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[QUOTE="Figaroo2, post: 3785853, member: 103914"] Well there are many factors to take into account when deciding whether to bluff or not. It is statistically proven in the mathematics of poker book that if you are going to bluff that you should do it with your very weakest hands, those which have absolutely no chance of winning at showdown. This hand falls towards that category but it is equally important to consider your opponent in the hand. Is he a calling station? Does he fold to pressure without a very strong hand? Is he a decent player who recognises that call call then a big lead bet when the draws miss is often a bluff? Or is he a weak player just looking at his own cards? This is why you need to pay attention to what other players are doing and have a hud to help you make the decision. In this hand if we had called cheap on the turn we don't actually have that much invested in the hand and trying to bluff weaker players off a pair of aces isn't usually a good idea. However think about why he bets so small on the turn? Is he on his own draw and just trying to set a cheap price or is he very strong and just milking you? More often than not I find its the former, there are always going to be more drawing hands than strong hands. Overall the fact that he didn't raise pre flop suggests that he doesn't have an ace so I think this is a good spot to bluff especially as there are not a lot of draws on this particular board. You don't need to make it massive a value looking 75%-80% probably gets it done. [/QUOTE]
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