NBA
Washington Wizards @ Miami Heat:
Washington Wizards (+ 11) /// 1.83
Last bet won. The 4 game losing streak is over and I immediately felt better. Denver made me very happy! Utah was destroyed too easily. Too easy! And indeed, Denver was highly motivated and wanted to win with a big score. That's when my predictions matched the game. That's what I like to see! Total score of my bets: NBA 59-65 in favor of unsuccessful, MLB 30-27 in favor of successful, NHL 2-3 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL+NCAAF 3-8 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: Washington on the road won't lose to Miami by more than 11 points. Why the bookies decided that Miami without Josh Richardson, Kevin Love and, especially, without the starting point guard Tyler Herro should destroy Washington? Already twice this season the Wizards have played against the Heat and twice they lost by 8 points or less. And Miami played with the optimal lineup in those two games. Head-to-head stats show us that Miami has won Washington only twice in the last 10 games by more than 11 points. And Washington has lost 12 games on the road this season with 33 of them by 12 points or more. As for Washington's injuries, Isaiah Livers and Marvin Bagley III will definitely not play, and Landry Shamet is also questionable. But Richaun Holmes played very well in the last game against Charlotte, who got probably his last chance to stay in the NBA. And in fact, Miami has beaten their opponents by 12 points or more at home only 3 times this season. So no matter how awful Washington has been this season, statistically this is a very playable bet! Bet? Absolutely!
