Dusty, how is it possible when every time i go into a hand (usually PLO HU 2.4 or 5.10) dominating the other player that I lose 4 out of 5 of them, when my odds to win at 80% +??
If you flip a coin the chances are that it will be heads 50% of the time and tails the other 50% of the time. But you could still technically flip a coin 100 times and it can land on tails 100 times. 80% favorite is just a percentage, a
chance to win. When you look at your %'s as a whole, the math involved behind it falls under (
read very carefully) "Probability and Statistics". Nothing is guaranteed.
If you have
on the button the flop comes
.
Your opponent in the BB raises, you re-raise, he shoves, of course you're going to call. When you see that you are up against
(two pair), you are still a favorite to win,
At first you need to dodge 2 remaining queens and 2 remaining jacks
If the turn comes as the
, you need to dodge 9 cards that will complete your opponents flush + the 2 Queen's and 2 Jack's.
On the turn, all your
equity from going all in on the flop has gone from a 60/40 to a small small marginal gain (i believe) nearly a coin flip for the river, your hand cannot improve at this point but your opponent's hand can.
At the end of the turn I think you are around a 53/47 favorite, which isn't a huge edge.
All you can do is say "I got it in with the best, variance will sort itself out later."