NBA
Golden State Warriors @ Portland Trail Blazers:
Portland Trail Blazers (+ 14) /// 1.85
Last bet won. Dallas destroyed a tired Miami by 19 points. The Heat's starting five showed a very weak game. But this can certainly be explained by a very difficult game against Atlanta with 2 overtimes. Too many turnovers, too weak defensive play, bad shot realization. All of this combined gave Miami no chance. Yes, Kevin Love made a lot of 3-point shots, he played very well, but it was not enough for the final team success of the Heat. Total score of my bets: NBA 74-81 in favor of unsuccessful, MLB 31-27 in favor of successful, NHL 2-3 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL+NCAAF 3-8 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: Portland at home will not lose to Golden State by more than 14 points. No, I realize, of course, that this game is much more important to Golden State and they will win this game easily, but they have a back-to-back with New Orleans in the next game! So no rout in this game, because in some ways it will be like a training game. Golden State will hold a 5-10 point lead with a huge rotation over the course of the game. The thing is that Portland is not the level of Charlotte or Washington. This is a tough underdog team with players making plays, trying to hustle and trying to win. In general, Portland for the entire regular season in home games lost by more than 14 points only 5 times from 39 games. And in the last 10 home games they lost only 2 times: to Boston and Houston (yes, the Rockets were still fighting for the top-10 in the West). But they have held a 14-point handicap against strong teams like New Orleans, Denver, Clippers (twice), New York and Oklahoma in their last 10 home games. Bet? Sure!