Well I definitely made his life harder but he ended up busting me out of the tournament lol.
I think you guys are spot on in the 99 > AT hand when saying that there's no way I get to the river with QJ in this exact spot. It's safe to say that my range is absurdly narrow here. AT is probably the slam-dunk absolute bottom of my 3betting range on this flop, though QJcc or 87cc MIGHT make it in there sometimes I guess if I'm feeling frisky.
Duggs, can you elaborate on why you think we should just be shipping it? I like using counterfactuals, but I'm not sure saying I wouldn't shove QJ on the river is relevant. I think there was enough uncertainty at the river that even if I DID get there, I wouldn't shove with it. But also it's a huge disaster if I lose $500 of value because I shove. (Though I guess it's almost equally bad if I miss the $400 of value by NOT shoving - I definitely should have gone at least like $650, but my point is that not getting him to put anything in would be way worse than missing some on the top, in a spot that I'm never going to get in against him again.)
I am definitely kicking myself though over the sizing on all streets actually. I think both flop AND turn could have been bigger, which just makes the river so much easier, and it doesn't pull up any questions of elasticity really because we can make each street a bit larger instead of having to make the river a TON larger.
I hear all the above, and it makes sense, but it's not like I'm "constructing ranges" off-table for spots like this. So it's just a spot I'm going to make a mistake like this in an effort not to make a larger error.
Maybe that's wrong, but I've had so many spots in the past where I went for max value and got none because I sized really big. This was a pretty special hand though where we can put him really solidly on a second-nut class of hand, so I agree we should just go for the home run.
It's just an unfortunate reality that in the moment when playing the second biggest pot of my life, I don't do an awesome job thinking the above through - awesome stuff to review though.
Live poker though so our reads aren't static. 3b flop with the plan to barrel air seems terrible against a guy who has been paying us off. Villain getting really uncomfortable with the spot is info we don't have until after we 3b.
Why not? Can't just ignore live reads.
Hey scourrge. Are you going to be playing the MSPT in Milwaukee in two weeks? I'm just curious because I'm flying into MKE on the 6th and I wouldn't mind railing you when you make a deep run!
Also, I might play a couple of satellites and I wanted to ask if you have any pointers on which are better to play and what not.
Hey oreo, yep I'll be playing there ldo lol. It's the second closest one to me so I'll be there. My next few weeks look like this:
4/2 - MSPT at Running Aces (Minneapolis)
4/9 - MSPT at Potawatomi (Milwaukee)
4/16 - Cash games at Potawatomi (Milwaukee)
4/23 - MSPT at Canterbury Park (Minneapolis)
Gonna be pretty crazy but I'm excited - especially because I'll actually be taking those drives in a new-to-me car. Gonna be a big step up from my '97 Honda Accord, in terms of comfort, road noise, safety, everything.
But if you wanna stop by and say hello, grab a bite, whatever, I'd be down for it. I'll be limited by the tourney schedule obv, but if I bust out I'll still hang around since I've got a hotel booked Saturday night. What's bringing you to Milwaukee??
What stakes do you play when you play cash games?
I'll actually be taking those drives in a new-to-me car. Gonna be a big step up from my '97 Honda Accord, in terms of comfort, road noise, safety, everything.
Let's just say the small blind would be a down payment on a yacht.
New or new-to-me, it's always nice the first couple of months to pilot some new wheels, congrats!
That's intense, glgl. How long have you been grinding the tour?
I'm just sick of being here in Alabama and want to visit some friends and family. I'll be staying in the area until my June, when my sister walks the stage. Yeah I'll come say what's up for sure. I'm gonna be playing some cash there myself while I'm in town too. What stakes do you play when you play cash games?
Let's just say the small blind would be a down payment on a yacht.
lol I prefer a mcdouble as my BB
I'm quite stingy with my bankroll and I'd rather play 1/2 than 1/3 honestly but if that's what they offer I guess that's what I'll have to play. I'll definitely pass on the limit poker lol.Lmao, I definitely don't play "high" stakes by any means, but I typically play 2/5 if it's running and the game isn't terrible (and it's never terrible). Poto also has 1/3 running 24/7, and 3/6 limit too, if you're into simulated torture.
I played a few MSPT's last year, but I wouldn't say I started "grinding" the tour until the end of the year leading into this year. I had the realization that there just aren't that many good players at any of the stops, and I had potential to continue making deep runs with higher consistency than in tougher fields. So I made a really conscious decision to make a full MTT schedule for the year, almost exclusively of MTT's, since there are a ton of stops within a 6-hour drive from where I live.
I'm quite stingy with my bankroll and I'd rather play 1/2 than 1/3 honestly but if that's what they offer I guess that's what I'll have to play. I'll definitely pass on the limit poker lol.
That's cool. I've only tried to qualify a couple of times because I can't justify buying straight in. Unfortunately, I only play play poker so I don't have any wiggle room when it comes to BRM. I will bend the rules for the 350 dollar BI in July though. Are you planning to play that one?
Good luck man, I'm sure you'll make a final table soon if you keep at it. I would be sick if you did it in Milwaukee though!