NBA Basketball Thread 2020/2021

[we will rock you]

lets go knicks need to to beat the bulls

 

[puzzlefish]

3/6, brings me to 42/77. The under/over is terrible.

April 28

76ers -8 > Hawks

Wizards > Lakers

Spurs > Heat, also Spurs + 5 > Heat for insurance

Blazers > Grizzlies

Clippers/Suns < 224.5, both teams pretty banged up with injuries

Hornets/Celtics < 219.5

4/7 brings me to 46/84. Resting today.

 

[Mohamed48]

The basket N° 2 29/04/2021


Indiana Pacers & Brooklyn Nets
Winner Brooklyn Nets

 

[puzzlefish]

... I myself are 13-13 and very tentative to make choices these days...

What odds do you usually bet on? I am looking at profitability with a 50% success rate on picks and it looks like anything over 1.0 would result in profit. Seems too good to be true. Even for odds averaging as low as 1.3 that would mean $0.15 profit for every $1 bet. For 1000 bets of $1 each, you would expect $150 profit. (Profit at odds of 1.3 with 50% success rate = 500*1.3*$1 - 500*1*$1). Am I getting that calculation correct?

 

[puzzlefish]

4/7 brings me to 46/84. Resting today.

For tonight, April 30, I will do things a bit differently and start employing multiples.

Celtics and Nets win. (Double, 2.41 effective)

Lakers and Kings over 219.5 (Single, 1.61)

Lakers, 76ers, and Wizards all win (Trixie, 1.74 effective)

 

[puzzlefish]

What odds do you usually bet on? I am looking at profitability with a 50% success rate on picks and it looks like anything over 1.0 would result in profit. Seems too good to be true. Even for odds averaging as low as 1.3 that would mean $0.15 profit for every $1 bet. For 1000 bets of $1 each, you would expect $150 profit. (Profit at odds of 1.3 with 50% success rate = 500*1.3*$1 - 500*1*$1). Am I getting that calculation correct?

Made that post late at night. Calculation is not correct. For each $1 bet at 1.3 the return would be 0.3*$1 so $0.30. Over a series of 1000 bets at odds of 1.3, Profit = 500*0.30*$1 - 500*1*$1 = -$350 (loss).. so to break even at that rate would require odds at 2.0.

 

[puzzlefish]

For tonight, April 30, I will do things a bit differently and start employing multiples.

Celtics and Nets win. (Double, 2.41 effective)

Lakers and Kings over 219.5 (Single, 1.61)

Lakers, 76ers, and Wizards all win (Trixie, 1.74 effective)

Lakers and Celtics ruin the entire night's bets. 0/3

 

[Risto234]

Tonight in NBA

Cavaliers vs Heat

Over 209 points @1.93

 

[pribalt49]

My favorite club, the Dallas Mavericks, has to get into the playoffs this season and will give resistance to the eminent NBA clubs there.

 

[ribbybruno]

I pay 10% on every $100 wager that loses. Winning is straight up!

Example - Wager $250 on a game and lose = -$250 for game and -$25 juice = -$275 total

 

[puzzlefish]

May 2

Nets>Bucks @2.2
Betting on Giannis to be out and KD to play.

Kings>Mavericks @3.3
Line is in favour of Mavericks, who have lost against the Kings the last 2 times and are also playing without rest.

Suns - 13.5 > Thunder @1.8

 

[puzzlefish]

May 2

Nets>Bucks @2.2
Betting on Giannis to be out and KD to play.

Kings>Mavericks @3.3
Line is in favour of Mavericks, who have lost against the Kings the last 2 times and are also playing without rest.

Suns - 13.5 > Thunder @1.8

Giannis played. It was close but the Nets lost.

Kings won.

Thunder played better than usual.

1/3, but the 1 was @ 3.3 which was good.

I am watching the Raptors and Lakers. Betting that Raptors can stay within 10.5 of the Lakers and over 226.5.

 

[puzzlefish]

Giannis played. It was close but the Nets lost.

Kings won.

Thunder played better than usual.

1/3, but the 1 was @ 3.3 which was good.

I am watching the Raptors and Lakers. Betting that Raptors can stay within 10.5 of the Lakers and over 226.5.

Raptors did very well, bringing the night to 3/5. Lakers look to be in trouble as both LBJ and Davis don't look like they are doing well after their injuries.

May 3

Wiz - 4.5 > Pacers

Pistons > Magic

Pelicans> Warriors

Knicks > Grizzlies

 

[ADRI7HO]

Early Week NBA Tips:

Detroit - Orlando (Orlando (Match Winner) 1.94)

Washington v Indiana (Washington (Match Winner) 1.61)

New Orleans v Golden State (New Orleans (Match Winner) 1.60)

 

[Risto234]

Tonight in NBA ...

Pistons vs Magic: Over 210 points @1.82
Bulls vs 76ers: Over 210 points @1.79

 

[ADRI7HO]

Early Week NBA Tips:

Detroit - Orlando (Orlando (Match Winner) 1.94)

Washington v Indiana (Washington (Match Winner) 1.61)

New Orleans v Golden State (New Orleans (Match Winner) 1.60)

Ohh, only New Orleans didn’t win.:joyman:
Curry closed again above 40 points...

 

[puzzlefish]

Raptors did very well, bringing the night to 3/5. Lakers look to be in trouble as both LBJ and Davis don't look like they are doing well after their injuries.

May 3

Wiz - 4.5 > Pacers

Pistons > Magic

Pelicans> Warriors

Knicks > Grizzlies

2/4

May 4

Clippers -9.5 > Raptors, <218.5

Raptors are missing Van Fleet. Clippers are set to have both George and Leonard playing. Not expecting an energetic game.

Warriors > Pelicans

Heat - 3.5 > Mavericks

 

[puzzlefish]

2/4

May 4

Clippers -9.5 > Raptors, Pelicans

Heat - 3.5 > Mavericks

1/4, as Raptors played with Van Fleet so they didn't lose as badly, Pelicans outplayed the Warriors, and the Heat stalled.

For tonight.. I got nothing. Kind of interested in Bucks vs Wizards but nothing standing out for bets.

Edit:

76ers - 13.5 > Rockets

Kings > Pacers, Kings + 6.5 > Pacers

Suns - 1 > Hawks

 

[nimburkx]

Golden State my favourite team)

 

[we will rock you]

lets go knicks tonight lets show the nuggets we are good

 

[puzzlefish]

1/4, as Raptors played with Van Fleet so they didn't lose as badly, Pelicans outplayed the Warriors, and the Heat stalled.

For tonight.. I got nothing. Kind of interested in Bucks vs Wizards but nothing standing out for bets.

Edit:

76ers - 13.5 > Rockets

Kings > Pacers, Kings + 6.5 > Pacers

Suns - 1 > Hawks

3/4. Suns had a bizarre cooler of a game. Couldn't seem to connect any shots starting in the third.

Nothing worth betting on yet tomorrow. Maybe the Pacers game vs. the Hawks..

 

[puzzlefish]

May 6th betting big on the Hawks to win.

Hawks > Pacers ***
Wizards > Raptors

 

[Risto234]

Today in NBA ...

Clippers vs Lakers

Over 210.50 points @1.92

 

[puzzlefish]

May 6th betting big on the Hawks to win.

Hawks > Pacers ***
Wizards > Raptors

1/2, Wizards squeeze by the Raptors. Pacers, despite being riddled with injuries and internal disruption, outplay a healthy Hawks team. This pretty much sums up betting this season. No matter what edge may be present before tip-off, all it takes is either team to run hot or cold to make it all a coin flip.

 

[ribbybruno]

1/2, Wizards squeeze by the Raptors. Pacers, despite being riddled with injuries and internal disruption, outplay a healthy Hawks team. This pretty much sums up betting this season. No matter what edge may be present before tip-off, all it takes is either team to run hot or cold to make it all a coin flip.

Yes - hard finding an edge in some of these games - shows how good the oddsmakers can be