Pocket kings into aces

sanekhorror

sanekhorror

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In the afternoon, I was often thrown such a KK setup in AA because of this, I did not reach the first place, although there were huge chances to win, I was so angry why when you play everything well, and then you have a bang and a setup, now I think I need to force myself to throw off the KK.
 
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CalvinDay

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This situation is rather rare, but often my kings flop a set

i ran into AA while i had KK in a little tournament and caught a K on river sometime later the exact same thing happened and i won the tournament... good luck that night
 
Matt_Burns88

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The chances vary depending on how many people are dealt into the hand:

One opponent - the odds are 0.49%
Nine opponents - the odds are 4.3%

Here's the working out to prove it:
There are 50 unknown cards left (you hold 2 kings), and your opponent needs both aces.
  • Number of combinations of 2 specific cards (like AA) in 50 cards:
1744642951682
So:
~0.49% chance a single opponent has AA when you have KK (in heads-up play)

Now let’s check the probability that at least one of multiple opponents has AA. This is where things get spicy.

We use the complement rule:
  • First calculate the probability that no one has AA
  • Then subtract from 1
For example, with 6 opponents:
  • Probability one opponent doesn’t have AA = 1 - 0.0049 = 0.9951
  • Probability none of the 6 opponents have AA = 0.9951^6 = 0.9709
  • So the chance at least one opponent has AA: = 1−0.9709=0.0291 or 2.91%
 
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Iryna Stryzheuskaya

Iryna Stryzheuskaya

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This happens from time to time. This is part of the poker and there is no need to worry about it.
 
NSX_Amfe2nat

NSX_Amfe2nat

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Never fold KK, just a bad luck if opp has AA
 
alucaa

alucaa

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It's not normal, at least if we talk about the chances of that happening, those three times you had very bad luck or they were very good
 
Pavelmiyah

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Kinngs is the best for me. Every time i win with ace's.
 
amonlima

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This is a rare event to happen, you can be sure that it will take a while for you to repeat it...
 
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bsdbrulll

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Yes, running pocket kings (KK) into pocket aces (AA) can feel surprisingly common, especially when it happens multiple times in a short stretch — but statistically, it’s quite rare.

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