40-1 julius thomas first TD

dresturn2

dresturn2

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I just submitted this bet for $10 and I am wondering if he is hurt or limited cause I dont understand the 40-1
 
OzExorcist

OzExorcist

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Hindsight is a wonderful thing, but I'm guessing the Seattle defense probably had a lot to do with that price. Combined with the fact that he was just one of the many targets Manning had available to him (could just as easily have been Welker, Decker, Julius Thomas or someone else).

Even so, that seems crazy high. He was only paying $9.00 on my sportsbook (Lynch was favourite at $7.00). Welker and Julius Thomas were paying $8.50, Decker was $9.00 as well.
 
Divebitch

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I started looking to for bets at Bovada around the same time you posted this. And it was Julius and one other Broncos receiver at 40-1, forget who. But all 4 recievers looked too good to be true. Almost bet on all of them. Got distracted and by 6 PM EST, 2 Broncos receivers were now 28-1, the other 2 were 20-1. I was like how does that happen?!?!?!?! Do these lucky SOBs locked in 40-1 just a couple hours ago? So I didn't do that particular bet, even though the odds still looked decent, I was pissed. lol

But looking back, it was easy to see that Lynch being a very viable 3 or 4 or 5 to 1, raised the odds of the plethora of ways the Broncos could score. Also looking back, although I'll never fully get that 40-1, it never occurred to me that the Seahawks threats to score were not just Lynch and and the rest of their offense, which IMO was doubled with Harvin, but their defense scoring first.

I wound up winning both my prop bets, and I almost always bet $10 each, but only bet $5 each. Of course that's a guaranteed win, right? lol First bet was the under on Lynch kept to 92 rush yds, 2nd was Wilson passing for under 210 (he got 206 - whew).
 
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