board before, and done similar. He's been 3betting me a lot this session, I hadn't played back at all yet. Thoughts on flop play? Once I check flop and he calls turn, I sized small OTR to induce some spazz.
BTN: 106.5 BB (VPIP: 40.47, PFR: 16.94, 3Bet Preflop: 5.78, Hands: 1,929)
SB: 97.5 BB (VPIP: 37.17, PFR: 20.37, 3Bet Preflop: 5.83, Hands: 6,890)
Hero (BB): 103 BB
CO: 124.5 BB (VPIP: 20.65, PFR: 15.52, 3Bet Preflop: 8.51, Hands: 803)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K:diamond: K:heart:
CO raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, Hero raises to 9 BB, CO calls 6 BB
Flop: (18.5 BB, 2 players) 6:heart: 2:spade: K:spade:
Hero checks, CO checks
Turn: (18.5 BB, 2 players) 9:club:
Hero bets 13 BB, CO calls 13 BB
River: (44.5 BB, 2 players) 7:diamond:
Hero bets 17 BB, CO raises to 102.5 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 64 BB and is all-in