And i have no idea wtf is going on this month with me but i am just BLEEDING in NSD pots. I have always been a decent/slight winner in NSD pots but this month the red line is literally straight down.
I really don't know if that is good or bad tho. I figured out sometime last month that i was not playing the loose passive fish very well, and so i decided to TAG it right up and to play pretty much ABC poker. Now that means i'm not only bleeding a fair bit preflop, but it basically means that i am almost never winning a NSD pot unless i am finding good spots to double barrel, etc. And frankly vs players who never fold you simply cannot win NSD pots (think about it). I've also run into some pretty crazy maniacs this month and so i've probably folded way too much to 3Bs and don't even bother 4B bluffing, since some of these guys are so spazzy they will just ship it in with trash, or flat the 4B. It has been mostly in the last 4k hands as well, where i am -$800 in NSD (disgusting i know) but i'm up $1100 in the same period (so SD winnings must be $1900).
At the start of the month i was running really really good in showdown pots (was getting lucky in all in EV) but i was getting set up worse than i have ever seen (basically playing fish in godmode who would have 100% vpip and never miss a hand, ever). Like there was a point there where i literally could not win a single hand to save my life. But i'm not even sure if that would explain it, and as i said that certainly hasn't happened in the last 4k hands, which is where most of the bleeding has been (well actually only about half of it
). It just keeps getting worse and worse.
To me it makes sense that if you are playing bad players who are way too loose passive, or way too aggressive pre and spewy postflop that it is just to play a value based game, nit it up, and take a HUGE hit in NSD pots. Coz these guys can't realise that you are losing alot in NSD pots and adapt, because they are just plain leaky.
I'm pretty embarrassed to post graph, but i would really like some thoughts about "fixing" this (i could ofc just go back to playing "normal" but i really don't think i was playing ideally vs the really bad players).
Anyways, i remember seeing a graph justl ike this on 2+2 (huge sample size tho) and it was pretty lol, so feel free to laugh at me coz well ima fish. Fwiw, my first month of HU was almost the reverse of this (ie. winnings were from NSD at expense of SD)