Set over set over set, what are the odds?

[JulieK]

I lost today when three people completed sets on the flop. In a 9-seat game, what are the odds that three people will flop different sets?

 

[PattyR]

i dunno...but it happened to me too.

i had 88...other players had 99 and JJ......flop was 8 9 J....luckily i got out the way

 

[JulieK]

I figure the odds have to be very high, and I could take some solace from being witness to such a rare event. I wish one of the odds gurus here would calculate it.

 

[Snowmobiler]

I have played alot of poker and have never seen it,extremely rare



Snow

 

[AtiFCOD]

I havent seen it so far. It was very good for the biggest set owner, I guess he won all the chips of the other 2 players. This is poker.

 

[jamesdenson]

i have never seen it but was it on ultimate bet

 

[Chronical23]

that is very very rare. and if you lose in that situation thats just bad luck try not to go on tilt because of it.

 

[jamesdenson]

that would have to be rarer than a royal flush and the odds on that are about 31.000 to 1 i think

 

[PattyR]

well i know the odds of flopping a set is 1/8.....and i believe the odds of 2 players flopping a set is like 1/100.....so i cant really imagine the odds of 3 people hitting

 

[crow27]

I've seen it twice in 3 yrs. Victim once and spectator the other time. still weird though

 

[smerald]

depends what site it was on..

if FTP, then very high lol

 

[TPC]

I've seen it one, I had JJ vs 44 vs 77. Flop came J47, I was SB check guy in MP goes all in, button calls. I had the button covered and was like WTF, we all can't have sets. So I push all in, button calls and sure enough we all had sets. Only time I've ever seen it.

The odds of floping a set are not 1/8 it's 1/17 I believe.

 

[cardplayer52]

ok my math could be off but i think i'm right. if you start w/3 different pairs preflop. the odds of all 3 hitting a set on the flop would be 2/46 x 2/45 x 2/44 = .0000878 too express that as odds you multiply by 100 then divide 100 by the result. which works out to be 11,390 to 1. but i looked at a chart of 1000 hands dealt to 10 players and it said 3+ pair were dealt 1.49%(this was 10handed but it also didnt say diferent pairs) of the time. using that number i figure it to be 764,430 to 1.

 

[JulieK]

i have never seen it but was it on ultimate bet

It was on bodog.

 

[PattyR]

I've seen it one, I had JJ vs 44 vs 77. Flop came J47, I was SB check guy in MP goes all in, button calls. I had the button covered and was like WTF, we all can't have sets. So I push all in, button calls and sure enough we all had sets. Only time I've ever seen it.

The odds of floping a set are not 1/8 it's 1/17 I believe.

odds of flopping a set are 1/8 i thought....or maybe thats the odds of hitting a set on either flop turn or river...i dunno...i was reading phil gordons little green book and it says it in there...ill look it up again and let you know for sure

 

[cardplayer52]

odds of flopping a set are 1/8 i thought....or maybe thats the odds of hitting a set on either flop turn or river...i dunno...i was reading phil gordons little green book and it says it in there...ill look it up again and let you know for sure

the odds of being dealt a pocket pair is 16 to 1 or 1/17. the odds of floping a set if you hold a pocket pair is 7.5 to 1 or 1/8.5.

 

[p215j]

This sort of happen to me live @ Ceasars Atlantic City cash game $2-5.

I lost $375. with AA on 7 high board by set of 7s. Very next hand I raised pf with 10s got 2 callers, flop comes 256 rainbow, make continuation bet 1st player cold calls, 2nd raises, i flat, 1st moves all-in, 2nd moves all-in as well, i think for 3 mins then call.

1st 55, 2nd 66 turn call another 10. I take down a huge set, over set, over set pot.

Crazy game.

 

[RISKY 101]

dont know the odds but it sure is rare ive only seen it once and ive played maybe half a million hands

 

[Infamous1020]

i had this happen at stars.

I had 88, other guy had 77 other guy had 66.

Flop comes KA6 turn 7 river 8. it was sickkk

 

[Emperor IX]

odds of a set on the flop are 7.5:1

Probability of a royal flush is 1 in 649,740

someoen else can do set/set/set, I just wanted to set those straight because I saw some weird numbers in this thread

 

[teabagger357]

over set

Just wait till you get over quads, I lost almost $800 I had pocket 10's and the flop came 10 10 K so we got in raising match the turn was another K raise match the pot was know about 1400 I thought for sure I had it the rive was like a 6 so I went all in and he rolled over pocket kings I was stunned , That was most of my bankroll.

 

[ScorpionMK]

Just wait till you get over quads, I lost almost $800 I had pocket 10's and the flop came 10 10 K so we got in raising match the turn was another K raise match the pot was know about 1400 I thought for sure I had it the rive was like a 6 so I went all in and he rolled over pocket kings I was stunned , That was most of my bankroll.

You know in Hard Rock casino ... you would be celebrating because you would get something like !$200 000 -$300 000 bad beat jackpot. Last time i was there it was like 500k .If your Quads or better get beat you get half of the jackpot and the rest of the table gets to split the other half. You have to have a pair in your hand and i believe Quads have to be higher than 4's or 5's ..something like that. I thought it was pretty cool!

 

[TPC]

You know in Hard Rock casino ... you would be celebrating because you would get something like !$200 000 -$300 000 bad beat jackpot. Last time i was there it was like 500k .If your Quads or better get beat you get half of the jackpot and the rest of the table gets to split the other half. You have to have a pair in your hand and i believe Quads have to be higher than 4's or 5's ..something like that. I thought it was pretty cool!

Lots of places have Bad beat Jackpots. what's that have to do with set over set?

 

[nevadanick]

If it's a possible combination, then it certainly 'can' and 'does' happen. In this case, certainly one of the more rare happenings.

Can't recall ever seeing one, and don't think I would care to. What are the odds that 'I' would have the bottom set. HMmmm ... that wouldn't be so bad I guess if I could hit my quads on the river.

One step further, what are the odds that 2 of the sets could be quads by showdown, and which sets would they be? Bottom? Middle? Top? ...

 

[josh_dei8]

I am sure it is rare on most sites, unles you play of FT, it probably happens daily.