Estonian Football Corner (betting tips)

[Risto234]

Today in Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Levadia
18:00 CET
4€ on Kalju DnB @1.97

Levadia have started this season quite perfectly as they've won all 4 games so far although they did concede in the last 2 ... However Kalju havent been this good this year cause eventhough they have won all 3 awaygames to nil they still managed to lose both 2 homegames this season ... Levadia seems to be favourite here but then again they have been that vs Kalju recently aswell couple times and each time pretty much failed to deliver... Levadia havent won h2h leaguegame for 3 years and during the last 10 h2h games they drew 3 and lost 7 matches ... Since this match will be played on artifical turf then anything can happen i guess but still at home i expect Kalju to finally start playing and therefore get atleast draw from this game. Also it seems that this game will be streamed live in youtube so in case someone dont have better things to ... [ame]https://youtube.com/watch?v=1gpBP8V9sf0[/ame]

 

[Risto234]

Today in Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Levadia
18:00 CET
4€ on Kalju DnB @1.97

Well they did win 2:0 so current bankroll is 528.23€ :rock:

 

[Risto234]

Today in Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Flora
14:00 CET
5€ on Kalju AH0 @2.22

Both sides have won 4 leaguegames so far but neither of them havent been as perfect as Dude Perfect (???) since they both have already dropped points ... Still teams come to this match from winning streaks having won 2 and 3 consecutive games so sad truth is that (atleast) for one team their winning streak comes to an end. I'd imagine that this artificial pitch is still dry therefore in (not so) excellent condition so we probably see another (very) physical game here. Kalju have also won 4 of the last 9 h2h leaguegames while losing just once so perhaps just like on wednesday they can actually get something from this game aswell.

 

[Risto234]

Today in Meistriliiga
Legion - Tulevik
18:30 CET
5€ on 1st half over 1.0 goals @1.72


Since beating Kalju few weeks ago Legion haven't been that brilliant anymore cause they are winless and goalless in 4 games but on the other hand they did kept clean sheet in both of the last 2 matches. At the same time Viljandi havent been superior either cause they lost 3 of the last 5 matches but they do seem to start strongly cause from 7 matches so far they did went to HT with a lead in 5. Also so far this season their games have seen 9 first half goals so perhaps they'll continue causual strategy to avoid goalless first half and we'll see goal(s) in the first half of this match aswell ...

 

[erik_lima]

Hey, man.

I'm new on this forum. I love football and I like to watch different leagues. I will follow this topic and learn more about the Estonian Football. Keep posting

 

[Risto234]

So yesterday Viljandi showed another decent 1st half perfomance cause for the 6. time this season they want to HT break with a lead. This time they were leading "just" 1:0 though thanks to 3rd min goal ...


Anyway today in Meistriliiga
Flora vs Levadia
18:30 CET
5€ on Levadia over 1.0 goals @1.87

Both teams have scored in 6 of their 7 games so far but while Flora is still unbeaten as they won 6 games incl most recent 5 then Levadia have gone backwards after winning first 4 matches cause they have only won 1 of the last 3 matches.. Flora may be favourite here and so on but despite inconsistent perfomances recently i still think that Levadia can get something here if they get their act together and avoid gifting opponent goals (like they did in last game) ... Both teams won 3 of the last 6 h2h games so i'd imagine we'll see another close game this time aswell.. Also Levadia scored in each of these matches so i expect them to get atleast (consolation) goal here should they again underperfom or whatever ...

 

[Risto234]

Today in Meistriliiga
Kalev - Levadia
18:00 CET
Under 4 goals @1.62


Neither team haven't been too brilliant recently as Kalev is winless in 6 games after losing 5 during that time although they did drew last match 0:0. At the same time Levadia have won just 1 of the last 5 games as they are winless in 4. Also since they drew 3 of the last 4 games and now trail Flors by 10 points then surely they cant afford to drop anymore points ... So it is probably no surprise that Levadia so far this season have had problems with scoring cause their 2 top scorers have magnificent 3 goals to their name and they aren't rocksolid defensively either cause have conceded 15 in 10 games from which 11 came during the last 4 games.. Therefore story is still the same: whenever under 4 odds are decent enough you must hope that for once teams are amateurs offensively and world class defensively ...

 

[Risto234]

Today in Meistriliiga
Flora vs Paide
15:00 CET
Flora -1 AH @1.90

I guess it is safe to say that both teams were brought back to earth earlier this week cause after 10 and 5 consecutive wins they both actually managed to lose leaguegame. Prior to their awaygame vs Viljandi Flora had dropped just 2 points all season so it'd be kinda hilarious if they go now 2 games without a win.. Paide meanwhile is still 2nd in the league but they also have like 3-4 important players unavailable so this might easily affect them.. Anyway Flora haven't lost not a single h2h match in the last 4 years as they won 6 of the last 7 h2h matches so i'm going with their win today aswell (although i'd be positively surprised should they fail to win here)

 

[Risto234]

Today in Meistriliiga
Paide vs Kalju
18:30 CET
Kalju +0.5 AH @1.81

After 5 consecutive wins Paide have now gone backwards as they've lost 2 games in a row so at home it's time for them to redeem themselves perhaps... Meanwhile Kalju is unbeaten in 4 games as they won 3 during that time while conceding just one goal and they've won 2 in a row to nil aswell. Curiously enough 4 of the last 5 h2h games went to the away team. Kalju have also won last 6 h2h awaygames + in the league they haven't lost awaygame since may 2017 i think so hopefully they can extend that run and actually get something from this game.

 

[Risto234]

Today in Meistriliiga
Flora vs Kalju
18:30 CET
X2 @2.55 in Unibet


Both sides are in great shape as they both won 4 of the last 5 matches so clearly they both would like to continue winning i'd imagine. Still while Kalju kept 3 clean sheets during that period then Flora practiced outscoring method since they conceded in all these games ... Flora may have collected maximumpoints vs other top4 clubs so far this season but clearly even they are far from being brilliant.. For Kalju game like this is probably pure luxury since they can play on grass instead of artifical turf so they'd be able to make decent perfomance.. Kalju still havent lost away leaguegame since 2017 - also Flora's last homewin vs Kalju was in that year so ... Anyway's i'm probably going to regret not taking Flora -1 AH here (so i'd be happy if they fail to win) but let's see..

 

[Risto234]

Today in Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Tammeka
18:30 CET
Kalju -1 AH @1.62

Both teams may have lost their last leaguegame but were victorius in midweek cup round when they beated lower league opponents 8:0 and 13:0 ... So guess one thing is certain: we dont see that many goals today ... Kalju started slowly at home as they won just 1 of the first 5 homegames while lost 4 but they seem to get back on track now as they've won 3 consecutive homegames to nil. Meanwhile Tammeka won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 awaygames but as they were in format of WLWLW then ...
Tammeka have also yet to lose in Tallinn so far this season as they beated Legion here and drew with Levadia & Flora so i'd imagine they will make another solid perfomance today in this artificular turf and that despite having 2 defensive players unavailable ... Still Kalju have conceded least amount of goals (9) in the league so far this season so wouldn't surprised if they get typical 1:0 or 2:0 win here ... Also Kalju is the only estonian club which will be seeded in next seasons european competion first qualifying round but more about that next weekend ...

 

[navicula]

edit...

 

[Risto234]

edit...

If you refer to that result then guess it just happens sometimes.
Atleast most profitable time of the year is still ahead: our clubs european games - if all goes according to plan then all 4 teams will lose all their games haha

 

[Risto234]

Preview Time

Champions League 1st qualifying round (18-19 august)

Flora possible opponents:
Molde
Suduva
Dundalk
Slovan Bratislava

From that list Molde is probably the strongest one but others clearly arent joke teams either as Suduva have been (un)fortunate enough to fall on the last hurdle before groupstage in each of the last 3 seasons where they reached EL 4th quali round ... Dundalk have also been quite regular in this region recently cause few years ago they beated Levadia and last season their match in Latvia went all the way to penalties where they won i think ... And Bratislava reached EL groupstage last season & there in group with Besiktas, Wolves and some other team they finished third with 4p ...

As for Flora itself they may beat everyone domestically and so on but on the other hand they will need to start having constant decent results in europe ... Also their current squad may be easily the all time strongest so guess it's intresting to see are they going to (under)peform in european competions yet again or not ... Last seasons success when they knocked Radnicki out was only the second time in 20-22+ years when they actually knocked some club out so ... And this summer they've already boosted squad by bringing new GK & LB to the team ...

And the draw is made now: Flora - Suduva it is. Obviously odds arent out yet but as this is homegame then i'd imagine opponents odds are going to be slightly better than they usually would be so this is positive sign (or not) ...
So yeah at home in one leg game vs other Baltic club: what could be better. Shame though that these games take place behind closed doors though and for Flora i'd say if they dont reach (atleast) EL 3rd quali round then their european season is once again huge failure.

I'll probably have closer look on that game whenever odds do come out but for now it's time to wait for tomorrow's morning when Levadia, Kalju and Paide learn which opponents might knock them out.

 

[Risto234]

Preview Time vol 2

Europa League first qualifying round (27 august)

Levadia possible opponents:
Olimpija Ljubljana (SVN)
Maribor (SVN)
St Joseph's (GIB)/B36 Tórshavn (FRO)

Paide possible opponents:
Žalgiris Vilnius (LTU)
Riteriai (LTU)
Budapest Honvéd (HUN)

Kalju possible opponents:
Mura (SVN)
Kauno Žalgiris (LTU)
Bohemian (IRL)

Kalju is playing at home but they probably got hardest possible team. Still they known very well what it feels like to knock stronger teams out. Paide is heading to Lithuania for their first ever european game - Zalgiris probably will be favourite here but i´m sure that Paide will try to make it difficult for them. And for Levadia eventhough they also need to travel then atleast they managed to avoid slovenians so this should be half win ...

 

[Risto234]

Thursday Special

Europa League 1st qualifying round
Kalju vs Mura
16:30 CET
Kalju over 0.5 goals @1.58
Mura -1 AH @1.88

This slovenian team who finished 4th last season and won cup recently is probably happy with their opponent since they probably got the weakest one ... Still their european history is not that great cause in their debut last year they lost both matches vs some israeli club. Mura may have played just 1 game in currrent new leagueseason but that was 2:0 win away vs defending champions Celje so clearly they seem to be fine on the road ... Meanwhile Kalju has much more european experience cause have played in european competions for 10+ years and they also know very well what it takes to eliminate stronger team cause did exactly that in 6 of the last 7 seasons. Kalju is going to play defensively here while making sure this match will be as physical as possible cause that is probably the only way for them to achieve here so i expect them to get atleast (consolation) goal here but i also went with opponents handicap to make sure that if this bet loses they are out or we see extra time ...

Zalgiris vs Paide
19:00 CET
Zalgiris -1 AH @1.61
Paide over 0.5 goals @1.57

Sadly we cant see this former Liverpool player anymore but Zalgiris probably has other (not so) decent foreign players too so ... Anyway Paide is making their european debut here so they have nothing to lose here and it seems that they are going all-in here cause they have signed like 3 new players in the summer. However Zalgiris aint joke team either cause have played in europe 8 consecutive seasons and during that time they eliminated 5 teams and they even played vs Sevilla not so long ago ... Anyways i am going with similar bets here cause expect Paide to get atleast (consolation) goal and went with hosts handicap to see how "good" they eventually are ...

B36 Torshavn vs Levadia
20:00 CET
Torshavn to qualify @1.66

When odds first came out they were like 50-50 with Levadia slight favourite but things have changed now ... This team played against Kalju some years ago and lost both matches so despite Levadia really cant underestimate team which has plenty faroese players alongside someone from Denmark and Poland ... Recent years clearly havent been great for Levadia cause in league they have finished second 5 years in a row and in europe they havent been superb either since beating some other faroese team 4 years ago cause in the last 3 years they fell on first hurdle ... Also this year Levadia have been anything but brilliant cause in league they are 17p behind leaders and have conceded already 26 goals - usually they dont even concede this many entire season ... So you may think things cant get any worse but in fact they did cause 4 attacking players from usual starting 11 were left home cause 2 are suspended and 2 just didnt get visas ... So with that in mind i am going with hosts to qualify here ...

As for the 3 games then who knows what is going to pehapn ... 3 defeats is sadly more realistic than 1 win but lets see. Also i hope that this trio have learned from Flora´ mistakes and actually have practiced penalties, dont waste substitutions (specially if match goes to ET) and most importantly dont waste chances where they are 6 vs 2/3 players ...

 

[Risto234]

Saturday in Nations League
Estonia vs Georgia
18:00 CET
Estonia over 0.5 goals @1.68

Both sides have been quite dreadful recently cause together they've managed to win just 1 of the last 5 matches and both teams come to this match from losing streaks aswell having lost 3 and 2 consecutive games so on positive note (atleast) for one team their miserable run will end here ... Anyway Estonia have failed to score in each of the last 5 games so still no surprise there but Georgia defense haven't been rocksolid either since they conceded in each of the last 3 games. Teams have met 5 times so far with we finding the net in 4 and curiously enough away team has never won in this h2h pair so hopefully this stays this way ... But after seeing "magnificent" perfomances by other baltic nations i guess there's real chance we might make same dreadful display (or even worse one) ... Latvia & Lithuania managed to score impressive 0 goals in their homegames so perhaps we aren't going to be this wasteful in front of goal for a change ...

 

[Risto234]

Today in Europa League (3rd qualifying round)
Floriana vs Malta
19:00 CET (although some sites still think this match starts 90 min later ...)
Floriana to qualify @1.80

Neither team havent been too succesful in european competions cause they both have knocked out staggering 3 opponents in their history but while Floriana's first 2 KO's came in the 90's i think then Flora have managed to KO one opponent last season aswell as in this season aswell.. Both sides are in decent shape aswell cause they've won 2 & 4 matches in a row. Floriana is at home so i doubt they'd be naive enough to park the bus here but they probably dont storm into attack either. Therefore i expect them to make sure that they are this team who will be "fortunate" enough to lose awaygame vs Dinamo Zagreb in the next round.
(As always i dont mind at all should this bet lose cause in that case it'd confirm these opponents are ... )

 

[Risto234]

Today in international friendly ...
Estonia vs Lithuania
18:00 CET
Estonia over 1.0 goals @1.87

There is no doubt that both sides use this match as a warm-up ahead of upcoming Nations League fixtures but i doubt neither team is too naive to take this game too lightly specially as they both have their own problems. Lithuania may have actually won 2 of the last 3 games (to nil) but away from home they have won 1 and lost 7 of the last 9 matches although this rare win did came in last NL fixture ... At the same time we have still been even worse - 10 games without a win from which lost 9, have also lost 5 consecutive games and are goalless in 7 matches ... Also we havent won at home either after beating Lithuania 2 years ago so it is 10 homegames now ... However considering that in each of the last 5 h2h games home team won to nil then i should imagine that for once we actually manage to score atleast cause if we cant even do that here then we are probably never going to do it ...

 

[Risto234]

Sunday in Nations League

Macedonia vs Estonia

15:00 CET

Estonia over 0.5 goals @1.63

Both sides were in action in midweek as we visited Italy for whatever reason and lost "only" 0:4 whileMacedonia won 1:0 in Georgia which secured them a place in next summer's EURO's (which hopefully arent postponed/cancelled or whatever anymore) Anyway while Macedonia is unbeaten in the last 5 matches then we have (gladly) gone opposite direction since we're winless in 5. Macedonia won 5 and lost 2 of the last 8 homegames but during that time they kept just 1 clean sheet.. However we have been even worse on the road cause in the last 8 awaygames we actually scored impressive 1 goal - this was in march last year so we've now gone 6 awaygames in a row without a goal.. Expecting/Hoping us to score is probably longshot but then again perhaps for once we can actually be dangerous on the road (although it's probably too much to ask) so let's see how this match goes ...

 

[Risto234]

Lets bring this thread back to life ...

Wednesday in World Cup Qualifiers

Estonia vs Czech Republic (in Poland)

20:45 CET

Czechs -1.5 AH @1.62

2 (european) nations with worst coronavirus stats (in the last 14 days) go head to head so i should imagine winner gets (unofficial) coronavirus cup or something. Anyway our team has still been quite average - its been like almost 2 years since last win with our record since 13 defeats and 4 draws ... Czechs havent been too superior either with 6 wins and 5 defeats in the last 11 games but after conceding in 8 consecutive games they managed to shut down their defense with clean sheets in the last 2 games which they won. Czechs have also won all 3 h2h games so far by 2 or more goals so i expect them to continue this pattern ...

 

[RedGnom]

World Cup Qualifying starts out!
As the lowest ranked nation in World Cup Qualifying Group E, Estonia (#108) will know they’re expected to fulfil the role of group whipping boys here. Yet whilst eight of their last nine WCQ defeats came by a 2+ goal margin - as well as their last two competitive H2Hs vs the Czech Republic - Estonia haven’t finished bottom of a WCQ group since the 1994 qualifiers, so they may spring a surprise or two this campaign.
Good luck Estonia!

 

[RedGnom]

Wednesday in World Cup Qualifiers
Estonia vs Czech Republic (in Poland)
20:45 CET
Czechs -1.5 AH @1.62

2 (european) nations with worst coronavirus stats (in the last 14 days) go head to head so i should imagine winner gets (unofficial) coronavirus cup or something.
They will play this match in neutral Poland.
Anyway our team has still been quite average - its been like almost 2 years since last win with our record since 13 defeats and 4 draws ...
As a side note, since then, they have lost all six competitive matches they’ve played against teams in FIFA’s top 50, four by a 3+ goal margin.
Czechs haven't been too superior either with 6 wins and 5 defeats in the last 11 games but after conceding in 8 consecutive games they managed to shut down their defense with clean sheets in the last 2 games which they won.
That’s bound to fill #42 ranked Czech Republic with confidence, especially after their recent successful UEFA Nations League campaign (W4, L2) that saw them promoted to League A.
Czechs have also won all 3 h2h games so far by 2 or more goals so i expect them to continue this pattern ...
With the team that’s scored first winning their last six matches (W4, L2), an opening Czech goal will likely wrap up this game early. That looks especially likely considering they have netted a first-half opener in five of their previous six outings against teams ranked 100 or worse - doing so within 20 minutes in four of those games.

Hot stat: Seven straight games involving the Czech Republic have seen the opening goal scored by the 20th minute.

 

[Risto234]

World Cup Qualifying starts out!
Estonia haven’t finished bottom of a WCQ group since the 1994 qualifiers, so they may spring a surprise or two this campaign.
Good luck Estonia!

Hot stat: Seven straight games involving the Czech Republic have seen the opening goal scored by the 20th minute.

I wouldnt mind our NT getting these one or 2 surprises but they probably dont happen this week. Even for example all czech handicaps which were decent yesterday went crashing down this morning - for example Czechs -2 AH went from 2.10 to 1.30 ... So yeah it is kinda shame what 1 coronapositive in team sport can do here. Surprisingly it seems like we are the only country in the world where in any team sport 1 coronapositive is enough for games to be postponed alongside whole squad to be sent to isolation etc while rest of the world only quarantines individual(s) tasted positive and moves on ...

 

[RedGnom]

So yeah it is kinda shame what 1 coronapositive in team sport can do here. Surprisingly it seems like we are the only country in the world where in any team sport 1 coronapositive is enough for games to be postponed alongside whole squad to be sent to isolation etc while rest of the world only quarantines individual(s) tasted positive and moves on ...

Oh, dear. It is wrong of those who arrived at this decision.
Hold the fort!