and sorry to hijack ur thread with this hand but i snap folded Aces on this flop. didnt even get to turn cause i know im beat here.
You're good buddy, that's what it's here for.
That is very similar. This guy seems like a spewmonkey though and it's 6max but even with his current stats how wide can we really assume him to be flatting 4bets pre, right? That's how I felt about the utg raiser calling my 3bet. He might be aggressive but I don't expect he's calling my 3bet very wide from his position.
I don't know why you're so optimistic. A guy with his stats after only 40 hands is just a guy. We don't know a whole lot at this point and if you include the 100% FCb and 3bet how does this affect your read? I'm not giving him Q10 or k10 and QJ and KJ are a serious stretch imo. Why don't you give him any pp but you give him Q10s?
Lets give him the range I perceived and lets just assume that it goes brick, brick. If the big aces and big pairs cancel each other out as you said then we're left with the KQ's and 99-JJ. So is that 16 combo's of KQ even though there are cards on the board? Against the 18 combo's of pairs that we beat it's a very close race at this point. Now of the hands that we beat we get how many bets on average? The only hand that we beat that can even consider calling 3streets is AK and that is unlikely given the preflop action. I think that most of the hands we beat we get one street from.
However, he will bet all of his hands that beat us and all of his second best hands we beat as well as his bluffs all three streets because he's a LAG, right? Then letting him bet is more profitable than betting. And if we don't give him J10 or AJ then there's really no draws to worry about. Also, I think it's easier to get two streets from AQ's if we back-load rather than bet, bet. Why does a flop check seem so bad at this point?
Aces are just that, one pair of aces. I don't think it's bad not to bet given my reasoning. But please correct me if I'm wrong. If I thought he could have all of those other broadway hands then I would agree that it's a mistake but I don't think he has those in his range. As I'm continuing to look it over I'm more so wondering if folding the river was the mistake.
he was 32/27 in 40 hands at FR I suggest to you this guy is going to be calling you with a much wider range than you appear to be giving him.
I'm only concerned about the flop play not once the 2nd King drops on the turn. You just handed over initiative/ control of the hand and didn't bet an obvious value situation giving a free card that hurt your chances. I don't like giving free cards on a double broadway flop it's asking for trouble. I know we have to check these sometimes but I'd rather check boards I'm more likely to have whiffed like single broadway and low raggedy boards.
Ask John about the hand I'd like to resolve the best flop action here.
I don't see what is wrong with handing over initiative/control of the hand to our opponent. I check one pair hands some decent % amount in 3-bet pots depending on board textures, if the board smashes their range, etc. Handing over control is not always true anyway, since they probably check behind their SDV hands and most of their air since this board smashes our range. Even if we do, we let them bluff at it if they are ambitious enough to do so. We are always calling 2 barrels, and Villains usually don't have the guts to fire the last bullet once we check-call twice.
I also don't mind giving a free card. If he has a pair of K/Q, he's drawing dead to two outs. And there aren't too many combos of J10s in his range. And the board is super dry. There isn't even a flush draw. If you don't check AA here, you basically have complete air and weak hands that you're going to get barreled off in your checking range.
Srry at work all weekend bud, aint got time to give it much thought. I can see there isn't much chance of getting outdrawn here, it probably doesn't matter either way.I asked you three questions that you ignored.. Also, I just outlined why there is imo more value in letting the LAG bet all the way down and you're just stuck on the flop still..
But fine I'll throw it up in PP.
Srry at work all weekend bud, aint got time to give it much thought. I can see there isn't much chance of getting outdrawn here, it probably doesn't matter either way.
Why did he not raise the river???lol you might be right.. I put this guy on 68. He never folded so I guess I could have thought maybe 44 but it's nbd.
Arent u 30% so good fold cuz villains werent deep enough
I personally not good enough to fold that but i like to gamble
Short stacker i wouldnt count for risking for flush normally tho
I think in both hands I'm checking.
44 it's 5-way to the flop, and you cannot profitably bet/GII. If it were 3-way or HU I might consider betting out. It sucks to get raised off your equity and implied odds of boating up.
KK also checking just because we are crushed by not only diamonds but AJ, and because it's multiway.
It's not likely we're going to get a lot of action unless we are beat in these hands. And if we are, boating up is great for us because we can stack them. It sucks to really get blown off a set, as they have potential to boat up. And despite the board pairing, I don't think a lot of players can get away from a flush/straight.
I'm having a pretty good week so far. I won over 5bi yesterday which is always nice. I've been on a bit of a heater. Making my 35h a week is seeming easier and easier so I'll have to raise the bar sometime but I've been slacking on my other goals. I give myself a c- at best in those departments and I've been putting off finishing The Theory of Poker. So I need to find the motivation to tidy up in those areas.
In other news I've started a new diet that is similar to the atkins diet. Pretty much I'm not eating grains and carbs at the moment. I picked up another book called Brain Maker. In the book Dr. David Perlmutter suggests that grains are not good for your brain health due to the affect that they have on your gut biome. So I figured if it could enhance my cognitive function it's work a shot! No noticeable affects yet but I'm only like 10 days in.