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From Chamath Palihapitiya:
"Curious about AI’s impact on society? Look at online poker as an interesting, early window into the future. Why? Online poker is a multi billion dollar economy and will be worth exactly $0 over the next few years. The fall of this economy will be a harbinger of what’s possible as generalized AI advances are applied to the “low hanging fruit” markets. Agents are becoming smart enough - reasoning, memory, chain of thought - that poker playing agents will run over the human population in legal poker sites and will make money for their creators. But won’t these bots be stopped? These aren’t bots. They are agents - and will know how to lose certain hands, creating an illusion of normalcy. They will learn to “shear the sheep” vs “skin the sheep”. You can expect that online poker leaderboards will flip to names you’ve never heard of and those names won’t be real people but groups of programmers making money. I suspect that most people stop playing online for money pretty quickly and the economic value of this market implodes."
"Curious about AI’s impact on society? Look at online poker as an interesting, early window into the future. Why? Online poker is a multi billion dollar economy and will be worth exactly $0 over the next few years. The fall of this economy will be a harbinger of what’s possible as generalized AI advances are applied to the “low hanging fruit” markets. Agents are becoming smart enough - reasoning, memory, chain of thought - that poker playing agents will run over the human population in legal poker sites and will make money for their creators. But won’t these bots be stopped? These aren’t bots. They are agents - and will know how to lose certain hands, creating an illusion of normalcy. They will learn to “shear the sheep” vs “skin the sheep”. You can expect that online poker leaderboards will flip to names you’ve never heard of and those names won’t be real people but groups of programmers making money. I suspect that most people stop playing online for money pretty quickly and the economic value of this market implodes."
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