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I realize I am late to the game but I'll offer these 2 for week 4
1- Upset special....Take the Bronco's and 3.5 points. In addition to having virtually no defense the chiefs have issues protecting the passer, Mahommes has only been sacked 4x but that is due to him. Bronco's bring a fierce pass rush (9 sacks) and are at home on MNF. One team kicks a FG to win the game so I think Denver covers either way. Like most rookie QB's Mahommes starts well with scripted plays but KC's second half woes follow them to 2018...maybe it wasn't Nagy after all.
2- I'd also take Atlanta at home (-5) over Cincy. Matt Ryan is back and the Falcons win big at home
lol 0-2. A missed XP in the Atlanta game allowed Cincy to kick a FG or maybe they win by 7.
Chiefs catch a few breaks as I predicted but needed them to miss an XP as they covered the 3.5 by winning by 4.
Now we see why I don't quit my day job ;-)
Pats on thursday night. as many credits as I can find. On the game line. Not a great payoff, but as close to a sure thing as it gets.