
kraemer
Visionary
Silver Level
Since yesterday someone wondered how i could try to defend my BB with 6 3 suited i will share my thoughts about this play here, so everyone can call me a donkey in the comments...
It was on the final table of the CC PS freeroll. I am in the BB with 63s. Everyone folded with blinds being 1K/2K and 200 Ante. The SB plays a min raise to 4K. I have 15BB stack left...
I only need to pay 2K ( 1 BB ) to see a flop. The pot contains 9.6K. I only need slightly better than 20% odds of winning for this to be a break even play... And with a hand like this you usually have great implied odds against an opponent who raised from the small blind. Most of the times he will play a c-bet on all the flops that are really great for you and you will win even more chips when you do make a hand with these cards.
So what are my odds? If I am up against 2 connected Overcards like AKo, QKo or so then i have 38 - 40% chances of winning. I am in bad shape against pocket pairs 77+ where i get 18%... But even that is close to the odds i need given the pot odds i am offered. Over the possible range of a min raise from the small blind in the late stage of a tournament i am getting far better odds than are required to call.... and does still not include the odds of winning with a bluff c-bet....
And i also think that you should use any opportunity to see a flop on a final table if it only costs you 1 BB.... Maybe not with 72o, but with litterally any hand with options to be playable after the flop... Most of the play at the FT will be shoves/large pre-flop raises and most of the times 1 or more players go all-in during a hand. It is very valuable in my opinion if you get a chance to see a flop for the lowest price possible. There are a lot of hands that give you the required odds to take a chance in those spots.
Now feell free to destroy me in the comments....
It was on the final table of the CC PS freeroll. I am in the BB with 63s. Everyone folded with blinds being 1K/2K and 200 Ante. The SB plays a min raise to 4K. I have 15BB stack left...
I only need to pay 2K ( 1 BB ) to see a flop. The pot contains 9.6K. I only need slightly better than 20% odds of winning for this to be a break even play... And with a hand like this you usually have great implied odds against an opponent who raised from the small blind. Most of the times he will play a c-bet on all the flops that are really great for you and you will win even more chips when you do make a hand with these cards.
So what are my odds? If I am up against 2 connected Overcards like AKo, QKo or so then i have 38 - 40% chances of winning. I am in bad shape against pocket pairs 77+ where i get 18%... But even that is close to the odds i need given the pot odds i am offered. Over the possible range of a min raise from the small blind in the late stage of a tournament i am getting far better odds than are required to call.... and does still not include the odds of winning with a bluff c-bet....
And i also think that you should use any opportunity to see a flop on a final table if it only costs you 1 BB.... Maybe not with 72o, but with litterally any hand with options to be playable after the flop... Most of the play at the FT will be shoves/large pre-flop raises and most of the times 1 or more players go all-in during a hand. It is very valuable in my opinion if you get a chance to see a flop for the lowest price possible. There are a lot of hands that give you the required odds to take a chance in those spots.
Now feell free to destroy me in the comments....
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