NBA
Utah Jazz @ Los Angeles Clippers:
Utah Jazz (+ 9.5) /// 1.75
Last bet lost. The experiment failed. I won't bet on ranges anymore, although my main bet at
888 poker room was on Indiana winning by 4 points or more and the Pacers scoring at least 109 points for a good
odds of 1.65. Still, I didn't expect to see such a weak offensive game from New Orleans. Everyone failed. Indiana hit three-point shots with a team realization of 42.1%, and role player Obi Toppin had a season high (4 three-point shots with 66.7% realization). But then again, this is a case where I'm happy with the bet losing, as my main bet won very easily. But I'm adding the loss to my stats, of course. My betting score is MLB 101-93 in favor of successful, NBA 115-141 in favor of unsuccessful, NHL 3-9 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL+NCAAF 3-10 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: Utah Jazz on the road won't lose to Los Angeles Clippers by more than 9 points. Too many injuries for the Clippers: Kawhi Leonard, Derrick Jones Jr., Terance Mann, Kobe Brown and P.J. Tucker will definitely not play against Utah. And if everyone has already accepted Kawhi's injury (and Kobe Brown and P.J. Tucker are not even the level of role players in the Clippers rotation), but the loss of Terance Mann and especially Derrick Jones Jr. is a serious blow to the defense. Oh, and these two players have very solid performances on offense too. Utah will play almost without injuries (only Jordan Clarkson's participation is questionable). I even like the Jazz's starting five more, to be honest. Question of motivation? The Clippers definitely have the advantage here, as Kawhi Leonard should be back soon and without him Los Angeles was able to stay in the top-10 teams in the West. Utah is probably not a Play-In contender again. But we saw last season how the Jazz also started the season badly, but then from December 14th through February 7th they won 19 of their 29 games! Yeah, then Utah went deep tanking and won only 5 games out of 30. The head-to-head stats would be incorrect if I included that period when Donovan Mitchell and Rudy Gobert played for the Jazz, so I analyzed the last 9 games between these teams (when Utah started rebuilding). So of the last 9 games between these teams, Utah has not lost in 6 of them by more than 9 points. So yes, I expect a fully healthy Utah will struggle against a semi-reserved Clippers. Bet? Sure!