Dont subscribe to must win, revenge factor, or looking ahead. These are media hype angles that have little to do with the teams ability or their ability to play like a team. The only exception seems to be when a player mouths off and disrespects the opponent earlier in the week before the match. This can give an opponent the extra incentive it needs to open up a can of whoop ass.
Dont vary your bets, bet consistently, and limit the number of bets you make. Be an opportunist rather than an action junkie. You should never wager more than 2% of your
bankroll on one event. I need to follow my own advice. Ive made 3 large bets this year and lost them.
If everyone is betting in one direction yet the line is moving in the other, there is sharp action on the game going against the public selection.
If everything looks good on paper like it cant lose, and everyone else thinks so as well, proceed with caution especially in the NFL.