John A
Poker Zion Coach
Silver Level
You may be overestimating the importance of post-flop range balancing at the $.05 BB level in a site with a massive player pool.
I have no doubt that what you say is true at your usual blind level, and there is some non-zero value to post-flop balance even at this level.
Well, I've sweated plenty of sessions for people who play these limits for 13+ years online. I think I have a pretty good understanding of the player pool, and the fact you really don't need to balance your range much at these limits. I'd advocate heavily against it. So we're going to agree to disagree, and I'm sure you know much better than I here.
For the sake of argument, you are giving the villain a narrow range pre-flop. After calling a flop bet, the villain's range is almost entirely Top Pair Good Kicker or a set of tens.
All the hero has done is make a standard flop c-bet.
There are two clubs on the board. I'd guess the odds of a bet by the villain on the turn here are close to 50/50 if we check.
Lots of contradictions in your thinking here honestly. If players at 5NL are so balanced and understand your range so well, why would they think they need to bet the turn after calling a "standard c-bet"? That makes no sense. If they understand their equity vs your range, they would check for pot control nearly always, even w/ TP.
I think I understand your argument pretty well, thank you again.
Good!
You say I gave the villain free equity for no reason.
I gave him free equity to avoid building a big pot when I was probably behind.
Now, in the unlikely event that we have reached the turn after both player check the flop, I am in a much better situation:
- I know I am probably WA
- it is harder for the villain to know where they stand. So far I have 3-bet pre and checked the flop.
Am I just betting now with a medium pocket pair or KQ because they showed no strength? Slowplaying a monster? Semi-bluffing with a draw?
The villain's range is mostly QQ and JJ now if we agree for argument's sake that he has a narrow pre-flop range.
I am probably ahead, and my range here in the villain's eyes includes many hands they might beat.
Again, this makes no sense. How in your mind is this harder for your opponent to understand your range when you just gave them information? You think checking the flop is creating confusion for your opponent? Look, if a person wants to bluff this flop, their ideal spot is to bet the flop and likely barrel the turn. Both players checking the flop doesn't change anything. You're both saying, I have a hand I like, but I don't want to over invest. My whole point of what I was saying about betting the flop has to do w/ the fact you're not going to get more than 1 street of value vs. opponents who are behind in this spot unless they are bad.
The flop goes c/c... now your opponent has JJ/QQ, what hand are you now betting the turn and river that they beat in their mind? Maybe in a single raised pot what you're saying might apply more, but not in a 3-bet pot.
Maybe I should have just said one line to start. You're not getting more than one street of value when your opponent is behind, so it doesn't ****ing matter what street you bet. Maybe that would have saved us all some time.
Depends on board texture (hopefully we have avoided clubs, Queens, and Jacks), but generally yes, I am betting.
Nothing has changed since the turn, and I have no reason to believe this player is tricky. I'm probably ahead here and will get calls from weaker hands.
Well, if you're getting 2 streets of value in this spot vs. JJ/QQ in a 3-bet pot you're picking good tables. Good for you man. WP.