ChuckTs
Legend
Silver Level
OK here's my real answer. I was both high and tired and spat out both posts before thinking about them.
The payout structure doesn't give the other players more money if I bust (ie there were ~13 players left, the payout rises only at final 9), so the 22 guy's MO shouldn't be checking it down to bust me. I'll check down on the bubble or FT bubble or right before a big payout jump, but not here. It should be either getting agressive and taking down the blinds, and possibly me along with them, or folding and saving his chips for a better opportunity.
He'll be most probably on a coinflip, or in worst case he'll be a 4.5:1 dog vs a bigger pair against me, so he won't really be in that favourable of a situation in the small pot against me.
I prefer folding and getting aggressive with better hands. Players will also see that you're stealing blinds with 22 and won't be giving you as much respect in future steals.
It could go both ways, but I say dump it.
The payout structure doesn't give the other players more money if I bust (ie there were ~13 players left, the payout rises only at final 9), so the 22 guy's MO shouldn't be checking it down to bust me. I'll check down on the bubble or FT bubble or right before a big payout jump, but not here. It should be either getting agressive and taking down the blinds, and possibly me along with them, or folding and saving his chips for a better opportunity.
He'll be most probably on a coinflip, or in worst case he'll be a 4.5:1 dog vs a bigger pair against me, so he won't really be in that favourable of a situation in the small pot against me.
I prefer folding and getting aggressive with better hands. Players will also see that you're stealing blinds with 22 and won't be giving you as much respect in future steals.
It could go both ways, but I say dump it.