Odds of Straight Flush Versus Straight Flush?

playinggameswithu

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The odds are 1 to 1.4 Million. Bad beat jackpot Baby.
 
proud2Bwhack

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Not as rare as 4 of a kind vs a straight flush since you are sharing board cards with the two straight flushes? does anyone know? There was a hand at the wsop main event that was 4 aces vs a straight flush, it's on Youtube. what a way to get knocked out!
 
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playinggameswithu

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Thanks for the link, but that table appears to show the probability of a full house losing to a straight flush?


I did some Googling and tried some calculating. But I didn't find the answer, and I'm not good enough at math to figure this out.
You need to scroll down more.
 
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AlexTheOwl

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I did scroll down all the way, but I think I misread the table.

Now I'm confused as to how you converted the decimal odds to a ratio where "1" is the first term.


I think the formula should be something like this:


1/.25 = 4, which means that a .25 chance is a one in four chance.


The table presents the odds of any straight flush suffering a bad beat as 0.0000012.


1/0.0000012 is 833,333. So shouldn't in be a one in 833,333 chance?
 
Filip Krstevski

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Happend to me once, and because of my lucky charm i was the top straight flush. He raised to all-in and i was like "What's going on, is this real". From my 8year poker experience that happend only once to me. So i guess its 1 in a million :)
 
Nikka18

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Hmm that's one in a billion. Lol. I got a straight flush once in my lifetime since I started playing poker. And it's very rare that two players in a table gets a straight flush. It's shocking that it actually happen.
 
playinggameswithu

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I did scroll down all the way, but I think I misread the table.

Now I'm confused as to how you converted the decimal odds to a ratio where "1" is the first term.


I think the formula should be something like this:


1/.25 = 4, which means that a .25 chance is a one in four chance.


The table presents the odds of any straight flush suffering a bad beat as 0.0000012.


1/0.0000012 is 833,333. So shouldn't in be a one in 833,333 chance?

Yea I just added some more for good measure. Although OP did not say if both hole cards need to be used. I am guessing they do not. The odds are 1 to 833,333 not 1.1.4m. If they do then odds are probably closer to 1. 1.4 m. Either way the chance of this happen is very rare.
 
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Tajek

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For all time of the game to me the straight flush came out only 3 times. All these 3 times were nuts. In order to win one straight flush from another straight flush - the probability of such a situation is about 1/10 000 000. Such an event is very unlikely.
An example of such unlikely events - What is the probability that 2 opponents have gone all-in with pocket AA and one had the flush on the board? :D:D:D

Although rare, the odds of AA beating AA are not in the same ballpark as straight flush over straight flush. AA v AA occasionally happens and both players will almost always be all-in pre-flop, ensuring the necessary runout. By contrast, one reason straight flush over straight flush is so rare is because the low end cards are not always played, and the river is often not reached. But, all it takes after AA and AA are dealt is for any four suits to fall on the board. It happened in a famous hand between Connor Drinan and Cary Katz during the 2014 $1,000,000 WSOP Big One for One Drop. Enjoy the watch.

According to my research/math: The odds of two players getting the same pocket pair are 1 in 294. Since there are 13 ranks, the odds of two players specifically getting ACES in the same hand are 294 x 13 = 1 : 3,822. Four cards to a flush or a flush on the board happens around 5% of the time, and will almost always win for the player holding the correct Ace. So, Aces will crack Aces roughly once every 76,440 hands (20 x 3,822). Making it very rare, but at least an order of magnitude less rare than straight flush over straight flush.
 
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Andyreas

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Happened once so far to me.

Board had 9cTcJcQc and I had the 8c and somehow got the feeling the other guy has the Kc.

I bet big but managed to not get broke here. 🤣

Shows that I usually play a little too cautious, I guess. 🙈
 
Mazembe

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How often happens to you, that you lose with straightflush from bottom over straightflush from the top?
Never seen this before, it's rare, only if there is a 4 liner to a straight flush then it's highly possible
 
Mazembe

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Happened once so far to me.

Board had 9cTcJcQc and I had the 8c and somehow got the feeling the other guy has the Kc.

I bet big but managed to not get broke here. 🤣

Shows that I usually play a little too cautious, I guess. 🙈
Great 😂
 
dreamer13

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If you already have a ready straight flush, try to maximize your bets. But do not forget to take into account the possible strengths of your opponents' combinations.The poker God will decide who is older.
 
Poker Orifice

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If you already have a ready straight flush, try to maximize your bets. But do not forget to take into account the possible strengths of your opponents' combinations.The poker God will decide who is older.
huh?
 
Mr.$t0k

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it has never happened to me and I think the chance that it will ever happen is very small
 
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