$4.4 NL HE MTT: Small flush getting raised on the river

F

fundiver199

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Game is a $4.4 MTT on ACR Poker, and the opponent is an unknown. Could you get away from a small flush, when the opponent raise the river?

Winning Poker, Hold'em No Limit - 2,250/4,500 (550 ante) - 7 players
Hand delivered by CardsChat - https://www.cardschat.com/hand-converter.php

UTG: 144,700 (32 bb)
MP: 133,950 (30 bb)
MP+1: 72,550 (16 bb)
CO: 44,690 (10 bb)
BU: 127,770 (28 bb)
SB (Hero): 330,776 (74 bb)
BB: 258,234 (57 bb)

Pre-Flop: (10,600) Hero is SB with 7♣ 9♣
4 players fold, BTN calls 4,500, Hero calls 2,250, BB raises to 15,750, BTN calls 11,250, Hero calls 11,250

Flop: (51,100) 5♣ 2♣ J♠ (3 players)
Hero checks, BB checks, BTN checks

Turn: (51,100) 8♦ (3 players)
Hero bets 30,660, BB calls 30,660, BU folds

River: (112,420) 3♣ (2 players)
Hero bets 67,452, BB raises to 211,274 (all-in), Hero?
 
S

Station_Master

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I'm not folding here.

He is betting like 60% pot so we only need to be good 28% of the time or so. I would expect most flush draws to bet off on the flop, we have two relevant blockers and I would expect villain to have lots of AcX hands (that bluff). Yes you will run into a better flush alot but you will win often enough to make it a profitable call.
 
Dejange

Dejange

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Even being a CL, I would hardly call the PF raise with such hand. Once we get involved into that particular hand - yes, no way to fold on the River ...
 
John A

John A

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Raise PF, as played, strange raise if he has anything other than club flush, because your limp / call range hits this board pretty well. By strange, I mean if he's bluffing with 9T or something, it's a pretty bad bluff considering the action, your range, and the price he's giving you.

He calls w/ someone left to act on the turn, which indicates he likely has a draw. Then he shoves when the 3rd flush card hits giving you amazing odds to call. He either has a bad bluff, or a better flush. Really odd he wouldn't bet that flop w/ a flush draw though considering the texture. It's $4 MTT so who knows what these people are thinking, so a call is pretty std I think.
 
makisaa

makisaa

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Yes, you call here, you got the flush and the opponent is trying to surprise you with the three of a kind that he got from the flop. But you surprised him more!
 
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