Best Bet (NAP) of the day: Community Tipping

Would it be interesting for you to have a separate thread for live bets only?

  • Yes, worth a shot

    Votes: 3 75.0%
  • No, one thread is enough for all sorts of bets

    Votes: 1 25.0%

  • Total voters
    4
taurusix

taurusix

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1 win 1 loss today. Valencia didn't deliver :banghead:
Good pick by georgel once again.
Staked: 3 U
Returned: 2.98 U


This game is actually on Saturday, somehow I mixed up the date.
Bet 2
Game: Sundsvall vs Dalkurd, Sweden Superettan
Selection: Sundsvall to win
Odds: 1.78
Stake: 1 U
 
taurusix

taurusix

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Day 7
Bet 1
Game: Juventus vs Lecce / Besiktas vs Konyaspor
Selection: Double Bet (Juventus to win 1H + over 2 goals in Besiktas vs Konyaspor)
Odds: 2.00
Stake: 1 U
 
taurusix

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Loss here. Quite a few chances for Juve in 1st half, but not converted and then 4 goals in 2nd half [emoji2361]

Day 7
Bet 1
Game: Juventus vs Lecce / Besiktas vs Konyaspor
Selection: Double Bet (Juventus to win 1H + over 2 goals in Besiktas vs Konyaspor)
Odds: 2.00
Stake: 1 U
 
taurusix

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Day 8
Trying my luck with another double today.

Bet 1
Games: Celta vs Barca / Fenerbahce vs Malatyaspor
Selection: Over 2 goals in Spain + Over 2.5 goals in Turkey
odds: 2.11
Stake: 1 U
 
taurusix

taurusix

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Day 8
Trying my luck with another double today.

Bet 1
Games: Celta vs Barca / Fenerbahce vs Malatyaspor
Selection: Over 2 goals in Spain + Over 2.5 goals in Turkey
Odds: 2.11
Stake: 1 U
Bet won. +1.11 U
 
terryk

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Day 7
Bet 1
Game: Juventus vs Lecce / Besiktas vs Konyaspor
Selection: Double Bet (Juventus to win 1H + over 2 goals in Besiktas vs Konyaspor)
Odds: 2.00
Stake: 1 U
Thanks for the tip! Bet :D $$$
 
ulgromkii

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Spanish Primera. Levante - Betis. My prediction Both teams will score a goal, odds 1.7.
 
ulgromkii

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Italy Serie A. Milan - Roma my prediction is that the total number of goals will be less than 3.5, the coefficient 1.5.
 
ulgromkii

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Dear CC community,
with gradual return of sports and more betting options appearing in this context, I decided to start and run this thread including Best Bets of our betting community.
By now, we have several regular tipsters like risto, akgross, georgel, ingbank, ulgromkii and others. Even though we have a big separate thread "Betting tips and predictions" where any CC member can post their picks, the objective of this thread is to focus only on the best bet for a given day selected by a tipster, track the outcome of tips, place a bet applying a certain staking plan and systemize the whole thing to the extent possible.
Therefore, all interested in betting are welcome to post their best bets (NAPs) of the day. Preferably, one bet per day with not too low odds (around 1.5 or higher)
and if you have a good feeling about a strong favorite consider taking them with AH (-1) or such. You can also provide a Double bet e.g. incl. 2 big favorites as your NAP.
You can post tips from any sports around the world and not only popular sports.

Staking plan: I will be placing bets based on your tips using a simple single bet system with different units subject to the odds.
For odds below 1.5 (-200 US format) I will use 2 units (U)
For odds from 1.5 to 2.0 (-200 to +100) I will use 1 U
For odds above 2.0 (+100) I will use 0.5 U
Starting virtual bankroll will be 100 Units; I'm using the term "virtual" because it will be tested first on paper to a certain point depending on the success of community selections. Most likely, this project will fail should we lose the full bankroll. Hopefully, it doesn't happen.
I'll be taking odds of 888 Sport. Odds will be shown in decimal format, and
if you have troubles understanding odds between fractional, US and decimal format, just use this link: https://www.aceodds.com/bet-calculator/odds-converter.html

Should this project become successful and display good results, I'm planning to switch to Yankee system betting based on at least 4 selections per day.

Activity level of this thread will certainly depend on posting activity of our regular tipsters. If there will be lack of interest from betting community, I'll be still picking selections from the main Betting thread at my own discretion (if tipsters won't mind) and post them here. From time to time I might be posting my own best bets.

Last but not least, some CC members with little betting experience receiving sometimes free bets from poker rooms could give a quick look into this thread and find a decent option.

Today seems to be a good day to start this project with plenty of European football.
Looking forward to your interest and hope to add some value to betting efforts of CC forum.
I am glad that you included me in this list, I can give predictions but I always put big odds on my own, for me the most excitement is to put on a losing tennis player with a factor of ten, and now when several such bets come in a day I become happy that Chelsea wins over Man City, I was sure of the way.
 
ulgromkii

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So what is the biggest odds you have nailed :hmmmm2:
there are days when, from five hundred rubles I get to five thousand from two bets and I withdraw money because I know that there’s no point in going further. I don’t play and get money often, but after leaving the money I leave a small cash desk and play at my pleasure I mainly take hockey and tennis for those who lose and I will tell you many who lose during the match and then win. My biggest odds are for the order that came in 32 So what is the biggest odds you have nailed, my team lost 0-2 and won 3- 2 I don’t remember exactly who played the youth teams. Somehow, I do not pursue the goal of getting rich on this is purely entertainment.
 
taurusix

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Day 9
Bet 1
Game: Udinese vs Atalanta (@19:30 CET)
Selection: Betbuilder (Atalanta to win + Over 1.5 goals)
Odds: 1.8
Stake: 1 U

Bet 2
Game: Espanyol vs Real M (@22:00 CET)
Selection: Betbuilder (Real to win + Over 1.5 goals)
Odds: 1.73
Stake: 1 U

Bet 3
Double incl. both BB above
Odds: 3.11
Stake: 0.5 U

Odds are from 888 Sport.
 
taurusix

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Spanish Primera. Levante - Betis. My prediction Both teams will score a goal, odds 1.7.

Welcome to the thread ulgromkii!
Consider this bet won. I would use 1 U stake for this one. (Bet 4)
Italy Serie A. Milan - Roma my prediction is that the total number of goals will be less than 3.5, the coefficient 1.5.
2 U for this one (Bet 5). Looks very good so far :top:
 
taurusix

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I am glad that you included me in this list, I can give predictions but I always put big odds on my own, for me the most excitement is to put on a losing tennis player with a factor of ten, and now when several such bets come in a day I become happy that Chelsea wins over Man City, I was sure of the way.
I also sometimes use similar system for tennis bets. General idea is to back a pre-match or slight favourite after losing first set or if I think that player has a potential to come back. I rarely get to odds of 10, usually in the region of 3.0-5.0.
 
taurusix

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Day 9
Bet 2
Game: Espanyol vs Real M (@22:00 CET)
Selection: Betbuilder (Real to win + Over 1.5 goals)
Odds: 1.73
Stake: 1 U
Real turned into prime Atletico in this game, scoring only 1 goal vs the last-placed team :mad::mad:
My picks: 2L-1W
P/L: -0.7 U

Both picks by ulgromkii won, making +1.7 U.

I'm planning to recap all numbers as soon as this month ends. I hope that ulgromkii will keep posting his picks and georgel returns soon with his picks so that we could have some content here. Otherwise, I don't see much value of running this thread any further :rolleyes:
 
Risto234

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Let's see what away teams in sweden can (or cant) do today ...

Häcken vs Helsingborg: Helsingborg over 1.0 goal @3.52
Varberg vs Falkenberg: Falkenberg over 1 goal @1.96
 
ulgromkii

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I also sometimes use similar system for tennis bets. General idea is to back a pre-match or slight favourite after losing first set or if I think that player has a potential to come back. I rarely get to odds of 10, usually in the region of 3.0-5.0.
Yes, this is a working scheme, for this you need to watch matches online, I often go to a sports bar where there are many broadcasts simultaneously. Then everything works when you watch matches and see everything that happens.
 
taurusix

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Welcome back Risto.
We start Day 10 with two single bets then with 0.5 and 1 U respectively. I keep the odds as shown because we lose much value (almost twice) just taking taking Over 0.5 goals for each team.
Let's see what away teams in Sweden can (or cant) do today ...

Häcken vs Helsingborg: Helsingborg over 1.0 goal @3.52
Varberg vs Falkenberg: Falkenberg over 1 goal @1.96
 
taurusix

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Going with a double again
Bet 3
Games: Odense vs Lyngby (Denmark) / Benevento vs Juve Stabia (Italy, Serie B)
Selection: Double incl. Over 2 goals in both games
Odds: 1.82
Stake: 1 U
 
georgel2384

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Getafe - Real Sociedad Real Sociedad corners Over 3.5 @ 1.66
 
taurusix

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Getafe - Real Sociedad Real Sociedad corners Over 3.5 @ 1.66
Georgel strikes again :D
1 U --> 1.66 U

Otherwise, not the best day, 1 Push 2 Losses
Overall staked for Day 10: 3.5 U
Returned: 1.66 U
P/L: -1.84 U
 
ulgromkii

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Spain. Mallorca - Celta. Both teams will score goals. coefficient 2.1
 
taurusix

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Georgel strikes again :D
1 U --> 1.66 U

Otherwise, not the best day, 1 Push 2 Losses
Overall staked for Day 10: 3.5 U
Returned: 1.66 U
P/L: -1.84 U
Slight mistake here, didn't properly count the push
Edit
Returned: 2.66 U
P/L: -0.84 U
 
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