I agree. The problem for me is that unlike other investment vehicles there are no underlying data to determine the likelihood of movement in price. If you buy stock in a company, that company issues quarterlies on the status of the company, and you know whether the company's fundamentals are solid or not. They issue guidance as to what the company expects going forward. With traditional currencies, you have the country's economy, monetary policy, etc. that drive the price of the currency. You have data to determine whether the stock price or currency should move up or down. It's not perfect, and it's still speculative, but you have information. I don't see that with cryptocurrencies. All I see is sheer speculation, or people"feel" that's it's going to move one way or another. I understand technical indicators ("head and shoulders," "double tops," etc.) in studying price movement, but there is nothing underlying that to know anything.