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Message: [QUOTE="Matt Vaughan, post: 3276634, member: 34747"] Why don't you think bad rec player would flat TT here just because we're deep? I don't think he's "planning the hand" to determine how best to get stacks tbh. But even if he was, SPR is < 2.5 by the time we get to the turn. Not saying I 100% agree, but some people who's live games I respect very much said that rec players are way more likely to flat top set than bottom set on this flop - they'd 3b flop with bottom set more. And the more TT he has, the harder and harder it is to find enough combos of other stuff. On the combo draws bit, if he's just flatting flop with like, KQhh, is he really going to suddenly ship it in when I continue to show strength and he only has one card to come to hit his hand? He's bad but it's not like he thinks a flush draw and a gutter with one card to come is the eternal nuts, and by the turn it really doesn't look like I'd fold, right? By A3s do you mean specifically A3hh? I suspect he doesn't even continue OTF with A8, and he might not raise it pre - almost certainly not if it's offsuit. I feel he's more likely to raise AT at least, but I think the question becomes, when he improves OTT but I'm still showing so much strength, would he just insta-ship it? Maybe, but it's hard to know. Not exactly a "common" spot. :) This is fair. I was trying to make my size seem reasonable in case he didn't have something that could stand tons of pressure, and I figured the pot was gonna get bloated super fast anyway, so I didn't feel like I needed to break $200. But I agree going bigger makes sense since I think $180-190 gets called about as often as $165. [/QUOTE]

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