NFL/college football betting thread 2015

[ribbybruno]

College - 5 Units

Navy (-21.5) Vs Army @ Lincoln Field LOSS Army plays tough and loses by only 4

Overall (0-1) -5.50 Units


NFL - 1 Unit Each

Carolina (-8.5) @ Home Vs Atlanta WIN Carolina romps 38-0
Buffalo (E) @ Philadelphia LOSS Buffalo ties it late but loses game in the end 23-20
Jacksonville (-1.5) @ Home Vs Indianapolis WIN Jacksonville plays best game and whips Indy 51-16
Houston (+3.5) @ Home Vs New England LOSS Gronkowski returns for Patriots and take down Texans 27-6
(Mon) NY Giants/Miami OVER 47 WIN Teams score 55 points combined NY Giants 31 Miami 24
(Added) NY Giants/Miami OVER 46.5 (10 Units) WIN

Overall (4-2) +10.80 Units

 

[grilldoggy]

Take Clemson and the points vs Oklahoma - plus over whatever the total is.

 

[ribbybruno]

Record - College- Last Week (0-1) Overall (48-58-1) -20.20 Units
NFL - Last Week (4-2) Overall (29-41-4) -6.70 Units

Units - Last Week (+5.30) Overall (-26.90)

NFL Picks - 1 Unit Each

Carolina (-4) @ NY Giants
Jacksonville (-2.5) @ Home Vs Atlanta
San Francisco (+6) @ Home Vs Cincy
(Mon.) New Orleans (-3) @ Home Vs Detroit

 

[ribbybruno]

Let's Go Bowling!

Bowl Games Picked - 1 Unit Each

Citrus Bowl (Dec. 19th) Georgia St (+2.5) Vs San Jose St.
Go Daddy Bowl (Dec. 23rd) Bowling Green (-7.5) Vs Georgia Southern
Hawaii Bowl (Dec. 24th) San Diego St. (+1) Vs Cincinnati
Quick Lane Bowl (Dec. 28th) Central Michigan (+6) Vs Minnesota
Belk Bowl (Dec. 30th) NC St. (+5.5) Vs Mississippi St.
Peach Bowl (Dec. 31st) Florida St. (-7.5) Vs Houston
Orange Bowl (Dec. 31st) Clemson (+4) Vs Oklahoma
Cotton Bowl (Dec. 31st) Alabama (-9.5) Vs Michigan St.
Outback Bowl (Jan. 1st) Northwestern (+8.5) Vs Tennessee
Fiesta Bowl (Jan. 1st) Ohio St. (-7) Vs Notre Dame
Rose Bowl (Jan. 1st) Stanford (-7) Vs Iowa
Taxslayer Bowl (Jan. 2nd) Georgia (-7) Vs Penn St.
Alamo Bowl (Jan. 2nd) Oregon (E) Vs TCU
Cactus Bowl (Jan. 2nd) Arizona St. (E) Vs West Virginia

 

[99TERRANCE99]

There is going to be some amazing games ,i cant wait for the irish to play!

 

[zjohnzzz]

App state -7

 

[99TERRANCE99]

PATRIOTS AND GREEN BAY ALL DAY ,easy money!

 

[ribbybruno]

Adding 10 Units on New Orleans (-2.5) @ Home Vs Detroit

 

[ribbybruno]

NFL Picks - 1 Unit Each

Carolina (-4) @ NY Giants LOSS Carolina gives up big lead and hangs on 38-35
Jacksonville (-2.5) @ Home Vs Atlanta LOSS Falcons wake up and beat Jacksonville 23-17
San Francisco (+6) @ Home Vs Cincy LOSS 49ers play tough but lose 24-14
(Mon.) New Orleans (-3) @ Home Vs Detroit LOSS
Added (Mon.) New Orleans (-2.5) @ Home Vs Detroit LOSS Saints start slow and get beat 35-27

Overall (0-5) -15.40 Units Ouch! Not very good!

 

[ribbybruno]

Record - College- Last Week (0-0) Overall (48-58-1) -20.20 Units
NFL - Last Week (0-5) Overall (29-46-4) -22.10 Units

Units - Last Week (-15.40) Overall (-42.30)

NFL Picks - 10 Units Each

Arizona (-4.5) @ Home Vs Green Bay
Washington (+2.5) @ Philadelphia
Kansas City (-12.5) @ Home Vs Cleveland
Pittsburgh (-10.5) @ Baltimore
Seattle (-13.5) @ Home Vs St. Louis
Minnesota (-6.5) @ Home Vs NY Giants

Time to try and get even! Down 40 Units @ 10 bucks a unit + juice

 

[ribbybruno]

Added 10 Units Minnesota (-6.5) @ Home Vs NY Giants

 

[ribbybruno]

Arizona (-4.5) @ Home Vs Green Bay WIN Cardinals dismantle Packers 38-8
Washington (+2.5) @ Philadelphia WIN Redskins trounce Eagles in Philly taking down NFC East 38-24
Kansas City (-12.5) @ Home Vs Cleveland LOSS Browns play tough but lose in the end 17-13
Pittsburgh (-10.5) @ Baltimore LOSS Steelers are flat and get beat by Ravens 20-17
Seattle (-13.5) @ Home Vs St. Louis LOSS Rams sweep Seahawks with win in Seattle 23-17
Minnesota (-6.5) @ Home Vs NY Giants WIN Vikings dominate Giants 49-17
Added 10 Units Minnesota (-6.5) @ Home Vs NY Giants WIN

Overall (4-3) +7.00 Units

 

[zjohnzzz]

california -7

 

[we will rock you]

memphis +3,miss st -3.5 1st half, usc moneyline,

 

[ribbybruno]

Record - College- Last Week (0-0) Overall (48-58-1) -20.20 Units
NFL - Last Week (4-3) Overall (33-49-4) -15.10 Units

Units - Last Week (+7.0) Overall (-35.30)

NFL Picks - 10 Units Each

Atlanta/New Orleans OVER 53
Pittsburgh (-9.5) @ Cleveland
New England (-9.5) @ Miami
NY Giants/Philadelphia OVER 51
Carolina (-10.5) @ Home Vs Tampa Bay
Houston (-6.5) @ Home Vs Jacksonville

 

[zjohnzzz]

atl -5.5

 

[ribbybruno]

Bowling - 1 Unit Each

Citrus Bowl (Dec. 19th) Georgia St (+2.5) Vs San Jose St. LOSS San Jose St rallies to beat Georgia St 27-16
Go Daddy Bowl (Dec. 23rd) Bowling Green (-7.5) Vs Georgia Southern LOSS Georgia Southern steamrolls Bowling Green 58-27
Hawaii Bowl (Dec. 24th) San Diego St. (+1) Vs Cincinnati WIN San Diego St grounds Cincinnati 42-7
Quick Lane Bowl (Dec. 28th) Central Michigan (+6) Vs Minnesota LOSS Central Michigan misses spread by 1 point in loss 21-14
Belk Bowl (Dec. 30th) NC St. (+5.5) Vs Mississippi St. LOSS Mississippi St plays great and rolls NC ST 51-28
Peach Bowl (Dec. 31st) Florida St. (-7.5) Vs Houston LOSS Houston plays super and beats Seminoles 38-24
Orange Bowl (Dec. 31st) Clemson (+4) Vs Oklahoma WIN Tigers get revenge on Sooners from last years game 37-17
Cotton Bowl (Dec. 31st) Alabama (-9.5) Vs Michigan St. WIN Crimson Tide blank Spartans with great D 38-0
Outback Bowl (Jan. 1st) Northwestern (+8.5) Vs Tennessee LOSS Volunteers looking great and thrashes Northwestern 45-6
Fiesta Bowl (Jan. 1st) Ohio St. (-7) Vs Notre Dame WIN Buckeyes stifle Notre Dame 44-28
Rose Bowl (Jan. 1st) Stanford (-7) Vs Iowa WIN Cardinals have great day with McCaffrey's efforts and blow out Hawkeyes 45-16
Taxslayer Bowl (Jan. 2nd) Georgia (-7) Vs Penn St. TIE Georgia/Penn St tie the point spread- Bulldogs win 24-17
Alamo Bowl (Jan. 2nd) Oregon (E) Vs TCU LOSS Oregon blows big lead and loses to TCU in OT 47-41
Cactus Bowl (Jan. 2nd) Arizona St. (E) Vs West Virginia LOSS Wild game with West Virginia winning in the end 43-42

Overall (5-8-1) -3.80 Units


NFL - 10 Units Each

Atlanta/New Orleans OVER 53 LOSS Scoring good in 1st half but lose excitement in 2nd half Saints win 20-17
Pittsburgh (-9.5) @ Cleveland WIN Steelers hold Browns to 4 FG's 28-12
New England (-9.5) @ Miami LOSS Patriots look terrible in loss to Dolphins 20-10
NY Giants/Philadelphia OVER 51 WIN Both teams score 65 points in Philly win 35-30
Carolina (-10.5) @ Home Vs Tampa Bay WIN Panthers get back on track and get Home Field Advantage in NFC 38-10
Houston (-6.5) @ Home Vs Jacksonville WIN Texans clinch AFC South title with good defense 30-6

Overall (4-2) +18.0 Units

 

[ribbybruno]

Record - College- Bowling (5-8-1) Overall (53-66-2) -24.00 Units
NFL - Last Week (4-2) Overall (37-51-4) +2.90 Units

Units - Last Week (+14.20) Overall (-21.10)

NFL Playoffs - 1 Unit Each (Betting light on these 4 games - toss ups)

(Saturday) AFC Wild Card - Kansas City (-3) @ Houston
(Saturday) AFC Wild Card - Pittsburgh (-3) @ Cincinnati
(Sunday) NFC Wild Card - Seattle (-5) @ Minnesota
(Sunday) NFC Wild Card - Washington (-1) @ Home Vs Green Bay


College Bowl Championship - 10 Units

(Monday) Alabama (-6.5) Vs Clemson

 

[we will rock you]

packers pk seems like a good bet

 

[99TERRANCE99]

Erm... it's however much your standard betting unit is?

Different people have different bankroll management systems for sports betting (and a lot of people have none at all), for me one unit is about 2% of my sports betting bankroll.

People talk in units because it makes it easier to compare apples with apples - somebody could say they've won $2,000 on the season betting sports, and another person could say they've won $200. But if the first person is betting $1,000 each time, and the second person is only betting $10 each time, you'd probably argue that the second person is the more "successful" sports bettor... even though they haven't won as much money in total.

i think people say the unit deal so they dont declare what they are betting in case they lose =) to me a unit is 100 bucks or 1 unit per 10 dollars if you bet on a smaller scale . There is a huge difference to winning on a small bet to a large one ,even to be willing to place it so i wouldnt compare it that way myself. Its like with poker if you spend to much on a buy in when not ready to play your game regardless of the amount spent ,you shouldnt be in there cause you aint winning ,same is true in handicapping,you wont think the best bet oppurtunity out and even if you do often you wont place it because of the amount difference ,so i would move up when you notice the amount doesnt effect your decision making so much,because often it can or will if you are being honest about it .

 

[OzExorcist]

So full disclosure, I haven't followed college football at all really this season - but getting in on some prop betting degeneracy for the championship game:

Deshaun Watson under 36.5 pass attempts @ 1.87
Wayne Gallman over 69.5 rushing yards @ 2.00
Artavis Scott under 63.5 receiving yards @ 1.87
Jake Coker under 218.5 passing yards @ 2.00
Jake Coker under 19.5 completions @ 1.87
ArDarius Stewart under 47.5 receiving yards @ 1.91
Calvin Ridley under 90.5 receiving yards @ 1.80

Coker passing yards for a half unit, everything else for a quarter unit.

Also on Bama-6.5 because Massey Peabody.

There is a huge difference to winning on a small bet to a large one ,even to be willing to place it so i wouldnt compare it that way myself. Its like with poker if you spend to much on a buy in when not ready to play your game regardless of the amount spent ,you shouldnt be in there cause you aint winning ,same is true in handicapping,you wont think the best bet oppurtunity out and even if you do often you wont place it because of the amount difference ,so i would move up when you notice the amount doesnt effect your decision making so much,because often it can or will if you are being honest about it .

Point is if you're practising proper bankroll management, and you've got a track record of winning results, then the amount you're playing for shouldn't matter at all.

Sports betting has the added advantage that as you move up in stakes the actual handicapping process doesn't get any harder (unlike poker, where the competition gets better the higher you play). Beyond a certain point you might have trouble finding enough sports betting action at the limits you want to place bets at, which is a different kind of challenge, but the actual handicapping process is theoretically the same.

 

[PLAYFUL1]

GO ALABAMA GO says Playful

 

[ribbybruno]

NFL Playoffs

AFC Wild Card - Kansas City (-3) @ Houston WIN Chiefs blank Texans 30-0
AFC Wild Card - Pittsburgh (-3) @ Cincinnati LOSS Steelers only win by 2 and don't cover 18-16
NFC Wild Card - Seattle (-5) @ Minnesota LOSS Vikings blow lead and lose in 4th quarter 10-9
NFC Wild Card - Washington (-1) @ Home Vs Green Bay LOSS Packers run up the gut of the Redskins and win 35-18

Overall (1-3) -2.30 Units

College Championship Game

Alabama (-6.5) Vs Clemson LOSS Very exciting game with Clemson covering spread but Crimson Tide winning 45-40

Overall (0-1) -11.00 Units

 

[zjohnzzz]

carolina panthers -2.5

 

[ribbybruno]

Record - College- Championship Game (0-1) Overall (53-67-2) -35.00 Units
(Finished the college season with a $350 withdrawal out of my wallet)


NFL - Last Week (1-3) Overall (38-54-4) +.60 Units

Units - Last Week (-13.30) Overall (-34.40)


NFL - Divisional Round - 10 Units Each

New England (-4.5) @ Home Vs Kansas City
Arizona (-7) @ Home Vs Green Bay
Carolina (-1.5) @ Home Vs Seattle
Denver(-7) @ Home Vs Pittsburgh

Enjoy the football everyone! Should be some great games!