Betting Tips & Predictions

john_entony

john_entony

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New York Mets @ Chicago Cubs: overall total of runs after first 5 innings (< 4.5) /// 1.87

Last bet won. I almost predicted the score of a baseball game! I said the score would be "somewhere around 7-1" and the game ended "7-2". And so far this is my most accurate MLB prediction this season. The winning odds of "2.50" is not a record in terms of the size of odds, as I have already won with odds of "2.70", but I can say for sure that I won the money for the last bet. Congratulations to everyone who bet! Total score of my bets: NBA 93-108 in favor of the unsuccessful, MLB 45-35 in favor of the successful, NHL 2-5 in favor of the unsuccessful, NFL+NCAAF 3-8 in favor of the unsuccessful.
New bet: total of runs in the first 5 innings in the 3rd game of the series between Chicago Cubs and New York Mets will be 4 or less. All right, starting pitchers! Yes, in bets like this, all the analytics are only around the individual stats of the starting pitchers. So let's see if this is a playable prediction. Javier Assad will play for Chicago Cubs in this game. His stats this season: 15 games, covers an average 5.25 innings per game in which he gets 1.74 runs. He has played against New York Mets 2 times in his career as a starting pitcher, and he played just perfect: 2 runs in 11 innings. That means he is covering an average 5.50 innings per game, in which he only gets 1 run from the Mets offense! That's a great stat! Luis Severino will play for the Mets in this game. Yes, this is the former Yankees starting pitcher who failed last season. I can't say he's reliable this season. His stats so far on the season: 14 games, covers an average 6.03 innings per game in which he gets an average 2.79 runs. But it's necessary to admit here that Luis Severino rotates failed games with successful ones. And he has never yet failed 2 games in a row this season. Just to remind you, he failed in his last game against Rangers, getting 6 runs in 6.1 innings. Luis Severino also has incredible stats in games against Cubs: 3 games, covers an average 7 innings per game in which he gets an average 1 run. There is a very high probability that none of the starting pitchers will fail in the first 5 innings. Bet? Absolutely! :cool:;)
 
john_entony

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Atlanta Braves @ St. Louis Cardinals: overall total of runs (> 8.5) /// 1.65

Last bet won. A perfect game from Luis Severino who covered 6 innings with no runs at all! Failed Javier Assad, who got 4 runs in 4.1 innings, but that didn't stop my prediction from winning. So plus money for solid odds. My betting score: NBA 93-108 in favor of the unsuccessful, MLB 46-35 in favor of the successful, NHL 2-5 in favor of the unsuccessful, NFL+NCAAF 3-8 in favor of the unsuccessful.
New Bet: in the 1st game of the series between St. Louis Cardinals and Atlanta Braves overall total of runs will be 9 or more. In the last 15 games between these teams overall total of runs has been 9 or more in 10 of them. At St. Louis Cardinals field this bet has won 7 of the last 10 games against Atlanta Braves. Starting pitcher for St. Louis Cardinals will be again Lance Lynn (I saw his last game against Marlins where he got 6 runs in 5.1 innings). His stats this season: 15 games, covers an average 5 innings per game in which he gets an average 3.14 runs. Terrible pitcher! Even the Marlins offense destroyed him. Lance Lynn has failed this season in 9 games out of 15! The starting pitcher for Atlanta Braves in this game will be Spencer Schwellenbach. He is a rookie pitcher who has played 4 games this season, covers an average 5.42 innings per game in which he gets an average 3 runs. Well Spencer Schwellenbach has failed in 2 of the 4 games. The stats are terrible for both pitchers, with one of them no longer the level of a starting pitcher on an MLB team and the other an unstable rookie first year starter. Very delicious stats for a pretty good odds. Bet? Sure! :cool:;)
 
BillyR23

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A bet from Euro 2024 for today- I'll back Spain to continue their good run at this tournament with another win vs. Albania(IMO the difference between the 2 teams is too big and Albania is also a team Spain always won H2H...):

Albania - Spain 2@ 1.48 on unibet

GLGL all with your bets!
 
Balou1982

Balou1982

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Today UEFA EURO :

21.00CET

Croatia vs. Italy double chance x/2@1,45 and draw@3.20 if you like it a bit risky ;-) -

in my opinion 2 goals are very predictable so 1:1 is a good result if you like to bet on it.

GL fellas
 
john_entony

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Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers: Philadelphia Phillies (to win) /// 1.67

Last bet lost. Lance Lynn was too good in this game: he got only 1 run in 6.2 innings. A few more games like this from Lynn and I might take back what I said about Lance (I said he is not an MLB level pitcher). But I consider it just a fluke. Lance Lynn is pretty much over his career and this season shows that his best years are in the past. And yes, the 9th inning was the best inning of the Braves offense, but the Cardinals got lucky here too. My betting scores: NBA 93-108 in favor of unsuccessful, MLB 46-36 in favor of successful, NHL 2-5 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL+NCAAF 3-8 in favor of unsuccessful.
New Bet: Philadelphia Phillies on the road will beat Detroit Tigers in the 2nd game of the series. Phillies have a 7-game winning streak against Tigers. Also, one of the best starting pitchers in MLB, Ranger Suarez, will be starting in this game! His stats in this season are incredible: 15 games, 13 wins and 2 losses, covers an average 6.16 innings per game in which he gets 1.4 runs. Ranger Suarez in MLB is like pocket aces in poker: the odds are too high that they will win. Let's just enjoy watching Ranger Suarez play and the Philadelphia offense. Well I don't understand what the bookies are hoping for, who just give us odds of "1.67"? The odds on Philadelphia winning with Ranger Suarez should be no higher than "1.40". Especially this season. That's my opinion. Bet? Sure! :cool:;)
 
akgross

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brazil. Brazilian Championship Group D. Jacuipense - Sociedad Esportiva # handicap 1 (0) #&&&& Venezuela. Venezuela Cup. Anzoategui FC - Nueva Esparta # handicap 1 (0) #
 
john_entony

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New York Yankees @ New York Mets: New York Yankees (to win) /// 1.67

Last bet lost. Worst game this season by Ranger Suarez: 6 innings, 9 hits, 4 runs. Watched that game and didn't know what was going on. Tarik Skubal (Tigers' starting pitcher) had a perfect game: 7 innings, 3 hits, 0 runs. This is the second losing bet on MLB. This is the first time this has happened in the second season of MLB betting. But I don't see any reason to worry, as the next prediction will win. My betting scores are NBA 93-108 in favor of unsuccessful, MLB 46-37 in favor of successful, NHL 2-5 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL+NCAAF 3-8 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: New York Yankees will win New York Mets in the 2nd game of the mini-series. I recently bet on the Los Angeles derby (quite profitable), and now my prediction for the derby of the teams from New York. This is the 5th mini-series between these teams since 2022. Mets have been able to win both games only once and that was in 2022. After that, Yankees have won at least 1 game in these mini-series. Remind you that Mets won the first game in this mini-series. Interesting statistic, but it's not the basis of my prediction, it's just as an additional point. My prediction is traditionally based on starting pitchers. And yes, Sean Manaea will play for the Mets. Very solid play in May and just awful in June. But the reality is that Sean Manaea has never really been a reliable pitcher. His career average ERA is "4.11." This season it's "4.16." His stats this season: 14 games, 8 wins and 6 losses, covers an average 5.10 innings per game in which he gets an average 2.58 runs. He has played 6 games against the Yankees in his career: he covers an average 5.73 innings per game, in which he gets an average 2.84 runs. That's a pretty weak statistic. The Yankees' starting pitcher for this game will be their most reliable pitcher this season, Luis Gil. His stats this season: 15 games, 12 wins and 3 losses, covers an average 5.43 innings per game in which he gets an average 1.74 runs. Very solid! And that's despite the fact that in his latest game, he completely failed against Baltimore, where he got 7 runs in 1.1 innings! Yankees, of course, lost that game. But it's very rare in MLB when strong starting pitchers fail 2 games in a row. Before the game against Baltimore, Luis Gil had a 9 game winning streak! Luis Gil has failed 4 times this season and in each next game after failing Luis Gil's stats are as follows: 3 games, 3 wins, covers an average 5.67 innings per game in which he gets an average 0.67 runs. Therefore, I expect a solid performance from Luis Gil in the game against Mets and, accordingly, a Yankees win. Bet? Absolutely! :cool:;)
 
BillyR23

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A bet from Copa America for today:

Uruguay - Bolivia Uruguay AH(-1.25)@ 1.47 on Unibet

In Group C, Uruguay and USA seem to be clear favorites to advance to the next round and IMO Uruguay is a lot better overall than USA too... also, Bolivia lost 2-0 in the 1st round vs. USA and the score could have been way higher but the hosts of this competition were content with the win at 2 goals difference... on the other hand, Uruguay played well overall vs Panama(they had 3-0 until the last attack of the game* FT 3-1), so I expect a similar easy win vs. a similar 'weak' opponent...

GLGL all with your bets!
 
john_entony

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Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals: total of runs in first 5 innings (> 4.5) /// 2.05

Last bet lost. I'm shocked by the result, to be honest. Luis Gil has completely failed: 4.1 innings and 5 runs. It feels like last game against Baltimore was not over for him. Sean Manaea played 5 innings with no runs, only 2 hits, but 5 walks! And with that, the Yankees offense missed an opportunity to score at least 1 run on the pitching of the Mets starting pitcher. 3rd losing prediction in a row. Awful! My betting scores are NBA 93-108 in favor of unsuccessful, MLB 46-38 in favor of successful, NHL 2-5 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL+NCAAF 3-8 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: in the 1st game of the series between Cincinnati Reds and St. Louis Cardinals, there will be 5 runs or more in the first 5 innings. It's time to get back on track from past bad predictions. In 10 of the last 15 games between these teams, there have been 5 runs or more in the first 5 innings. Starting pitchers? Andrew Abbott will play for Cincinnati. Not a bad pitcher this season, but not perfect: 15 games, covers an average 5.65 innings per game, in which he gets an average 2.20 runs. But the interesting thing here is his stats in games against the Cardinals: 3 games, covers an average 5.22 innings per game, in which he gets an average 4 runs. So in other words he had 2 bad games against St. Louis and 1 solid game. The chances of him failing in the first 5 innings in this game are somewhere around 50%, given his good stats this season. For St. Louis, the starting pitcher will be veteran Miles Mikolas. Experienced pitcher, 35 years old, but he's terrible. And he should be the main sponsor of my prediction. His stats on the season: 16 games, covers an average 5.65 innings per game, in which he gets an average 2.94 runs. Weak stats. But that's not all! Miles Mikolas has played 18 games against Cincinnati in his career as a starting pitcher. And here are his stats: covers an average 5.60 innings per game, in which he gets 3.34 runs. And Miles Mikolas played his best games against Cincinnati back in 2018. That's too sweet statistic for odds of "2.05". Bet? Sure! :cool:;)
 
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