Poker, Game of Luck or Skill?

Is poker a game of skill

  • Yes

    Votes: 42 60.0%
  • No

    Votes: 2 2.9%
  • Sometimes

    Votes: 21 30.0%
  • Maybe

    Votes: 5 7.1%

  • Total voters
    70
  • Poll closed .
gus201

gus201

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Luck

Luck what is Luck and why do players like to use that word ?
Is luck what I have been working on for years to become as good a player as I can? Is Luck what happens when my reads are spot on ?
all my work on playing the players to my advantage and setting them up to make mistakes. Mislead them on my play to get their chips later on ? Is all that hard work and time I put in easily excused to the word luck? I have spent a lot of time working my butt off to learn not just what I want to learn to make money but to go beyond and learn as much of all the other styles of play , and how players act and react to be as sharp as possible to just throw it all way and say I was lucky or it was luck that set this hand up for this players stack .

I see the word Luck a lot here lately and dont see any one giving themselves credit for their hard work and the skill they have aquired for getting themselves to the point at which they are at right now . I know we all want to improve and get better but remember your getting and have skill that is getting to your goals and your the one player doing it , no one can do it for you . :)

I just want to say Great work to every one and to keep it up no matter what level or areas your in . Remember to look at the good side as well as the bad side.
Luck or not we all have gotten more skill then we have luck :)

Luck is when the guy calls you from behind and cant win the hand no matter what he hits :)
Luck is getting the other player to bluff at you when he has no chance :)

May your day be filled with skilled luck and your chips stacks High :)
 
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joe777

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luck is for short term but skill is there

to stay for the long term period coupled with good

bankroll management to overcome variances.
 
gus201

gus201

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:albertein
I've got just barely enough skill to get lucky,,,,,:cool:

There you go :albertein:albertein

I guess we have to look at what is the right question to ask first.
What is Luck ? /0r What is your interpretation of Luck .
Then we have to ask the same about skill.
So actually finding out the right questions to ask first before defining what we may think luck or skill is so we are all on the same page .
Kinda Like asking is the world flat or round ? Today we know its round, 500 years ago it was flat.
Can we say that depending on where a player is in his/her learning depends on what and how they think luck is and skill?
ok enough for now LOL

The darn game has so many variables :(

Good Luck /Skill at the tables :)
 
STL FAN

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Luck what is Luck and why do players like to use that word ?
Is luck what I have been working on for years to become as good a player as I can? Is Luck what happens when my reads are spot on ?
all my work on playing the players to my advantage and setting them up to make mistakes. Mislead them on my play to get their chips later on ? Is all that hard work and time I put in easily excused to the word luck? I have spent a lot of time working my butt off to learn not just what I want to learn to make money but to go beyond and learn as much of all the other styles of play , and how players act and react to be as sharp as possible to just throw it all way and say I was lucky or it was luck that set this hand up for this players stack .

I see the word Luck a lot here lately and dont see any one giving themselves credit for their hard work and the skill they have aquired for getting themselves to the point at which they are at right now . I know we all want to improve and get better but remember your getting and have skill that is getting to your goals and your the one player doing it , no one can do it for you . :)

I just want to say Great work to every one and to keep it up no matter what level or areas your in . Remember to look at the good side as well as the bad side.
Luck or not we all have gotten more skill then we have luck :)

Luck is when the guy calls you from behind and cant win the hand no matter what he hits :)
Luck is getting the other player to bluff at you when he has no chance :)

May your day be filled with skilled luck and your chips stacks High :)




Your response and the approach to the subject has led me to thinking about how to use existing information then trying to create new information that goes beyond the old information. This is where new hypothesis and theories are born. Your questions are being asked for a solution to a topic that is not concrete.


Majority of people will give solutions to a topic as a response to a question instead of asking questions before a person knows exactly what the answer could be without researching the topic first (I do this too frequently); I believe your questions are aimed in the direction of you already knowing your thoughts about this topic. You are asking us a question that we do not have the exact solutions so, we have to know the right questions to ask to give a solution to the topic that we do not have the answer yet because a there is no research that supports the topic of “luck” in the game of poker because there are only opinions. Again this is just my opinion because I know there are people reading this that will disagree, but this is what makes poker fun to talk about.

Because I gave abstract information above just like your questions and comments that leave the reader wondering where you stand within your response about the subject. So, I believe you wanted us to think rather than have a definite answer to questions that are abstract in thought just like the word “luck”.

In school we are learning about research and researchers. Research of existing information that is gathered from one source then apply this information in the same way it was researched. For example, researching heart transplants then taking the information from website and then either copy and pasting or paraphrasing the information. In poker I would read the book by Dan Harrington and then apply his information as close as possible at the table from researching the book.


Researchers however, take existing information and formulate new hypothesis from old information. However, researchers do not have an exact process because of the realm of the abstract; this will lead researchers to going round and round trying to formulate new theories before they come up with their intended solutions. I am currently doing this with bad information and trying to formulate new theories about people and their perception of bad players, how to counter their play profitably with existing old information about weak players. Then go beyond to make weakness my strength against stronger players who play with emotion and ego. I am going through trial and error just like a researcher; I gather the proper information to formulate a positive solution through observation and the chat box. Then adjust my play from the study of the table from observation and taking detailed notes.


Research is straight line thinking (imagine a straight line or a golden retriever) because people who research are looked on as retrievers of existing information and transferring it back in the same way. Researchers tend to go in circles before going beyond the existing information to formulate new theories. Most poker players including myself are great at retrieving information but I have improved my researcher’s skills better than my opponents from the observations at the table.

The topic of” luck” is not an empirical topic, meaning you cannot test this through scientific research to formulate a mathematical solution that would support any theories a person might come up with when researching information about luck in the game of poker because the topic is too vague or opinionated. I will ask a final question and I believe I know your response already. Do you believe in luck? This not much of a stretch to reach a conclusion; I say you do not and you just want the reader to think abstractly about your response because you are a researcher in the game of poker because of how you presented the information.

This is one part of why I do not believe luck exists especially in the game of poker because each person has the ability to gain skill in areas others are not working on presently enough, and the observation this player has made, the information gathered supports the ability to change an outcome post flop by my skillful play vs. my opponents skillful play and the addition of chatting to them as we play, this helps to keep the edge going against the entire table whether their chat is on or not.


Through observation and research a researcher could formulate a theory about an opponent(s); and how to gain a skillful advantage to take their chips without showing my cards or always produce the winning hand at a higher percentage than my opponents that are paid off on the river or any previous streets of play.


How profitable a person can be is dependent on how well a player is at being a researcher and using their problem solving skills. Glad to have met you and thank you for your reply to my post; hope all is going well and liked your thought process for making me think because of how you approached the abstract topic of “luck”. How would a person gain a skillful advantage from luck? How would a player use the information researched on the topic at the table through a study of observation or any other study of their choice at the table? Would a person know how to apply the information properly from what was researched on the topic at the table? Could a player be profitable with the existing information about luck? This is my second post within this thread about this topic.
 
KUN_AGUERO_KROOS

KUN_AGUERO_KROOS

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to win a big MTT like the wsop ME u need more luck than skill.
 
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KALUGAJ

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Poker is lucky to be cheated, in the long term and the skills and patience.
 
gus201

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Luck = shorterm Skill = longterm

This stands out to me correct me if I am wrong .

the short term is luck

the long term is skill

when does the short term turn into the long term ?

and how do you turn luck into skill ?

I have always understood that there is not time limit on short term and no end on long term so how do we know when we have crossed over the luck and now have skill ?

have a good day at the tables
 
gus201

gus201

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STL FAN wrote this : "This is one part of why I do not believe luck exists especially in the game of poker because each person has the ability to gain skill in areas others are not working on presently enough, and the observation this player has made, the information gathered supports the ability to change an outcome post flop by my skillful play vs. my opponents skillful play and the addition of chatting to them as we play, this helps to keep the edge going against the entire table whether their chat is on or not."


I have to agree with you there .
I agree you are right about the ability to gain skill and how much skill you may have or not over the other player making understanding what he is doing either easy or hard .
example : when we first started playing poker what difference did it make to play position and good starting hands ? For the ones that new this their play and decision making against us was easy . We didnt understand much and didnt want any one telling us that we were doing so many things wrong because we have played before .

STL FAN "Through observation and research a researcher could formulate a theory about an opponent(s); and how to gain a skillful advantage to take their chips without showing my cards or always produce the winning hand at a higher percentage than my opponents that are paid off on the river or any previous streets of play."

Threw research you up your ability to know things that will help in many things and ways , to take down pots , get extra chips , and play the weaker players. How to play and get passed the button and not have to worry about being short stacked because you were folding waiting for the button guy to go out . You get the just of it .

with out research how do I know who plays good position or not , good starting hands or not , traps or not . Just some of the few things research helps with and prevails over luck . If I know a player will not fold top pair, I can gauge at least 2 things.
1) he wont fold
2 ) not to build up the pot before I can make 2 pair or better against this player. ( I have to be disciplined )

If I cant recognize it then am I playing to get lucky or playing unskilled ?
is there a difference ?
I know theres skill there that can help me but is it ok to say I got lucky or unlucky there if I river the card that makes my hand if I misplayed it ?

Just some things I wanted to point out. I think we have to look at the word luck and really think about it when we use it because if your talking to a player who is more informed then you are you may just dont realize that there never was any luck involved in that hand you played .

Good Day and may the luck go away and skill prevail .
 
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gqr31ff

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as though it may sound strange, but poker is a game of skill is 100% my personal opinion!
 
jazzaxe

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One can never rely totally upon skill when the outcome is never definite. There is not as much of a skill gap in this game as there once was and when those skills are equal we have to deal more with luck as a big factor.
 
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1blanqueanu1

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poker is both, skill and luck.
Those who know say that reigns in the short term luck, but having the ability to make good decisions despite the luck factor in the long run always end up making money.
Poker is the rest of our mistakes and the other players who have less skill is wrong.
 
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bredaman7

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Poker, gambling game?

I know there will be lots of poker players in this forum would disagree with me.
In life, we would experience "mature" phase when someone can accept himself, for whoever he/she is. We remember back days when we were still in junior/senior high, there might be a person who is so perfect, a person whom we want to be. We adore this person too much until we create a standard in our mind that a person should be like him/her. What I wanna say is, until when we can reach that mature phase so that we accept this game as a gambling which involves a proportion of skill? blackjack is gambling yet it needs skill also (using basic strategy/card counting). If you have AA, you should go all in preflop --> If you have 11 against dealer below 7, you should double your bets. If the card counts is +20, then we should put max bets. Yet it can still lose. There is similarity between both games, but why we insist poker is not gambling?
Daniel Negreanu once said in interview poker is gambling. Patrick Antonius in one of his cash game videos said, "if you want to win, you have to gamble" after he made big decision and won some pots. And I think they are in their mature phase of this game and accept losing lots of money because they already accept it is gambling. US government admit it is gambling while being fought by poker communities.
But how about young kids out there who would like to gamble their future for this game in which online poker companies by their massive advertisement said it is game of skill? can their accept losing their money, and questioning why they lose although they have played their A game? it makes them keep playing while keep losing. And there are lots of debate whether it is luck or skill etc, gambling or not, and surprisingly many poker players and communities insist it is not gambling. Who is in advantage by this brainwashing perception? of course, like all the gambling games, it is the house = online poker companies.
 
STL FAN

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The game is based on gambling the odds and your post reflects what some have to say about gambling. However, when a weaker opponent plays post flop a big percentage of the time and does not go all in until they feel they have the best hand; then is making them think they need to fold other times when they do not have it because of the above information gambling? How much gambling is going on by the person who knows this about their opponent? However, anytime the money goes in and your opponent has outs to improve to beat you then it is gambling every time no matter the slightest percentage of getting beat.


This is why I personally choose to work on my game and put my opponent to the test post flop instead of trying to get all my chips in the middle. Easier said than done but the reward of working on this area leaves this player looking for a desired situation and then timing becomes important when looking for a spot to be putting all of my chips in the middle to gamble. I am trying to gamble less and work on my post flop game more. Glad to have met you and hope your day is going well.
 
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jass503

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luck can make you win some rounds but luck and skills can make you win the war!
 
zam220

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Skill game,but without luck tounament to win
 
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frepe00

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About Luck

I have long since come to truly believe that there is such thing as luck and that it is just as real as skills. Luck is not usually constant but fluctuate, from day to day, week to week or month to month. Sometimes even hour to hour, but I would say that luck often stays for a while before leaving again. Every pokerplayer must have experienced this from time to time, days when you hit everything, and I mean EVERYTHING. It is completely separated from skills but when you are skilled and have luck you are unbeatable!
Some have luck more often than others and for some it is more or less constant. On the flip side, some have luck very rarely and instead are plagued by horrible bad luck much of the time. Bad luck is the days when whatever you do, you just can’t win. Even the strongest hands get wiped out on the river. Hitting a flush, straight or full house is impossible, if it would mean you would win the pot. However, and this is crucial, when playing with bad luck you often see yourself sitting with a strong hand but losing to an even stronger hand. Unless you have the nut you will lose, and you will never hit the nut. This is where I usually dwell and to exemplify: Just got rockets and reraised the player to my right who called. Flop was all hearts and even though the other player raised I felt it was improbable he had flush based on earlier plays and I had ace of hearts. This guys calls and indeed I was right, he had K4 in spades with a pair of fours on the board. He calls an all in were an obvious flush draw is with a pair of fours!! Had he played any other player he would have got wiped. But against me? Well the next card on the board was a four and river nothing that helped me.
This is just one example of many, and I know what you’re going to say: stop playing you miserable bastard. Well I suppose I could, but the fact is that when I’m not haunted by these days of bad luck I’m actually a good player and even I get days when I’m unbeatable (although seldom). I love to play poker and in all I break even at worst.
So this is just my view on luck and I know most of you gamblers out there know what I’m talking about. Right?
 
Carl Trooper

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I have long since come to truly believe that there is such thing as luck and that it is just as real as skills. Luck is not usually constant but fluctuate, from day to day, week to week or month to month.

Sometimes even hour to hour, but I would say that luck often stays for a while before leaving again. Every pokerplayer must have experienced this from time to time, days when you hit everything, and I mean EVERYTHING. It is completely separated from skills but when you are skilled and have luck you are unbeatable!

Some have luck more often than others and for some it is more or less constant. On the flip side, some have luck very rarely and instead are plagued by horrible bad luck much of the time. Bad luck is the days when whatever you do, you just can’t win. Even the strongest hands get wiped out on the river. Hitting a flush, straight or full house is impossible, if it would mean you would win the pot.

However, and this is crucial, when playing with bad luck you often see yourself sitting with a strong hand but losing to an even stronger hand. Unless you have the nut you will lose, and you will never hit the nut. This is where I usually dwell and to exemplify:

Just got rockets and reraised the player to my right who called. Flop was all hearts and even though the other player raised I felt it was improbable he had flush based on earlier plays and I had ace of hearts. This guys calls and indeed I was right, he had K4 in spades with a pair of fours on the board. He calls an all in were an obvious flush draw is with a pair of fours!! Had he played any other player he would have got wiped. But against me? Well the next card on the board was a four and river nothing that helped me.

This is just one example of many, and I know what you’re going to say: stop playing you miserable bastard. Well I suppose I could, but the fact is that when I’m not haunted by these days of bad luck I’m actually a good player and even I get days when I’m unbeatable (although seldom).

I love to play poker and in all I break even at worst.
So this is just my view on luck and I know most of you gamblers out there know what I’m talking about. Right?

Jammed too much its hard to read
 
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binnk

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For me skill is way more important than luck..
 
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MidOhioBoss

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I would agree on the short term. luck will fall into place, but you must be skillful enough to not always rely on it
 
D

DickieMoe07

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luck or skill

yes......its luck ....yes its skill......sometimes it seems like things go good and sometimes you think they are serving up bad beats in random order....which they are, just you arent the one on the winning side... i usually divide my hands into two categories made hands and on the draw hands....my daddy said this "if you cant raise then you must fold, but sometimes you can just call when you can raise" and "never draw on a gutshot" or "never bet on 2 pair 2 pair is a calling hand" its one pair with the best kicker and sometimes not...
 
mendiolacubicle

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Skill will go a long way than luck, I' rather play with a decent amount of skill cause you sometimes ran out of luck :)
 
VizziVizo

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Game of luck.Your skill can beat a luckyman with 9 3 and aces are out)
 
BiliousBetil

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Recently, in another thread, I referred to Taylor and Hilger's excellent book "The Poker Mindset." Their first three realities of poker are:
1. Poker is a game of both skill and luck.
2. In the short term, LUCK is king.
3. In the long term, skill is king.

In other words, the more one plays, the more skill matters.

Cheers!
 
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