I hope I was courageous enough to push all my chips to the middle without any hesitation. Of course, I would be trembling and nervous, but could I imagine better situation at the WSOP Main Event start? Not only in the main event itself, but in any tournament. Of course it does not guarantee anything, but the chances of starting with many chips is great.
This reminds me a discussion I've seen in my early days, when I was learning the first pieces of theory. An article proposed the question, "You have AA and go all-in. How many calls do you want to receive?", and I was shocked when the answer was: from everybody, as many players as possible. Suppose you are in a 6-max table. Against 5 random callers, you have 50% chances of winning.
You might say, that's vary bad! But is it? Suppose everybody has a stack worthy $10,000, because it is the first hand. 50% of times you would win 6 stacks, and 50% of times you would lose $10k. The EV would be:
EV = 0,50 * 60,000 - 0,50 * 10,000 =>
EV = $25,000
If this is not too much realistic, why don't we analyze supposing we are facing close-to-real ranges?
The EV would be: EV = 0,69 * $30,000 - 0,31 * $10,000 =
$17,600
One of the worst scenarios would be against hands that are more alive:
But still the EV would be: EV = 0,60 * $30k - 0,40 * $10k = $14,000
But who goes all-in with 65s? Come onnn!
Of course, these calculations are simplistic in terms of chip value at the 1st hand of the tournament. But that's the situation we are in, right?
That's a snap call, and hope to run good that day. If we lose, well, quite sad, but nothing much to do despite having a story to tell further generations.
