NFL Betting Thread 2020/2021

[we will rock you]

rams+4.5 lets go rams

 

[ChickenArise]

Well that was an embarrassing call on the side. I had bet the Rams team total under 24.5 as well and thought I would lose that too.

It had dropped all the way to 23 by kick. Never seen a team total move that much that fast.

The game was best summarized by this chart....

 

[ChickenArise]

Wow this is a killer interview with Phil Simms analyzing today New York Giants and what they are doing right. Gives me hope vs. Arizona this week.

 

[Risto234]

4 bets for this week in NFL ...

Eagles vs Saints: Over 43 points @1.91, Eagles over 16.5 points @1.72
49ers vs Washington: Over 43 points @1.91
Seahawks vs Jets: Jets over 16.5 points @1.90

 

[ADRI7HO]

For the weekend maybe :

Chicago v Houston (Houston The winner of the match odds 1.73)

NY Giants v Arizona (NY Giants Match Winner odds 2.19)

Jacksonville v Tennessee (Tennessee Match Winner odds 1.29)

Tampa Bay v Minnesota (Tampa Bay Match Winner odds 1.32)

Las Vegas v Indianapolis (Las Vegas Match Winner odds 2.28)

 

[ribbybruno]

Adding for Sunday -

Miami +7 @ Home vs Kansas City - Dolphins 6-1 ATS in last 7 vs AFC

Tampa Bay -7 @ Home vs Minnesota - Bucs 4-0 ATS after a straight up loss

Tennessee/Jacksonville OVER 52.5 - OVER is 6-1 in Jaguars last 7 vs AFC South

Indy/LV Raiders OVER 52.5 - OVER is 6-0-1 in Raiders last 7 as home underdog

Detroit +8.5 @ Home vs Green Bay - Packers 2-5 ATS last 7 in Detroit

Washington +3 @ SF 49ers - 49ers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on grass

Pittsburg +2 @ Buffalo - Steelers 5-2 ATS last 7 meetings

1 Unit Each - $100

 

[Yanko57]

I like to have a win margin:

1)Carolina > Denver 1.55
2)TB > Minnesota 1.34
3)Tennessee -3 vs Jacksonville 1.44
4)Seattle -5.5 vs NYJ 1.32
5)Baltimore +7.5 vs Cleveland 1.32
6)Detroit/Green Bay OVER 49.5 1.42
7)SF > Washington 1.59
8)LA Chargers/Atlanta OVER 44 1.46
9)Buffalo +3.5 vs Pittsburgh 1.49

All doubles (36 units)
Potential: 74.25 units

 

[CheezeWiz]

Taking Vikings +7 and Over 52.5

I expect a competitive game and expect the Vikings to give the Buccaneers a run for their money for even a straight-up Win (not playing that here though, just to be clear). Vikings are 3-1 ATS as Road Dogs this year. Tampa Bay is 1-3 ATS as Home Favorites. Somewhat surprisingly Kirk Cousins has a higher QB rating this year than Tom Brady. Cousins will have to play well in order for the Vikings to Win.

The Over (Under) is a rather lofty 52.5. Over (Under) with Vikings in this situation is 2-2. Tampa Bay Over (Under) in this situation is 3-1. I think both teams will be able to score, so I will give a slight edge to the Over.

Enjoy The Games, and Best of Luck All,

CheezeWiz

 

[CRStals]

Time for a bounce back week - week 14 let's do it!

Houston -1 v Chicago
Houston / Chicago OVER 44.5
Cincinnati +3 v Dallas
Cincinnati / Dallas UNDER 44.0
Miami +7 v Kansas City
Kansas City / Miami UNDER 51.5
Arizona -3 v NY Giants
Arizona / NY Giants OVER 47.0
Minnesota +7.0 v Tampa Bay
Denver +4 v Carolina
Tennessee -7.5 v Jacksonville
Tennessee / Jacksonville UNDER 53.0
Indianapolis -2.5 v Las Vegas
NY Jets +16.5 v Seattle
NY Jets / Seattle OVER 48.5
Green Bay -8.5 v Detroit
New Orleans -8 v Philadelphia
New Orleans / Philadelphia OVER 42.5
LA Chargers -1.5 v Atlanta
San Francisco -3 v Washington
Pittsburgh +2 v Buffalo
Cleveland +3 v Baltimore

1 unit each

Good luck everyone!

 

[we will rock you]

seattle ml if can swing it they suck hit a 4 team teaser to start the day

 

[Risto234]

4 bets for this week in NFL ...

Eagles vs Saints: Over 43 points @1.91, Eagles over 16.5 points @1.72
49ers vs Washington: Over 43 points @1.91
Seahawks vs Jets: Jets over 16.5 points @1.90

2 wins and 2 losses ...

 

[ADRI7HO]

By Monday night, this might look good:



Cleveland v Baltimore (Cleveland Match winner odds 2.40)

 

[we will rock you]

ravens ml tonight baker is going to struggle lets go ravens for some money

 

[tommyboobaa]

Cleveland +3 tonight was a nightmare.

 

[jordanbillie]

I know it doesn't count after the fact, but I wanted to list this bet in here because I'm excited that it came in.

BetOnline is doing Odds Boosters every day, which is essentially a prepicked parlay with roughly 30% better than normal odds. Yesterday's was Baltimore - 3 and over 43.5 pts at +400 odds. I took it.

 

[ChickenArise]

OMG

What a game between the Ravens and Browns!

Monday night once again screws some bettors. This time the underdog bettors get screwed out of a push by a series of laterals that go backwards 30 yards and out of the back of the end zone for a SAFETY with no time left on the clock.

Holy shit I would have been pissed if I were holding a Cleveland +3 ticket thinking we didnt win but at least we will get a push. Nope, the football gods are so cruel.

If you havent seen the highlights of what some are calling the best football game ever you owe it to yourself to check it out. Unfortunately no one has footage of the final safety scored at the end, but keep in mind the final score ends up Ravens 47 Browns 42.

 

[ChickenArise]

Well I must say it looks like my Giants to win the East @ 10-1 is screwed, so to cover the cost of that ticket I am betting the same unit on the Cleveland Browns -3.5 and adding it here as an official play.

I dont know how the Giants are gonna be able to compete with either of these teams and they have to play them both!

If you like Cleveland and dont wanna lay more points ya better get some now.

 

[ADRI7HO]

By Monday night, this might look good:



Cleveland v Baltimore (Cleveland Match winner odds 2.40)

Cleveland - Baltimore 42:47

Point waterfall in the match and a pretty tight endgame at the end. It was close.

 

[ribbybruno]

What a game between the Ravens and Browns!

Monday night once again screws some bettors. This time the underdog bettors get screwed out of a push by a series of laterals that go backwards 30 yards and out of the back of the end zone for a SAFETY with no time left on the clock.

Holy shit I would have been pissed if I were holding a Cleveland +3 ticket thinking we didnt win but at least we will get a push. Nope, the football gods are so cruel.

If you havent seen the highlights of what some are calling the best football game ever you owe it to yourself to check it out. Unfortunately no one has footage of the final safety scored at the end, but keep in mind the final score ends up Ravens 47 Browns 42.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NuHcjNXkdZA

Quite a play at the end to drown the +3 underdogs. A lot of crying in Cleveland after that finish. Rigged! :icon_sant

 

[ribbybruno]

I know it doesn't count after the fact, but I wanted to list this bet in here because I'm excited that it came in.

BetOnline is doing Odds Boosters every day, which is essentially a prepicked parlay with roughly 30% better than normal odds. Yesterday's was Baltimore - 3 and over 43.5 pts at +400 odds. I took it.

Excellent! Nice pick! :deal:

 

[ribbybruno]

NFL Picks Week 14 Results -

ribbybruno (6-2)(57-51-1)
Risto234 (2-2)(24-22)
PokerSki (11-5)(108-91-1)
ChickenArise (4-5)(28-19-1) (3-1 added)
we will rock you (3-0)(26-10)
jordanbillie (0-0)(17-11) Nailed a parlay! :deal:
terryk (0-0)(4-2)
HerbPuffer (0-0)(0-3)
Boodah420 (0-0) (6-4)
CRStals (9-13) (119-103-6)
ADRI7HO (1-0) (8-5) Maybe (2-3)
laifstaile (0-0) (1-0)
riff raff312 (0-0) (70-31)
bigplayer(0-0)(0-1)
tommyboobaa (0-0) (1-0)
CheeseWiz (0-2) (3-1)
goforthenick (0-0) (0-1)
Yanko57 (7-2) (7-2)

 

[ADRI7HO]

It also looks good maybe :

Las Vegas - LA Chargers (Las Vegas odds 1.51)

 

[ADRI7HO]

Saturday


This is what Buffalo might win (although in American football you can never be sure):

Denver v Buffalo (Buffalo Match Winner odds 1.35)

 

[IzzyMoreno]

Does someone know a similar or better predictor as 538 ?
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-nfl-predictions/games/?ex_cid=rrpromo

 

[ChickenArise]

Does someone know a similar or better predictor as 538 ?
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-nfl-predictions/games/?ex_cid=rrpromo

Ive seen another but cant remember where. It was a sports site that had a big D in the logo, I think.

I find these predictors mostly useless as they dont often have the spread moves and injuries calculated in.