NBA
Utah Jazz @ Miami Heat:
Utah Jazz (+ 8.5) /// 1.80
Last bet won. Yes, Toronto lost their leader Scottie Barnes in this game due to a serious injury. That's largely why Golden State had an easier win over Toronto. Sure, it's unfortunate that this season is over for the Raptors (as it was after Ja Morant's injury for Memphis), but that's part of the game. Besides, this bet made us money, so everything is great and this is the second successful prediction in a row. My betting scores are NBA 56-60 in favor of the unsuccessful, MLB 30-27 in favor of the successful, NHL 2-3 in favor of the unsuccessful, NFL+NCAAF 3-8 in favor of the unsuccessful.
New bet: Utah Jazz on the road won't lose to Miami by more than 8 points. This bet is justified by the incredible statistics of head-to-head games. In the last 12 head-to-head games, Utah has not lost to Miami by more than 8 points. In other words, Miami has not beaten Utah by more than 8 points in 6 last seasons! That's just some unbelievable stats for a "1.80"
odds. And Utah has almost no injuries (only Walker Kessler is questionable). But Miami, despite very solid results in recent games, has several important players who may not play. Josh Richardson, the 6th player, will definitely not play for Miami. And this is a very serious loss, when the main shooting guard, Tyler Herro, is not likely to play. Also, Miami's important role players Haywood Highsmith, Kevin Love and Caleb Martin are questionable! In my opinion, the potential of the lineups with all the injuries is almost equal in terms of skills. Last game Utah pressed Orlando to the last minute, and only an incredible clutch play by Jalen Suggs allowed them to snatch that game from the Jazz. And that was by exactly 8 points. And this was, by the way, a fully healthy home Orlando! Well, in tournament standings for Utah, 2-3 more losses will completely throw them out of the Play-in race. So Utah has everything even to beat Miami tonight, especially if Tyler Herro and 1-2 role players will not play! Bet? Absolutely!