The Lightning have struggled on the power play as the season wore on. I think Montreal is probably the favourite in this series against Tampa. They are both fairly even across the board except in net. Montreal has a pretty good edge there, though Bishop has proven to be no slouch either.
But, I think you also factor in that Tampa just finished a tougher than expected 7 game series against Detroit, you have to feel that the Habs should win this series, probably in 6 games.
The only way Tampa wins this series is if Stamkos scores like he is capable of. He had no goals in the first round against Detroit.
I picked the Rangers for the
pokerstars hockey promotion though, so that's where my rooting interest lies. That said, this should be a very close series.