Straight Flush over Quads what are the odds?

[PokerSki]

Straight Flush over Quads what are the odds?

Here is the hand replay
https://play.americascardroom.eu/on...37a746aaf831ebee0e8510b07ce7be4a77d16df199da9

 

[mervin88]

classic bad beat jackpot

 

[cowboybebop]

Woah thats crazy.I have seen that situation maybe twice or thrice in my whole poker career.Pretty unlucky,but you gotta keep moving along.

 

[BelFish]

It is very difficult to accurately calculate this probability. The main difficulty lies in the fact that many of the hands from which these combinations could form will be folded on different streets. It is necessary to take into account all the options for choosing 2 players from all - this significantly increases the likelihood of seeing such a confrontation at the table. But you can calculate it very roughly by simply multiplying the frequency of the straight flushes by the frequency of the quads, taking them from the tables for Hold'em.

For 6-max:
P = p(s.f.)*p(qds)*C(2, 6)
C(2, 6)=(6/2)*(5/1)=15

For FR:
P = p(s.f.)*p(qds)*C(2, 9)
C(2, 9)=36

 

[micalupagoo]

Very slim but…
I had the jacks

 

[PokerSki]

In a Casino, I think it would have been a Jackpot if it was a cash game. This was a tournament so even in a casino, I do not think it would have been a jackpot.

 

[Roger1960]

I was ahead with a str flush twice and beat on the river. Higher str flush, ouch. Weird things happen...lol