NBA
Milwaukee Bucks @ Phoenix Suns:
Phoenix Suns (- 2.5) /// 1.85
Last bet lost. I feel like Utah Jazz who are tanking to get a high pick in a future draft.

But I'm not doing that actually. My current score in my challenge is 3-3 and I need to win 3 out of the next 4 NBA bets. If the challenge is lost, I will completely end my 2nd season of NBA betting and will only bet on MLB (including Postseason). As for the Houston and Denver game, I was surprised by the Rockets' lack of perimeter defense, which allowed the Nuggets to make 47.6% of their three-point shots. What a catastrophic level Fred VanVleet has shown, unfortunately. From this player we expect at least a consistent 35-40% realization of three-point shots, but not 12.5%. My betting score is MLB 101-93 in favor of successful, NBA 160-180 in favor of unsuccessful, NHL 7-16 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL 4-11 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: Phoenix Suns at home will beat Milwaukee Bucks by 3 points or more. Milwaukee has been too lucky in the past two games against Los Angeles Lakers and Sacramento Kings. Both of those teams had very serious roster issues, as Sacramento lost Domantas Sabonis and Malik Monk and the Lakers had a load-management of their entire starting five. Phoenix has looked very solid in recent games. They've beaten a very solid Cleveland Cavaliers (with a fully optimal roster) and Chicago Bulls (who destroyed the prime Lakers on the road) in the last two games. The Suns roster is almost optimal (only Bradley Beal will not play), while Milwaukee will be without Damian Lillard, Bobby Portis and Jericho Sims. But the main argument in favor of this bet is Michael Budenholzer. Yes, the Phoenix coach is a Milwaukee creator. And he certainly knows Milwaukee's weaknesses better than any coach in the League. I think Phoenix will also win with confidence, as they did in the game against Cleveland, as the Suns have no motivation problems, as well as no back-to-backs. Bet? Sure!

