Best Bet (NAP) of the day: Community Tipping

Would it be interesting for you to have a separate thread for live bets only?

  • Yes, worth a shot

    Votes: 3 75.0%
  • No, one thread is enough for all sorts of bets

    Votes: 1 25.0%

  • Total voters
    4
taurusix

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Dear CC community,
with gradual return of sports and more betting options appearing in this context, I decided to start and run this thread including Best Bets of our betting community.
By now, we have several regular tipsters like risto, akgross, georgel, ingbank, ulgromkii and others. Even though we have a big separate thread "Betting tips and predictions" where any CC member can post their picks, the objective of this thread is to focus only on the best bet for a given day selected by a tipster, track the outcome of tips, place a bet applying a certain staking plan and systemize the whole thing to the extent possible.
Therefore, all interested in betting are welcome to post their best bets (NAPs) of the day. Preferably, one bet per day with not too low odds (around 1.5 or higher)
and if you have a good feeling about a strong favorite consider taking them with AH (-1) or such. You can also provide a Double bet e.g. incl. 2 big favorites as your NAP.
You can post tips from any sports around the world and not only popular sports.

Staking plan: I will be placing bets based on your tips using a simple single bet system with different units subject to the odds.
For odds below 1.5 (-200 US format) I will use 2 units (U)
For odds from 1.5 to 2.0 (-200 to +100) I will use 1 U
For odds above 2.0 (+100) I will use 0.5 U
Starting virtual bankroll will be 100 Units; I'm using the term "virtual" because it will be tested first on paper to a certain point depending on the success of community selections. Most likely, this project will fail should we lose the full bankroll. Hopefully, it doesn't happen.
I'll be taking odds of 888 Sport. Odds will be shown in decimal format, and
if you have troubles understanding odds between fractional, US and decimal format, just use this link: https://www.aceodds.com/bet-calculator/odds-converter.html

Should this project become successful and display good results, I'm planning to switch to Yankee system betting based on at least 4 selections per day.

Activity level of this thread will certainly depend on posting activity of our regular tipsters. If there will be lack of interest from betting community, I'll be still picking selections from the main Betting thread at my own discretion (if tipsters won't mind) and post them here. From time to time I might be posting my own best bets.

Last but not least, some CC members with little betting experience receiving sometimes free bets from poker rooms could give a quick look into this thread and find a decent option.

Today seems to be a good day to start this project with plenty of European football.
Looking forward to your interest and hope to add some value to betting efforts of CC forum.
 
georgel2384

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Good Luck! What's your selection for today?
 
taurusix

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Actually, I was expecting tipping members to post their bets here first [emoji4]
If there will be none, then I'll pick couple of bets from the main betting thread.
Good Luck! What's your selection for today?
 
Risto234

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Not sure whether i do this correctly but had one sunday's game from sweden in sight ...

So sunday in Allsvenskan

Hammarby vs AIK

AIK over 1.0 goals @2.32
AIK over 4 corners @2.50


E: i would consider 1 match today aswell if Atletico -1 AH at home vs Valladolid havent dropped enough (last time i checked their win was around 1.40 so AH was higher than that ...)
 
georgel2384

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Atlético Madrid - Valladolid Valladolid to score NO@ 1.6

 
taurusix

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Thanks to the selections kindly provided by Risto and Georgel, let's get the project started.

Day 1.
Bet 1 (by Risto234)
Game: Atletico Madrid vs. Valladolid (starts @ 22:00 CET), Spanish La Liga
Selection: Atletico M (AH -1)
Odds: 1.67 @ 888 Sport
Stake: 1 Unit

Bet 2 (by georgel2384)
The same game
Selection: Valladolid not to score, the same as Valladolid Under 0.5 goals
Odds: 1.60 @ 888 Sport
Stake: 1 Unit

May the luck be with us and Atletico.
 
georgel2384

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Thanks to the selections kindly provided by Risto and Georgel, let's get the project started.

Day 1.
Bet 1 (by Risto234)
Game: Atletico Madrid vs. Valladolid (starts @ 22:00 CET), Spanish La Liga
Selection: Atletico M (AH -1)
Odds: 1.67 @ 888 Sport
Stake: 1 Unit

Bet 2 (by georgel2384)
The same game
Selection: Valladolid not to score, the same as Valladolid Under 0.5 goals
Odds: 1.60 @ 888 Sport
Stake: 1 Unit

May the luck be with us and Atletico.

Good Luck!
 
taurusix

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After two bets, 1 Push (money back) and 1 Win. Well done guys.
Starting bank: 100 U
Current bank: 100.6 U

I like the chances of two fighters in the late night UFC action starting soon.
Going to risk 1 U on a double with Roosevelt and Blaydes winning their fights.
Bet 3.
Event: UFC Fight Night Vegas 3 on ESPN
Selection: Double Roosevelt/Blaydes to win
Start Time: around 02:00-02:30 am CET
Odds: 1.75 @ 888 Sport
Stake: 1 U
 
georgel2384

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Newcastle-Sheffield Utd Both teams to score NO@1.64
 
taurusix

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Day 1 recap: We go 1-1-1, unfortunately my bet lost. Roberts had good potential to win pre-fight, but was caught early in an armbar. We move on.
Current bank: 99.6

Day 2.
Bet 1 (by georgel2384)
Game: Newcastle Utd vs. Sheffield Utd (starts at 15:00 CET)
Selection: Newcastle-Sheffield Utd Both teams to score NO
Odds: 1.62 @ 888 Sport
Stake: 1 Unit
 
taurusix

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Bet 2 (by Risto234)
Game: Hammarby vs AIK (starts @ 17:30 CET), Swedish Allsvenskan
Selection: AIK over 1.0 goals
Odds: 2.32
Stake: 0.5 Unit

Bet 3 (by Risto234)
The same game
Selection: AIK over 4 corners
Odds: 2.50
Stake: 0.5 Unit



I didn't find Asian lines for this particular bets on 888 sport and took the odds given by Risto.
 
Risto234

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I didn't find Asian lines for this particular bets on 888 sport


Well as much i know then apart from some of our local bookies only 2 international ones (1xbet/marathonbet) are offering such odds like "Team X over 1.0 goals, Team X over x.0 corners" ...

E: if you (only) use 888 then you'd have taken AIK over 0.5 goals and over 3.5 corners instead to cover it ?!?
 
taurusix

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Well as much i know then apart from some of our local bookies only 2 international ones (1xbet/marathonbet) are offering such odds like "Team X over 1.0 goals, Team X over x.0 corners" ...

E: if you (only) use 888 then you'd have taken AIK over 0.5 goals and over 3.5 corners instead to cover it ?!?


Yes, that makes sense. I'll leave as it is for this one, and adjust similar bets in future. Thanks for pointing out such nuances
 
taurusix

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Adding one more bet, where away team has decent chance to cover handicap.

Bet 4
Game: Aston Villa vs. Chelsea (starts @17:15 CET), England PL
Selection: Chelsea (AH -1)
Odds: 1.72 @ 888 Sport
Stake: 1 U
 
georgel2384

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Day 1 recap: We go 1-1-1, unfortunately my bet lost. Roberts had good potential to win pre-fight, but was caught early in an armbar. We move on.
Current bank: 99.6

Day 2.
Bet 1 (by georgel2384)
Game: Newcastle Utd vs. Sheffield Utd (starts at 15:00 CET)
Selection: Newcastle-Sheffield Utd Both teams to score NO
Odds: 1.62 @ 888 Sport
Stake: 1 Unit

After today 6-0 with Celta Vigo, i have some emotion at Newcastle :D.
 
Risto234

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Bet 2
Game: Hammarby vs AIK (starts @ 17:30 CET), Swedish Allsvenskan
Selection: AIK over 1.0 goals
Odds: 2.32
Stake: 0.5 Unit

Bet 3
The same game
Selection: AIK over 4 corners
Odds: 2.50
Stake: 0.5 Unit


Looks like AIK scored twice in 2nd half. Sadly they settled with 3 corners though ...
 
taurusix

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Short recap. We are going forward with decent results for Day 4 - 2W, 1P and 1L
3 Units staked
3.78 Units returned
Current bank: 100.38

Georgel goes with 2-0 so far and other selections were slightly unlucky with 1 goal or corner short. Way to go with your research guys :icon_thum
There are still games coming up later tonight, so feel free to post them if you find good ones.
 
Risto234

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Let's see what today's games in Spain, Italy, England offer ... I'd imagine any result apart from 4 losing bets should be fine ...

Man City - Burnley: over 3.0 cards @1.85
Bologna vs Juve: Juve -1 AH @2.09
Leganes vs Granada: over 2 goals @2.20 & over 7.5 corners @1.41

First 3 odds from Bet365, last one from unibet.
 
taurusix

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Let's see what today's games in Spain, Italy, England offer ... I'd imagine any result apart from 4 losing bets should be fine ...

Man City - Burnley: over 3.0 cards @1.85
Bologna vs Juve: Juve -1 AH @2.09
Leganes vs Granada: over 2 goals @2.20 & over 7.5 corners @1.41

First 3 odds from Bet365, last one from Unibet.
Here we go with 4 selections provided by Risto.
Day 3.

Bet 1
Game: Manchester City vs. Burnley (starts @ 21:00 CET)
Selection: over 2.5 cards (since 888 doesn't offer Asians on cards)
Odds: 1.46
Stake: 2 U

Bet 2
Game: Bologna vs Juventus (starts @ 21:45 CET)
Selection: Juve -1 AH
Odds: 2.12
Stake: 0.5 U

Bet 3
Game: Leganes vs Granada (starts @ 22:00 CET)
Selection: over 2 goals
Odds: 2.23
Stake: 0.5 U

Bet 4
The same game as in Bet 3
Selection: over 7.5 corners
Odds: 1.41
Stake: 2 U

Bet 5
I would also risk a small Bet Builder for Leganes vs, Granada using the bets above
BB: over 1.5 goals + over 7.5 corners
Odds: 2.32
Stake: 0.5 U

All odds are from 888 Sport. Total units staked 5.5 Units.

Thank you Risto and good luck!
 
georgel2384

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Villarreal - Sevilla X2 @ 1.52
 
georgel2384

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Bet 6
Game: Villareal vs Sevilla (starts @19:30 CET)
Selection: Sevilla X2 (double chance)
Odds: 1.52 @ 888 Sport
Stake: 2 U

GL

What a crazy game. I was lucky because at 2-2 i wanna cash-out, but I stay till the end. I have some emotion I have to admit :D.
 
taurusix

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What a crazy game. I was lucky because at 2-2 i wanna cash-out, but I stay till the end. I have some emotion I have to admit :D.
Well done once again, mate. Perfect record so far :cool:
I was about to take Sevilla to score in 2nd half in-play, but they scored :D
 
taurusix

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Day 3 Recap: 2 W - 4 L
Staked: 7.5
Returned: 4.1
P/L for Day 3: -3.4
Current bank: 96.98

Overall record on picks so far: 5 - 6 - 2 (45% hit rate)
 
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