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[QUOTE="OzExorcist, post: 3275599, member: 23910"]
I think the Alvarez price might be a reflection of his inconsistency since coming to the UFC - the RDA win was a thing of beauty, but before that he had ugly split decision wins over Pettis and Melendez (both of whom have since shown that they're falling off the cliff pretty rapidly) and a loss to Cerrone.

Also you wouldn't think it given that Alvarez, not Conor, is the natural lightweight, but he actually gives up both the height and reach advantages to McGregor.

I'd have thought the true odds on this fight were closer to pick 'em or with Conor as the slight favourite.

As for BJ Penn, I'm gonna need to see him in action before I believe he's anything less than a warm body in a squash match at this stage - even training with Jackson Wink.  We're talking about a guy who hasn't actually won a fight since 2010... and that was a fight with ready-to-retire Matt Hughes.  Plus he's fighting at featherweight again, a weight he struggled badly to reach (and looked awful at) back in 2014 when IV rehydration was still legal.
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